Otto Virtanen vs Sebastian Korda Preview & Betting Tips - Korda to bounce back from Australian Open setback

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Last updated: 10 Feb 2025

Site Editor 10 Feb 2025

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Korda and Virtanen face fitness challenges ahead of Marseille match.
Korda, although having a great indoor record, has struggled recently, losing in the opening round of three of his last four indoor events.
Virtanen lacks experience in quick recovery, struggles in 2025.

Expired

Watch Sebastian Korda take on Otto Virtanen at ATP Marseille (Getty). (credit: Getty)

Otto Virtanen vs Sebastian Korda Preview

Sebastian Korda and Otto Virtanen, both battling fitness issues, face off for the first time in the first round in Marseille on Monday. The question is: who will overcome their challenges and come out on top? I'm backing Korda to have a tough battle and need over 12.5 games.

Sebastian Korda Form

Sebastian Korda started 2025 strongly, reaching the Adelaide final last month. However, he couldn't maintain this momentum due to injury issues that had plagued the latter half of his 2024 season.

This affected his Australian Open performance, where he struggled heavily, getting bageled by Lukas Klein in round one before losing a five-set match to Aleksandar Vukic in round two.

Concerns about Korda's fitness persist, and it remains to be seen how his body will respond in the coming weeks.

During a successful North American hardcourt swing in August last year, his season unexpectedly took a downturn when he injured his elbow at the US Open. The injury required surgery, forcing him to end the season early, and it continues to impact his performance.

Moving indoors could help Korda secure some easy wins and get his season back on track, as he has a strong record in these conditions and the skills to excel.

It's surprising that he remains title-less in indoor events on the main tour, despite having four opportunities to win, including at the ATP Next Gen Finals in 2021.

Otto Virtanen Form

Otto Virtanen is facing similar challenges as his first-round opponent, Sebastian Korda. However, Virtanen's situation is more complex, as Korda has the experience of recovering from injury and quickly finding form, something Virtanen lacks. It will be interesting to see how he navigates this phase.

The Finn struggled in the latter stages of 2024, leading to a disappointing home campaign at the Helsinki Challenger. He has yet to secure a win in 2025, despite competing in three tournaments across different levels.

While he remained competitive in all three matches, he couldn't sustain his physical level, losing in four sets to Arthur Fils at the Australian Open, three sets to Vitaliy Sachko at the Quimper Challenger, and three sets to Lukas Neumayer at the Davis Cup.

Verdict

Otto Virtanen v Sebastian Korda

If Otto Virtanen is to trouble Sebastian Korda, it will likely be on indoor hard courts, where the Finn has proven to be a dangerous player.

With over 100 career wins and an impressive 23-4 record in 2024 alone, Virtanen is a strong competitor in these conditions. However, the outcome will largely depend on the physical and performance level Korda brings to the match.

Both have strong serves, which have contributed to their successful track record indoors. Even considering their current subpar fitness, they are expected to be comfortable on their own serves. This could lead to one or two tiebreaks, requiring the winner to claim more than 12 games.

Korda Over 12.5 Games

Sebastian Korda Total Games

@8/13 - 3 Units

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