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Laura Siegemund vs Madison Keys Live Stream & Betting Tips - Keys and Over 18.5 Looks Strong at Wimbledon

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Last updated: 04 Jul 2025
Freetips staff 04 Jul 2025
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  • Key clash: Siegemund vs. Keys in Wimbledon matchup
  • Keys boasts a strong record: 12-3 against players outside top 50
  • Siegemund has shown improvement but struggles against top 10
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Madison Keys
Madison Keys eyes a return to the Wimbledon second week as she takes on Laura Siegemund in round three. (credit: Getty)

Laura Siegemund vs Madison Keys Preview

Madison Keys appears well positioned to advance, backed by a strong 12-3 record against players ranked outside the top 50 this season and a reliable track record at Wimbledon. 

Laura Siegemund, on the other hand, has not defeated three top 50 players in succession since 2020 and owns a 1-7 career record against top 10 opponents at Grand Slam events.
  • Laura Siegemund vs Madison Keys Preview
  • Stats
  • Head-to-Head
  • Laura Siegemund Stats
  • Laura Siegemund Form
  • Madison Keys Stats
  • Madison Keys Form

Stats

  • Laura Siegemund has a 1-7 record against top 10 players in Grand Slams.
  • She has not defeated three top 50 players in a row since Roland Garros 2020.
  • Madison Keys has a 12-3 record against players outside the top 50 this season.
  • She owns a 5-3 record in third-round matches at Wimbledon.

Head-to-Head


Year
Event
Surface
Round
Winner
Score
2016WimbledonGrassR1Keys6-3 6-1
2016CharlestonClayR2Siegemund6-7 6-4 6-4

Laura Siegemund Stats

  • Current rank: 104
  • Career high rank: 27
  • Elo rank: 101
  • Season record: 12-15
  • Grand Slam third-round record: 1-4
  • Form against top 10 in Slams: 1-7

Laura Siegemund Form

Laura Siegemund is enjoying her best Wimbledon campaign to date, securing back-to-back main-draw wins at the tournament for the first time in her career. 

The 37-year-old German stunned two top 50 opponents earlier this week, defeating Peyton Stearns and Leylah Fernandez in a notable turnaround on a surface where she has traditionally struggled.

Before this run, Siegemund had just five main-draw wins on grass, with her last multiple-win stretch coming at Bad Homburg in 2020, where she reached the quarterfinals. 

Her form leading into Wimbledon had been underwhelming, with 11 of her 13 appearances this season ending in either qualifying or a first-round exit. Her last string of main-draw victories came at the Australian Open in January, where she reached the third round.

Overall, Siegemund holds a 1-3 record in Grand Slam third-round matches. Her lone success at this stage came at the 2020 French Open, where she outlasted Petra Martic in three sets.

Madison Keys Stats

  • Current rank: 8
  • Career high rank: 5
  • Elo rank: 8
  • Season record: 32-9
  • Wimbledon third-round record: 5-3
  • Form against players outside the top 50 in 2025: 12-3

Madison Keys Form

Madison Keys has looked composed and confident through the opening two rounds. After surviving a tight opener against Elena Gabriela Ruse, the American delivered a commanding 6-4, 6-2 win over Olga Danilovic to secure her place in the third round.

She has been dependable at this stage at Wimbledon, holding a 5-3 record in third-round matches and remaining unbeaten at this point of the tournament since 2018. Her most recent third-round victory came last year, when she defeated Marta Kostyuk in straight sets.

Keys has put together a strong 2025 season, winning 32 of her 41 matches. Most of her losses came during the clay swing, but she reached a career-high ranking earlier this year and has maintained steady form on faster surfaces.

Her Grand Slam performances have been especially noteworthy. She claimed the Australian Open title in January and followed it up with a quarterfinal run at Roland Garros, where she took the opening set before falling in three to eventual champion Coco Gauff.

Verdict

Laura Siegemund is navigating one of the most difficult stretches of her career, and her limited success on grass further complicates her chances. Given the contrast in form and surface comfort, Madison Keys stands out as the clear favorite to reach the next round.

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Laura Siegemund v Madison Keys