Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Naomi Osaka Live Stream, Predictions & Tips - Over 20.5 Games Likely in Tight Wimbledon Clash
- Both players face inconsistent seasons due to fitness issues
- Betting odds favor a tight, competitive match with no clear dominance
- Consider betting on total games and sets to go over, as per expert analysis
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Naomi Osaka Preview
Both players have had an up-and-down season, largely impacted by fitness issues and inconsistent form. Given their recent histories, relying on either to deliver a dominant performance is risky.
This matchup is more likely to be a closely contested battle, with momentum swinging in both directions. The safer option here is to back over games, as neither player is expected to have a smooth or one-sided path to victory.
- Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Naomi Osaka Preview
- Stats
- Head-to-Head
- Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Stats
- Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Form
- Naomi Osaka Stats
- Naomi Osaka Form
Stats
- Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova has a 1-3 record in third-round matches at Wimbledon.
- She holds a 5-8 record against top 60 players this season.
- Naomi Osaka is on a three-match losing streak in Grand Slam third rounds.
- She has a 3-6 record against top 50 players in 2025.
Head-to-Head
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Australian Open | Hard | R1 | Osaka | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2019 | Osaka | Hard | F | Osaka | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2018 | Hopman Cup | Hard | - | Osaka | 6-4 3-6 7-6 |
| 2017 | Hong Kong | Hard | QF | Pavlyuchenkova | 6-3 6-3 |
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Stats
- Current rank: 50
- Career high rank: 11
- Elo rank: 36
- Season record: 11-9
- Wimbledon 3R record: 1-3
- Form against top 60 in 2025: 5-8
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Form
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova reached the third round with a straight-sets win over world No. 31 Ashlyn Krueger, 7-6, 6-4, coming from a break down in both sets. Earlier in the week, she staged a comeback in the opening round to defeat Ajla Tomljanovic.
This is just the fourth time she has reached the third round at Wimbledon in 15 main-draw appearances, and she has advanced beyond this stage only once — in 2016, when she made the quarterfinals.
This season marks her first since 2016 with more than two match wins on grass. Last week in Eastbourne, she reached the quarterfinals — her first on the surface in several years — after defeating three top 100 opponents in a row.
Injuries have significantly impacted her career in recent seasons, resulting in a limited schedule this year. Outside of her quarterfinal run at the Australian Open, she had managed just two wins across seven other tournaments before the grass swing.
Naomi Osaka Stats
- Current rank: 53
- Career high rank: 1
- Elo rank: 32
- Season record: 20-10
- Wimbledon 3R record: 0-2
- Form against top 60 in 2025: 3-6
Naomi Osaka Form
Naomi Osaka matched her best Wimbledon result by earning back-to-back straight-sets wins over Talia Gibson, 6-4, 7-6, and Katerina Siniakova, 6-3, 6-2. It is the first time she has recorded consecutive victories on tour since Rome.
Her 2025 season has been marked by inconsistency, with a runner-up finish in Auckland and fourth-round appearances in Rome and Miami, but also early exits in Madrid, Indian Wells, the French Open, and both of her grass-court tune-ups.
Osaka previously reached the third round at Wimbledon in 2017 and 2018, losing in straight sets to Venus Williams and Angelique Kerber, respectively.
The four-time Grand Slam champion has progressed past the third round in only six of her 18 career matches at this stage.
Her most recent attempt came at the 2025 Australian Open, where she was forced to retire against Belinda Bencic due to an abdominal injury after losing the first set.
Verdict
Both Osaka and Pavlyuchenkova have struggled to build consistent rhythm this season, with fitness concerns playing a major role in their fluctuating results.
That uncertainty makes it difficult to back either player with full confidence. A tight, competitive match feels more likely than a runaway, and the over on total games presents the most reasonable betting angle here.
Over 20.5
Total Games
@7/13 - 3 Units
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Over 2.5
Total Sets
@23/17 - 1 Unit
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Over 10.5
Highest Scoring Set Total
@21/25 - 2 Units
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Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova v Naomi Osaka
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