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Maria Osorio Serrano vs Aryna Sabalenka Predictions, Tips & Live Stream – Sabalenka faces rising Colombian

  • Maria Osorio Serrano vs Aryna Sabalenka predictions & tips
  • The third-round match is being played at Wimbledon on Friday 2 July
  • Maria Osorio Serrano has won 13 of her last 16 matches
  • I am backing Osorio Serrano vs Sabalenka to go over 18.5 games
  • Preview, predictions, stats and live stream information
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano is playing Wimbledon for the first time in 2021 (Getty Images)
Hannah Wilks 02 Jul 2021
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Maria Osorio Serrano vs Aryna Sabalenka Predictions

Maria Osorio Serrano’s name is not widely known to non-aficionados, but the Colombian has won a tremendous amount of matches in 2021. She could make life much more difficult for Aryna Sabalenka than the disparity in their rankings would suggest.

Sabalenka is a notorious Grand Slam underperformer and is trying to reach the last 16 of a major for just the third time.

  • Maria Osorio Serrano has seen over 18.5 games in all 5 Wimbledon matches so far
  • Maria Osorio Serrano has won both matches she has played vs top-50 opponents
  • Maria Osorio Serrano has won 13 of her last 16 matches
  • Maria Osorio Serrano is 30-9 in 2021
  • Aryna Sabalenka has seen over 18.5 games in 4 of her last 6 grass-court matches
  • Aryna Sabalenka has won by less than 5.5 games in 3 of her last 4 Grand Slam matches against unseeded players
  • Aryna Sabalenka has seen over 18.5 games in 3 of 5 Wimbledon matches
  • Aryna Sabalenka has lost 3 of her last 5 Grand Slam third-round matches


This will be the first match between Maria Osorio Serrano and Aryna Sabalenka.

Maria Osorio Serrano Stats

Nationality: Colombia
Age: 19 (22 December 2001)
Height: 5’4” (162cm)
Plays: Right-Handed
World Ranking: 94
Career High: 94 (June 2021)
Career Singles Titles: 1
2021 Singles Titles: 1
Career Grand Slam Singles Titles: 0
Wimbledon Best Result: Never played

Maria Osorio Serrano Form

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano was a junior US Open champion in 2019; by the end of that season she had already broken into the top 200.

The diminutive Colombian won her maiden WTA Tour title on home soil in Bogota in April as a wildcard, beating Tereza Martincova and Tamara Zidansek on the way. Since then, she has gone from strength to strength, making WTA Tour semifinals on clay in Charleston and Belgrade before qualifying for the main draw of the French Open.

Osorio Serrano had never played a match on grass before this year, but she is certainly finding her feet quickly. She went the distance in her first four matches at Wimbledon, playing her way through qualifying and into the second round, where she beat 32nd seed Ekaterina Alexandrova 7-5, 6-2.

Aryna Sabalenka Stats

Nationality: Belarus
Age: 23 (5 May 1998)
Height: 5'11" (182 cm)
Plays: Right-Handed
World Ranking: 4
Career High: 4 (May 2021)
Career Singles Titles: 10
2021 Singles Titles: 2
Career Grand Slam Singles Titles: 0
Wimbledon Best Result: R2 (2017)

Aryna Sabalenka Form

Aryna Sabalenka has reached the third round of Wimbledon for the first time, but it was not easy.

The Belarusian notoriously under-performs at Grand Slams, and she struggled against an inspired Katie Boulter on Centre Court on Wednesday. After Boulter took the first set, Sabalenka levelled and broke early in the decider, but she had to win a series of epic service holds in order to get the 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 victory.

Sabalenka hit 30 unforced errors to 27 winners in that win, and Boulter was in some ways an easier opponent for her than someone like Osorio Serrano, who will force her to hit a lot of balls. 

Live Stream

Maria Osorio Serrano and Aryna Sabalenka meet in the third round of Wimbledon on Friday 2 July.

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Osorio Serrano lacks grass-court experience but she is a talented young player with nothing to lose.

This is a golden opportunity for Sabalenka to make the second week at Wimbledon. The nervy Belarusian is unlikely to manage it without having to battle herself as well as her opponent.

Best Bet: Over 18.5 Total Games @-129.87 at Unibet - 3 Units
Value Bet: Osorio Serrano +5.5 Games Handicap @123.00 at Unibet - 2 Units

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