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Elena Rybakina vs Aryna Sabalenka Predictions, Tips & Live Stream - Can Sabalenka make first major quarterfinal?

  • Elena Rybakina vs Aryna Sabalenka predictions & tips
  • The fourth-round match is being played at Wimbledon on Monday 5 July
  • Elena Rybakina has seen under 23.5 games in her last 5 matches
  • I am backing Rybakina vs Sabalenka to last under 23.5 games
  • Preview, predictions, stats and live stream information
Elena Rybakina
Elena Rybakina has won 7 of her last 9 grass-court matches (Getty Images)
Hannah Wilks 03 Jul 2021
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Elena Rybakina vs Aryna Sabalenka Predictions


French Open quarterfinalist Elena Rybakina has dropped just 17 games to reach the round of 16 at Wimbledon. She beat Serena Williams at Roland Garros and is a real threat to upset Aryna Sabalenka.

Sabalenka has won both previous meetings with Rybakina but must contend with both the Kazakh and her own inner demons as she tries to make her first Grand Slam quarterfinal.

  • Elena Rybakina has seen under 23.5 games in her last 5 matches
  • Elena Rybakina has won 7 of her last 9 grass-court matches
  • Elena Rybakina is 6-6 vs top-10 players and won her last 2 matches against top-10 opponents
  • Elena Rybakina has won 7 of her last 8 Grand Slam matches
  • Aryna Sabalenka has seen under 23.5 games in 3 of her last 4 Wimbledon matches
  • Aryna Sabalenka has lost 2 of her last 3 Grand Slam matches against top-20 players
  • Aryna Sabalenka has seen under 23.5 games in 4 of her last 6 grass-court matches
  • Aryna Sabalenka has never reached a Grand Slam quarterfinal

Head-to-Head


Aryna Sabalenka leads the head-to-head with Elena Rybakina 2-0.

Sabalenka beat Rybakina in Wuhan in 2019 and Abu Dhabi in January of 2021. Both meetings went to three sets.

Elena Rybakina Stats


Nationality: Kazakhstan
Age: 21 (27 June 1999)
Height: 6’0” (184cm)
Plays: Right-Handed
World Ranking: 22
Career High: 17 (February 2020)
Career Singles Titles: 2
2021 Singles Titles: 0
Career Grand Slam Singles Titles: 0
Wimbledon Best Result: Q3 (2019)

Elena Rybakina Form


Kazakhstan’s Elena Rybakina reached the final in four of the first five tournaments she played in 2020, beating some elite players. Then came the pandemic and the 21-year-old has struggled to regain her momentum – until now.

Rybakina reached her first Grand Slam quarterfinal at the French Open without dropping a set. She defeated Serena Williams in the round of 16 before losing 7-9 in the third to Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova.

After being defeated by Garbine Muguruza in Berlin, Rybakina reached the semifinals in Eastbourne last week, defeating second seed Elina Svitolina before losing to Jelena Ostapenko.

So far at Wimbledon, Rybakina has not dropped a set in wins over Kristina Mladenovic, Claire Liu and Shelby Rogers.

Aryna Sabalenka Stats


Nationality: Belarus
Age: 23 (5 May 1998)
Height: 5'11" (182 cm)
Plays: Right-Handed
World Ranking: 4
Career High: 4 (May 2021)
Career Singles Titles: 10
2021 Singles Titles: 2
Career Grand Slam Singles Titles: 0
Wimbledon Best Result: R2 (2017)

Aryna Sabalenka Form


Aryna Sabalenka faces the biggest test of her campaign so far as she tries to shed her reputation as a notorious Grand Slam underperformer and make her first quarterfinal.

Sabalenka, who won two of the bigger WTA Tour titles of the season in Abu Dhabi and Dubai, was defeated by Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (who also took out Rybakina) in the third round of the French Open.

The powerful Belarusian survived a big scare against Great Britain’s Katie Boulter in the second round and beat Maria Camila Osorio Serrano 6-0, 6-3 to reach the last 16. 

Osorio Serrano did not have anything like the kind of explosive power to match Sabalenka – this will not be the case when Sabalenka faces Rybakina.

Live Stream


Elena Rybakina and Aryna Sabalenka meet in the fourth round of Wimbledon on Monday 5 July.

Watch tennis live at bet365 > tennis > Wimbledon, with live streaming available to members online and on mobile.

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Verdict

Sabalenka has a 2-0 advantage against Rybakina, but I think the Kazakh has an excellent chance to get her first win over the Belarusian. She is a huge talent and seems to handle her nerves a lot better than Sabalenka.

Best Bet: Under 23.5 Total Games @-166.67 at Unibet - 4 Units
Value Bet: Rybakina Win Winner @150.00 at bet365 Sport NJ - 1 Unit

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