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Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaur - Live Streaming Guide and Expert Betting Advice

John Eastwood

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Last updated: 12 Apr 2025

John Eastwood 12 Apr 2025

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Musetti has gone to 3 sets in 7 of his last 9 matches
De Minaur thrashed Grigor Dimitrov 6-0 6-0 in the quarter-finals
Watch Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaur live in Monte-Carlo

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Watch Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaur in Monte-Carlo (Getty)

Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaur Preview

Lorenzo Musetti has come from behind to win three of his four matches in Monte-Carlo. Alex de Minaur is proving he can perform on clay, the Australian backed to win this one in 3 sets.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaur Preview
Stats
HTH
Lorenzo Musetti Stats
Lorenzo Musetti Form
Alex de Minaur Stats
Alex de Minaur Form

Stats

Lorenzo Musetti is 9-25 against Top 10 players.
Lorenzo Musetti has gone to 3 sets in 7 of his last 9 matches.
Alex de Minaur has won 4 of his last 6 matches against Top 20 players on clay.

HTH

Year	Event	Surface	Round	Winner	Score
2024	Queen's Club	Grass	R32	Musetti	1-6 6-4 6-2
2022	Australian Open	Hard	R128	De Minaur	3-6 6-3 6-0 6-3

Lorenzo Musetti Stats

Nationality: Italy

Age: 23 (3 March 2002)

Height: 6'1" (1.85m)

Plays: Right-Handed

World Ranking: 16

Career High: 15 (June 2023)

ATP Tour Titles: 2

2025 ATP Tour Titles: 0

Grand Slam Titles: 0

Monte-Carlo Masters Best Result: Quarter-Finals (2023)

Lorenzo Musetti Form

Lorenzo Musetti is 11-4 this year, his best results coming in quarter-final appearances in Hong Kong and Buenos Aires. He withdrew from the event in Argentina due to a leg injury.

The 23-year-old took a month off, returning to action in Indian Wells where he suffered a third round defeat to Arthur Fils. He secured wins over Quentin Halys and Félix Auger-Aliassime in Miami before a fourth round loss against Novak Djokovic.

The Italian lost the first set in his opening two matches in Monte-Carlo, coming from behind to beat Bu Yunchaokete 4-6 7-5 6-3 and Jiri Lehecka 1-6 7-5 6-2. He had few issues in the third round, thrashing Matteo Berrettini 6-3 6-3 after winning 77% of his 2nd serves and not allowing a break point.

Musetti overturned an 0-5 record against three-time Monte Carlo champion Stefanos Tsitsipas in the quarter-finals. He looked down and out before recovering to win 1-6 6-3 6-4, saving 14/17 break points.

Alex de Minaur Stats

Nationality: Australia

Age: 26 (17 February 1999)

Height: 6'0" (1.83m)

Plays: Right-Handed

World Ranking: 10

Career High: 6 (July 2024)

ATP Tour Titles: 9

2025 ATP Tour Titles: 0

Grand Slam Singles Titles: 0

Monte-Carlo Masters Best Result: Quarter-Finals (2024)

Alex de Minaur Form

Alex de Minaur is 20-6 this year, beginning with his best performance at the Australian Open where he cruising into the quarter-finals and went down to Jannik Sinner. He reached the final in Rotterdam, losing in 3 sets against Carlos Alcaraz.

The World No.10 failed to convert a match point against Andrey Rublev in the Qatar Open quarter-finals. He was unable to get to the quarters in Dubai, Indian Wells and Miami.

The Australian overcame a slow start in Monte-Carlo to beat Tomas Machac 3-6 6-0 6-3. He stepped on the gas in the third round, thrashing Daniil Medvedev 6-2 6-2 in 72 minutes.

De Minaur produced a historic performance in the quarter-finals, humiliating Grigor Dimitrov 6-0 6-0. It was the first double bagel in a Masters 1000 quarter-final since 1990, de Minaur winning 80% of his 2nd serves and not allowing a break point.

Verdict

Lorenzo Musetti v Alex De Minaur

Lorenzo Musetti and Alex de Minaur are evenly matched on clay with a long match expected in Monte-Carlo. The Australian has dropped just four games in his previous two victories and can emerge victorious in the semi-finals.

Alex de Minaur Win

Winner

@-133.33 - 3 Units

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3 Sets

Total Sets

@140.00 - 2 Units

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Alex de Minaur Win 2-1

Set Betting

@330.00 - 1 Unit

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