2024 US Open Tennis Tips & Streams (August 26-September 8)

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Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sabalenka to Win the US Open Final

John Eastwood

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Last updated: 07 Sep 2024

John Eastwood 07 Sep 2024

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Sabalenka has won in straight sets in 10 of her last 11 matches
Can Pegula upset the World No.2 at the US Open?
Get our best predictions and tips for the final in New York

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Aryna Sabalenka takes on Jessica Pegula in the 2024 US final on Saturday (Getty)

Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka Preview

Jessica Pegula has won 15 of her last 16 matches, her only defeat coming in straight sets against Aryna Sabalenka in the Cincinnati Open final. Sabalenka is in top form and well placed to win the US Open.

Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka Preview
Stats
HTH
Jessica Pegula Stats
Jessica Pegula Form
Aryna Sabalenka Stats
Aryna Sabalenka Form

Stats

Jessica Pegula has won 15 of her last 16 matches.
Aryna Sabalenka is 5-2 against Jessica Pegula.
Aryna Sabalenka has won in straight sets in 10 of her last 11 matches.
Aryna Sabalenka has won 17 of her last 19 matches US Open.

HTH

Aryna Sabalenka is 5-2 against Jessica Pegula and 2-2 on hard courts.

They met in the Cincinnati Open final last month, Sabalenka winning 6-3 7-5.

Jessica Pegula Stats

Nationality: United States

Age: 30 (30 February 1994)

Height: 5'7" (1.70m)

Plays: Right-Handed

World Ranking: 6

Career High: 3 (October 2022)

WTA Tour Titles: 6

2024 WTA Tour Titles: 2

Grand Slam Singles Titles: 0

US Open Best Result: Quarter-Finals (2022)

Jessica Pegula Form

Jessica Pegula is 36-11 this year, reaching the semi-finals in Adelaide, San Diego and Charleston before winning the title in Berlin. She exited early at Eastbourne, Wimbledon and the Olympics.

The American had a successful return to hard courts after winning the Canadian Open. She reached another final in Cincinnati, going down 6-3 7-5 to Aryna Sabalenka.

The World No.6 didn’t lose a set in her opening five matches at the US Open, defeating Shelby Rogers, Sofia Kenin, Jessica Bouzas Maneiro and Diana Shnaider before a 6-2 6-4 victory against Iga Swiatek.

Pegula did it the hard way in the semi-finals, overcoming a poor first set to beat Karolina Muchova 1-6 6-4 6-2. She won 58% of her 1st serves and saved 7/11 break points.

Aryna Sabalenka Stats

Nationality: Belarus

Age: 26 (5 May 1998)

Height: 5'11" (1.82m)

Plays: Right-Handed

World Ranking: 2

Career High: 1 (September 2023)

WTA Tour Titles: 15

2024 WTA Tour Titles: 2

Grand Slam Singles Titles: 2 (2023, 2024 Australian Open)

US Open Best Result: Runner-Up (2023)

Aryna Sabalenka Form

Aryna Sabalenka is 45-11 this year, reaching the Brisbane International final and winning the Australian Open. She suffered final defeats to Iga Swiatek in Madrid and Rome.

The World No.2 got to the French Open quarter-finals before picking up an injury in Berlin which saw her miss Wimbledon. She disappointed in Washington and Toronto but bounced back by winning the Cincinnati Open, doing it without losing a set.

The Belarusian maintained her form in New York where she defeated Priscilla Hon and Lucia Bronzetti in straight sets. She came back to beat Ekaterina Alexandrova 2-6 6-1 6-2 and cruised past Elise Mertens 6-2 6-4 and Qinwen Zheng 6-1 6-2.

Sabalenka took out the in-form Emma Navarro 6-3 7-6 in the semi-finals, winning 45% of her 2nd serves and limiting Navarro to 25%.

Verdict

Jessica Pegula v Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka beat Jessica Pegula 6-3 7-5 in the Cincinnati Open final where she allowed one break point. The World No.2 regularly wins in straight sets which can continue in the US Open final.

Sabalenka Win 2-0

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