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Ashleigh Barty vs Karolina Pliskova Predictions & Tips - Barty backed to win Wimbledon final

  • Ashleigh Barty vs Karolina Pliskova preview, predictions & tips
  • The Wimbledon final is being played on Saturday 10 July (2pm BST)
  • Barty is 5-2 against Pliskova and has won 24 of her last 26 matches
  • The Australian is backed to win Wimbledon for the first time
Ashleigh Barty Karolina Pliskova
Ashleigh Barty takes on Karolina Pliskova in the 2021 Wimbledon final (Getty Images)
John Eastwood 09 Jul 2021
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Ashleigh Barty vs Karolina Pliskova Predictions


Ashleigh Barty has the weapons to beat Karolina Pliskova in a 3 set thriller. The World No.1 is backed to win the 2021 Wimbledon final with the match going over 21.5 total games.

  • Ashleigh Barty has won 24 of her last 26 completed matches.
  • Ashleigh Barty has won 13 of her last 16 matches against top 50 players at Grand Slams.
  • Ashleigh Barty is 5-2 against Karolina Pliskova.
  • Ashleigh Barty has seen over 21.5 total games in 6 of her last 7 matches against Karolina Pliskova.
  • Ashleigh Barty has won her last 3 matches against Karolina Pliskova.
  • Ashleigh Barty has seen 6 tie breaks in her last 18 sets against Karolina Pliskova.
  • Karolina Pliskova has lost 4 of her last 5 matches against top 10 players at Grand Slams.

Head to Head


Ashleigh Barty has a 5-2 advantage against Karolina Pliskova. Six of the seven contests have gone over 21.5 total games.

They shared two wins each in the first four encounters but Barty has won the last three.

The Australian won 7-6 6-3 in Miami in 2019, 4-6 6-2 6-3 in the 2019 WTA Finals and 2-6 6-1 7-5 in Stuttgart in 2021.

Ashleigh Barty Stats


Nationality: Australia
Age: 25 (24 April 1996)
Height: 5'5" (166 cm)
Plays: Right-Handed
World Ranking: 1
Career High: 1 (June 2019)
Career Singles Titles: 11
2021 Singles Titles: 3
Career Grand Slam Singles Titles: 1 (2019 French Open)
Wimbledon Best Result: Fourth Round (2019)

Ashleigh Barty Form


Ashleigh Barty has won three tournaments in 2021. She has won 24 of her last 26 completed matches.

The World No.1 won in Stuttgart and reached the final in Madrid where she lost 6-0 3-6 6-4 to Aryna Sabalenka.

Barty reached the quarter-finals in Rome where she retired hurt. She retired hurt in the second round at the French Open.

The Australian has been fit and firing at Wimbledon. She beat Carla Suarez Navarro 6-1 6-7 6-1 in the first round before beating Anna Blinkova 6-4 6-3, Katerina Siniakova 6-3 7-5 and Barbora Krejcikova 7-5 6-3.

Ashleigh Barty beat Ajla Tomljanovic 6-1 6-3 in the quarter-finals, saving 2/4 break points with Tomljanovic hitting just 5 winners. 

Barty beat Angelique Kerber6-3 7-6 in the semi-finals, winning 88% of her 1st serves with 38 winners and 16 unforced errors.

Karolina Pliskova Stats


Nationality: Czech Republic
Age: 29 (21 Mar 1992)
Height: 6'1" (177cm)
Plays: Right-Handed
World Ranking: 13
Career High: 1 (Jul 2017)
Career Singles Titles: 16
2021 Singles Titles: 0
Career Grand Slam Singles Titles: 0
Wimbledon Best Result: Fourth Round (2018, 2019)

Karolina Pliskova Form


Karolina Pliskova reached two quarter-finals in her first eight tournaments in 2021.

The World No.13 reached her first final of the year in Rome where she produced an embarrassing 6-0 6-0 loss to Iga Swiatek.

Pliskova lost in the second round at the French Open. She switched to grass courts, suffering first round defeats in Berlin and Eastbourne.

The Czech has been in fine form at Wimbledon. She beat Tamara Zidansek and Donna Vekic in straight sets before a 6-3 6-3 win against Tereza Martincova.

Karolina Pliskova beat Ludmilla Samsonova 6-2 6-3 in the fourth round. She beat Viktorija Golubic 6-2 6-2 in the quarter-finals before a 5-7 6-4 6-4 win against Aryna Sabalenka in the semi-finals.

Pliskova saved 0/1 break points against Sabalenka, winning 69% of her 2nd serves with 32 winners and 17 unforced errors.

Live Stream


Watch Ashleigh Barty vs Karolina Pliskova in the Wimbledon final on Saturday 10 July.

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US

Verdict

Karolina Pliskova’s strong serve means this one is likely to go over 21.5 total games. I am predicting a tie break with Ashleigh Barty to win the 2021 Wimbledon final in 3 sets.

Best Bet: Over 21.5 Total Games @-109.89 at Unibet - 3 Units
Value Bet: Tie Break Yes Tie Break @225.00 at bet365 Sport NJ - 1 Unit
Value Bet: Ashleigh Barty Win 2-1 Correct Score @300.00 at Borgata Sports - 1 Unit

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