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Aryna Sabalenka vs Carson Branstine Live Stream & Tips - Sabalenka Expected to Cruise Past Branstine in Wimbledon R1

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Last updated: 29 Jun 2025
Freetips staff 29 Jun 2025
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  • Aryna Sabalenka is a heavy favorite against Carson Branstine
  • Sabalenka has an 18-match Grand Slam first-round winning streak
  • Branstine qualifies for her first Grand Slam main draw at Wimbledon
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Aryna Sabalenka
Top seed Sabalenka eyes a dominant start at Wimbledon. (credit: Getty)

Aryna Sabalenka vs Carson Branstine Preview

Carson Branstine faces a daunting task against world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka, having only recently made her debut in main-draw tour-level competition. With Sabalenka’s dominant Grand Slam record and wealth of experience, the top seed enters as the overwhelming favorite in what appears to be a one-sided matchup.
  • Aryna Sabalenka vs Carson Branstine Preview
  • Stats
  • Head-to-Head
  • Aryna Sabalenka Stats
  • Aryna Sabalenka Form
  • Carson Branstine Stats
  • Carson Branstine Form

Stats

  • Aryna Sabalenka is 20–1 against players ranked outside the top 150 since 2020.
  • She is currently on an 18-match winning streak in Grand Slam first rounds.
  • Carson Branstine has a 3–6 record against top 100 opponents.
  • She had never played a main-draw match at tour level before this year’s grass swing.

Head-to-Head

This will be the pair's first meeting.

Aryna Sabalenka Stats

  • Current ranking: 1
  • Career-high ranking: 1
  • Elo ranking: 1
  • 2025 season record: 42–8
  • Wimbledon first-round record: 3–2
  • Record vs players outside the top 100 in 2025: 3–1

Aryna Sabalenka Form

Aryna Sabalenka returns to Wimbledon for the first time since 2023, having missed last year’s tournament due to a shoulder injury sustained in Berlin the week before.

The world No. 1 has compiled 42 wins this season, reaching seven finals and claiming three titles. Despite her success, she has expressed disappointment after falling short in both Grand Slam finals this year, having taken a set in each before ultimately finishing runner-up.

Sabalenka’s early Wimbledon results were modest, with just one main-draw win in her first three appearances (2017–2019). However, she has since made back-to-back semifinal runs in 2021 and 2023.

While she has established herself as a dominant force across surfaces, her grass-court achievements remain limited—she has yet to win a title on the surface, and only two of her 38 career finals have come on grass.

Carson Branstine Stats

  • Current ranking: 197
  • Career-high ranking: 190
  • Elo ranking: 215
  • 2025 season record: 31–14
  • Tour-level record: 1–1
  • Record vs top 100 players in 2025: 3–6

Carson Branstine Form

Carson Branstine, a former top-5 junior, has battled persistent injuries in recent years and only returned to the circuit last season, gradually rebuilding her form through ITF events.

Since the start of 2024, she has reached seven ITF finals, including two this year—finishing runner-up at the WTA 125 event in Canberra and lifting the trophy at the W50 Santo Domingo. Her resurgence has seen her ranking rise from outside the top 900 to inside the top 200.

She made her grass-court debut in 's-Hertogenbosch, where she stunned world No. 18 and defending champion Liudmila Samsonova in three sets before falling to Elena Gabriela Ruse in the next round.

Branstine built on that momentum in Wimbledon qualifying, winning three consecutive three-set matches—against Roland Garros semifinalist Loïs Boisson, former US Open champion Bianca Andreescu, and Raluca Serban—to earn her place in a Grand Slam main draw for the first time.

Verdict

Sabalenka’s remarkable consistency at Grand Slams—having not lost in the first round in over five years—combined with Branstine’s inexperience at this level and limited exposure to grass, points to a routine passage into the second round for the world No. 1.

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Aryna Sabalenka v Carson Branstine