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Aryna Sabalenka vs Emma Raducanu Live Stream, Predictions & Betting Tips - Over 20.5 Games a Smart Play in Wimbledon Clash

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Last updated: 04 Jul 2025
Freetips staff 04 Jul 2025
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  • Sabalenka holds a 9-0 record against UK players
  • Raducanu is unbeaten in third-round Wimbledon matches
  • Sabalenka is world No. 1 with strong Grand Slam performance history
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Emma Raducanu & Aryna Sabalenka
Watch Aryna Sabalenka take on Emma Raducanu live in a blockbuster third-round clash at Wimbledon. (credit: Getty)

Aryna Sabalenka vs Emma Raducanu Preview

With a 9-0 record against British players and 15 Grand Slam third-round wins to her name, Aryna Sabalenka enters this clash with both form and experience on her side.

Emma Raducanu has impressed at Wimbledon and remains unbeaten in third-round matches at the event, but her 3-12 record against top 10 opponents highlights the scale of the challenge ahead. She’ll need something special to overcome the world No. 1.
  • Aryna Sabalenka vs Emma Raducanu Preview
  • Stats
  • Head-to-Head
  • Aryna Sabalenka Stats
  • Aryna Sabalenka Form
  • Emma Raducanu Stats
  • Emma Raducanu Form

Stats

  • Aryna Sabalenka is unbeaten against British players at tour level, with a 9-0 career record.
  • She holds a 15-4 record in third-round matches at Grand Slams.
  • Emma Raducanu has won both of her third-round matches at Wimbledon.
  • However, she has a 3-12 career record against top 10 opponents.

Head-to-Head


Year
Event
Surface
Round
Winner
Score
2024Indian WellsHardR3Sabalenka6-3 7-5

Aryna Sabalenka Stats

  • Current rank: 1
  • Career high rank: 1
  • Elo rank: 1
  • Season record: 45-8
  • Wimbledon third-round record: 2-0
  • Form against players outside the top 20 in 2025: 29-4

Aryna Sabalenka Form

Aryna Sabalenka advanced to the third round at Wimbledon for the third consecutive year with a 7-6, 6-4 win over Marie Bouzkova. She overcame an early setback, allowing the Czech to serve for the first set, but quickly settled into her rhythm to take control.

The world No. 1 has converted both of her previous third-round appearances at Wimbledon (2021 and 2023) into semifinal runs. 

She is also on a 10-match winning streak in Grand Slam third-round matches, with her last loss at this stage coming at the 2022 French Open against Camila Giorgi.

Sabalenka has reached seven finals in 2025, capturing three titles. However, she fell short in the two biggest events of the season—losing in three sets to Madison Keys at the Australian Open and to Coco Gauff at Roland Garros.

Emma Raducanu Stats

  • Current rank: 40
  • Career high rank: 10
  • Elo rank: 18
  • Season record: 18-13
  • Wimbledon third-round record: 2-0
  • Form against top 10 opponents: 3-12

Emma Raducanu Form

Emma Raducanu continued her strong Wimbledon campaign with a 6-3, 6-3 win over 2023 champion Marketa Vondrousova, backing up a similarly convincing first-round victory over Mingge Xu.

She now holds a 5-2 record on grass in 2025, highlighted by a quarterfinal appearance in Queen’s and a second-round showing in Eastbourne.

After a quiet start to the season, Raducanu has found her rhythm, reaching the quarterfinals in Miami, the fourth round in Rome, and another quarterfinal in Queen’s. Most of her recent losses have come against top-tier opponents, including Iga Swiatek, Coco Gauff, Jessica Pegula, and Zheng Qinwen.

She owns a 3-1 record in Grand Slam third-round matches, with two of those victories coming at Wimbledon (2021 and 2024). 

Her only loss at this stage came against Swiatek at the Australian Open earlier this year, followed by another defeat to the same opponent in the second round at Roland Garros.

Verdict

Aryna Sabalenka has been in excellent form and maintains a strong record against lower-ranked opponents, but her limited success on grass remains a slight concern heading into this clash with the talented and home favorite Emma Raducanu.
 
While Sabalenka is still expected to advance, this matchup has the potential to be closely contested, with over 20.5 games a strong possibility.

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Best Bet2: Over 20.5 Total Games @17/20 at bet365 - 3 Units
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04 Jul 2025

Aryna Sabalenka v Emma Raducanu