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Daniil Medvedev vs Pierre Hugues Herbert Preview & Betting Tips - Medvedev Set to Be Fiercely Challenged by Herbert in Marseille Rematch

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Last updated: 13 Feb 2025
Freetips staff 13 Feb 2025
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  • Medvedev struggles with poor form, impacting his reliability.
  • Herbert excel in French indoor tournaments, promising a challenge.
  • Match-up is tied 2-2; Medvedev won the last encounter in three sets.
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daniil medvedev
Watch Daniil Medvedev take on Pierre Hugues Herbert at the ATP Marseille Open (credit: Getty)

Daniil Medvedev vs Pierre Hugues Herbert Preview

In a rematch of the 2021 ATP Marseille title clash, Daniil Medvedev arrives in a much poorer state of form, confidence, and morale. While he might find a way to come out on top, he remains a highly unreliable choice based on his current form. Pierre-Hugues Herbert is set to trouble him significantly at this moment.
  • Daniil Medvedev vs Pierre Hugues Herbert Preview
  • Daniil Medvedev Overview
  • Daniil Medvedev Form
  • Pierre Hugues Herbert Overview
  • Pierre Hugues Herbert Form
  • Head-to-Head

Daniil Medvedev Overview


Performance Metric
Player's Data
Current Rank#8
Career-High Rank#1
Elo Rank#8
Season Record2-2
Season Record on Indoor Hard Courts1-1
Tournament Record8-3 (Champion in 2021)
Recent Record against French Players12 Wins the Last 14 Matches

Daniil Medvedev Form

Daniil Medvedev may have believed he hit rock bottom during the struggles of 2022, but his current situation seems even more challenging. It's crucial for him not to let this difficult period drag on and to find a way to bounce back.

All four of his matches this year have taken a brutal toll on him both physically and mentally, as he was pushed to the limit by each of the underdogs and even suffered losses to two of them—Learner Tien at the Australian Open and Mattia Bellucci in Rotterdam.

Only a title win can resolve his current issues and offer him a glimpse of light at the end of the tunnel. Fortunately, things seem to be working in his favor, as he has a favorable draw in Marseille and shouldn't lose to anyone before at least the final.

This is also an opportunity for him to address another long-standing issue: his inability to win more than one title at the same tournament. All of his previous 20 tour-level titles have come at different venues, and he won the title in Marseille during his most recent visit in 2021.

Pierre Hugues Herbert Overview


Performance Metric
Player's Data
Current Rank#192
Career-High Rank#36
Elo Rank#181
Season Record7-4
Season Record on Indoor Hard Courts7-2
Tournament Record14-8 (F in 2021)
Recent Record against Top-10 PlayersNo wins since Marseille 2021
(def. S Tsitsipas)

Pierre Hugues Herbert Form

The familiar setting of French indoor events is providing Pierre-Hugues with much-needed relief after a rough start to the year. All of his seven wins in 2025 have come in French indoor tournaments, earning him a runner-up finish at the Quimper Challenger and a second-round appearance in Marseille this week, as a qualifier.

While most of the tour struggle to even reach the 100-win mark on indoor hard courts, Herbert has over 200 wins on this surface, highlighting just how much he enjoys playing in these conditions.

Some of the best weeks of his career on the main tour have also come in French indoor events, including one here in Marseille in 2021, where he defeated players like Stefanos Tsitsipas and Ugo Humbert to finish as the runner-up to Daniil Medvedev.

Head-to-Head


Score
Leader
Lsat Meeting Winner
2-2TiedDaniil Medvedev in Three Sets at ATP Marseille 2021

Verdict

Daniil Medvedev is struggling with form, confidence, and momentum, making him an unreliable option, especially at low odds. Given Herbert's vast experience and strong affinity for French indoor conditions, he should perform well, likely pushing Medvedev to the limit and covering the handicap.

Best Bet1: Herbert +4.5 Games Handicap Games @11/17 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Over 9.5 Games Herbert Total Games @11/12 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Herbert +4.5 Games
Handicap Games
@11/17 - 3 Units
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Daniil Medvedev v Pierre-Hugues Herbert