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Alex Molcan vs Diego Schwartzman Tips and Live Stream

  • Opposing a player coming off a 5-set match
Alex Molcan
Slovakia's tennis player Alex Molcan returns the ball to Serbia's Novak Djokovic during the final match at the Belgrade Open tennis tournament in Belgrade, on May 29, 2021. - Djokovic beat Molcan 6-4, 6-3. (Photo by Andrej ISAKOVIC / AFP) (Photo by ANDREJ ISAKOVIC/AFP via Getty Images)
John Eastwood 03 Sep 2021
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More than happy to take a position here in opposing a player coming off a 5-set match, the first he has won of his career, who is then backing up to play against one of the fittest players on tour.

Whilst the win over Brandon Nakashima from 2 sets to 1 was impressive from Alex Molcan, I am not sold on his ability to back up here strongly against Diego Schwartzman. 

Molcan was able to redline for periods of the 4th and fifth set, however, I have some concerns about his ability to earn cheap points and hold serve regularly in this outing.

Molcan was only able to win 65% of points behind his first serve against Nakashima, who I class as a solid but not exceptional return of serve in the conditions. 

For perspective across the course of the 5 sets against Nakashima, the average first serve and second serve speeds for Molcan were quite similar to those of Diego Schwartzman, who faced Kevin Anderson in a rain delayed match played across two different indoor courts.

Schwartzman did a fantastic job of hitting his spots on serve against Anderson, who looked fairly lost at sea across the match on return of serve. After what I would categorise as a poor season overall, it has been good to see Diego find some form over the North American hardcourt swing. 

I don’t think Molcan is powerful enough to be a major threat to Schwartzman, and the -6.5-game handicap does appeal in this one. 

Whilst Schwartzman has certainly improved his form of late, it is worth acknowledging he is still prone to some lapses, which can become costly when taking a large handicap. As a result, I will limit this selection to 2 units.
AU

Verdict

Diego Schwartzman should be too good for Alex Molcan and cover the -6.5 games handicap.

Best Bet: Schwartzman -6.5 Games Handicap $1.86 at betfair - 2 Units

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