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Danielle Collins v Arnya Sabalenka Tips & Live Stream
- Back Danielle Collins
MONTREAL, QC - AUGUST 12: Danielle Collins of the United States stretches out the racket during her Womens Singles third round match against Jessica Pegula of the United States on Day Four of the National Bank Open presented by Rogers at IGA Stadium on August 12, 2021 in Montreal, Canada. (Photo by Minas Panagiotakis/Getty Images)
With Danielle Collins showing she has been fit and capable of delivering tennis at a similar level to the start of this hardcourt season, I am more than comfortable jumping into her +3.5-game handicap here against Aryna Sabalenka.
Whilst I did have some concerns around Collins and her fitness coming off a retirement in Cincinnati, she looked far more settled on court against Kaja Juvan (much to my disappointment at the time having backed Juvan at long odds. Collins won the match off another impressive winners to unforced errors ratio given her aggressive style and hasn’t been afraid to come to the net and finish off her good work if the opportunity arises. I personally prefer to back her in matches where there is a lot of pace on the ball, as we will certainly see here against Sabalenka.
Sabalenka continued her approach of being too big and powerful for most unseeded players, with another straightforward win over Tamara Zidansek in round 2. Truth be told, there wasn’t really a lot that Zidansek was able to do in terms of pressuring Sabalenka, outside of retrieving and hoping to see unforced errors. She did show signs of vulnerability in round 1, needing three sets to progress past Nina Stojanovic.
The experience edge to Danielle Collins in terms of grand slams, as well as her general on court demeanor and likely crowd support all lend themselves to backing in the American here. Whilst I won’t take the moneyline, I am happy to jump in and make a play at the +3.5-game handicap here for 1.5 units.