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Aryna Sabalenka vs Marie Bouzkova Live Stream, Predictions & Tips - Sabalenka to Win by Big Margin at Wimbledon

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Last updated: 02 Jul 2025
Freetips staff 02 Jul 2025
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  • Sabalenka has a 17-match winning streak in Grand Slam second rounds
  • Bouzkova's struggles against elite players impact her chances
  • Sabalenka emerges as the favorite due to superior form and past results
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Aryna Sabalenka
Sabalenka eyes another commanding performance as she continues her Wimbledon campaign. (credit: Getty)

Aryna Sabalenka vs Marie Bouzkova Preview

Sabalenka's consistent record in the early rounds of Grand Slams, along with her proven ability to handle top-ranked opponents on grass, makes her a formidable challenge. Bouzkova's difficulties against elite competition further strengthen the world No. 1's position as the clear favorite.
  • Aryna Sabalenka vs Marie Bouzkova Preview
  • Stats
  • Head-to-Head
  • Aryna Sabalenka Stats
  • Aryna Sabalenka Form
  • Marie Bouzkova Stats
  • Marie Bouzkova Form

Stats

  • Aryna Sabalenka is on a 17-match winning streak in Grand Slam second-round matches.
  • She holds a 16–12 record against top 50 players on grass.
  • Marie Bouzkova has a 2–7 record against top 10 players at Grand Slams.
  • Her record in Grand Slam second-round matches is 5–5.

Head-to-Head


Year
Event
Surface
Round
Winner
Score
2025BrisbaneHardQFSabalenka6-3 6-4
2024WashgintonHardSFBouzkova6-4 3-6 6-3
2023MiamiHardR3Sabalenka6-1 6-2

Aryna Sabalenka Stats

  • Current rank: 1
  • Career high rank: 1
  • Elo rank: 1
  • Season record: 43–8
  • Grand Slam second-round record: 19–4
  • Wimbledon second-round record: 2–1

Aryna Sabalenka Form

Aryna Sabalenka opened her Wimbledon campaign with a straight-sets win over Canadian qualifier Carson Branstine, ranked No. 194. She breezed through the opening set 6-1, though faced a tougher test in the second before closing out the match.

This marks her first win at Wimbledon since missing last year’s tournament due to a shoulder injury.

The world No. 1 has played three second-round matches at Wimbledon, winning the last two in three sets—against Katie Boulter in 2021 and Varvara Gracheva in 2023.

Sabalenka has been near-flawless in the early rounds of Grand Slams. She is currently on a 17-match winning streak in second-round matches at majors, with her last loss at this stage dating back to the 2020 US Open.

Since the end of last year’s grass swing, she has reached at least the quarterfinals in 15 of the 17 tournaments she has entered. 

The only exceptions came in Dubai earlier this year, where she fell in the second round to Clara Tauson, and one other event during that stretch.

Marie Bouzkova Stats

  • Current rank: 48
  • Career high rank: 24
  • Elo rank: 54
  • Season record: 16–13
  • Wimbledon second-round record: 2–2
  • Record vs top 10 at Grand Slams: 2–7

Marie Bouzkova Form

Marie Bouzkova began her Wimbledon campaign with a composed 6-4, 6-4 victory over last year's quarterfinalist Lulu Sun, improving her first-round record at the tournament to a perfect 4-0.

Despite ongoing injury concerns, Bouzkova has shown admirable resilience in recent months, which has been reflected in an uptick in results this season.

After a difficult start to 2025—losing in the opening round of four of her first five tournaments—she began to find form in April. 

The Czech reached the quarterfinals in Bogotá and followed it up with third-round runs in both Rome and Roland Garros.

However, she has struggled to build momentum on grass. Bouzkova has not won multiple matches on the surface since Wimbledon 2023, where she also saw her most recent campaign end in the second round, falling to Anna Kalinskaya.

Verdict

Given Marie Bouzkova's current physical limitations, it is difficult to see her mounting a serious challenge against a top-ranked opponent.

Coupled with Aryna Sabalenka's exceptional form over the past twelve months, the world No. 1 enters this matchup as the clear favorite to extend her winning run.

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Aryna Sabalenka v Marie Bouzkova