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Rafael Nadal vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Betting Tips, Predictions & Odds – Nadal tipped to ease into semi

  • Nadal and Carreno-Busta meet in the quarter-final of the ATP Paris Masters on Friday
  • Nadal has won all 6 previous encounters against Carreno-Busta, only dropping one set in those matches
  • The world No.2 has won 8 of his last 9 matches in straight sets
  • Live stream Rafael Nadal vs Pablo Carreno-Busta with bet365
Rafael Nadal vs Pablo Carreno-Busta
Rafael Nadal has beaten Pablo Carreno-Busta in all of their previous six matches (Getty images)

Rafael Nadal will continue his quest for a third title in 2020 as he takes on Pablo Carreno-Busta in the quarter-final at the ATP Paris Masters. Nadal has only ever dropped one set against Carreno-Busta and should be able to see him off in straight sets here.

Rafael Nadal Stats


Nationality: Spain
Age: 34 (3 June 1986)
Height: 6'1" (185 cm)
Plays: Left-Handed
World Ranking: 2
Career High: 1 (July 2008)
Career Singles Titles: 86
2020 Singles Titles: 2
Career Grand Slam Singles Titles: 20 (1 Australian Open, 13 French Open, 2 Wimbledon, 4 US Open)

Rafael Nadal Form


The ATP Paris Masters is Rafael Nadal’s first tournament since winning his 13th French Open title in mid-October. He has shown signs of rustiness in his opening couple of games but has nevertheless got through relatively unscathed.

In the round of 32 of the Paris Masters, Nadal saw off compatriot Feliciano Lopez 4-6 7-6 6-4. Both players served exceptionally well and breaks of serve were at a premium, but Nadal’s quality shone through in the end.

The world No.2 had an easier round of 16 match against Jordan Thompson, but again it wasn’t plain sailing. The first set ended 6-1 in favour of Nadal but Thompson made Nadal fight tooth and nail to win the second in a keenly contested tie-break. 

Pablo Carreno-Busta Form


Nationality: Spain
Age: 29 (12 July 1991)
Height: 6'2" (188cm)
Plays: Right-Handed
World Ranking: 27
Career High: 10 (September 2017)
Career Singles Titles: 4
Career Grand Slam Singles Titles: 0
2020 Singles Titles: 0

Pablo Carreno-Busta Form


Pablo Carreno-Busta has played two tournaments since the French Open. He was knocked out of the European Open at the round of 16 stage in three sets by Ugo Humbert. Carreno-Busta lost in the same round at the Vienna Open, this time to the big South African, Kevin Anderson in straight sets.

The Spaniard has yet to drop a set at the Paris Masters in three matches. He saw off Hugo Gaston 6-3 6-2 in the round of 64 before beating Jan-Lennard Struff 7-6 6-2.

Carreno-Busta defeated Norbert Gombos in the round of 16 7-5 6-2 to advance to the quarter-finals where he will now face Rafael Nadal.

Rafael Nadal vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Head to Head


Rafael Nadal leads Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-0 in their six previous matches. They have met twice in 2020 with Nadal winning 6-1 6-2 6-4 at the Australian Open and 6-1 6-1 at the ATP Masters 1000 Rome.

Rafael Nadal vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds


Rafael Nadal is favourite at 1.14 while Pablo Carreno-Busta offers odds of 5.50 to win with bet365.

Over 20.5 games is priced at 1.90, under is valued at 1.80.

Rafael Nadal vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Match Up


Rafael Nadal has steadily improved over his last two matches and should get past Carreno-Busta with relative ease. In six previous matches, Pablo Carreno-Busta has only ever won one set against Nadal – in 2016.

Rafael Nadal vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Stats


  • Rafael Nadal is 24-4 in 2020 (85.7% win ratio).
  • Rafael Nadal has won 20 Grand Slam titles.
  • Rafael Nadal has won 8 of his last 9 matches in straight sets. 
  • Rafael Nadal has won all 6 previous matches against Pablo Carreno-Busta.
  • Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 1 set in 6 matches against Rafael Nadal.

Rafael Nadal vs Pablo Carreno-Busta FAQ

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Where is Rafael Nadal vs Pablo Carreno-Busta being played?

Rafael Nadal vs Pablo Carreno-Busta will be played at the ATP Paris Masters.

When is Rafael Nadal vs Pablo Carreno-Busta being played?

Rafael Nadal vs Pablo Carreno-Busta will be played at 17.30 GMT on Friday 6 November 2020..

US

Verdict

I'm backing Rafael Nadal to win in straight sets with the match to go under 20.5 games.

Best Bet: Nadal Win 2-0 Total Sets @-227.27 at BetMGM - 5 Units
Value Bet: Under 20.5 Games Over/Under Games @-125 at bet365 Sport NJ - 2 Units

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