Paula Badosa vs Katie Boulter Live Stream & Tips - Value on Boulter as She Takes on Badosa at Wimbledon
- Badosa's fitness is a concern after her recent retirement in Berlin
- Boulter's strong grass-court record enhances her winning prospects
- Boulter has shown recovery signs with a recent title win in Paris
Paula Badosa vs Katie Boulter Preview
Paula Badosa’s shaky fitness—highlighted by her recent retirement in Berlin—combined with Katie Boulter’s strong grass-court record and the advantage of playing at home, makes the Brit a value pick at over even odds in this matchup.
- Paula Badosa vs Katie Boulter Preview
- Stats
- Head-to-Head
- Paula Badosa Stats
- Paula Badosa Form
- Katie Boulter Stats
- Katie Boulter Form
Stats
- Paula Badosa hasn’t lost a Grand Slam opener since the 2021 Australian Open.
- She has a 7–8 record against top 50 players on grass.
- Katie Boulter is on an eight-match losing streak against top 10 opponents.
- Two of her three career top-10 wins have come on grass.
Head-to-Head
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | French Open | Clay | R1 | Badosa | 4-6 7-5 6-4 |
Paula Badosa Stats
- Current ranking: 9
- Career-high ranking: 2
- Elo ranking: 11
- 2025 season record: 17–10
- Wimbledon first-round record: 4–1
- Record vs top 50 in 2025: 10–8
Paula Badosa Form
Paula Badosa’s ongoing fitness concerns have limited her participation this season and continue to prevent her from building consistent momentum.
She began her grass-court campaign a few weeks ago in Berlin, earning back-to-back wins over Eva Lys and Emma Navarro to reach the quarterfinals.
However, she was forced to retire against Wang Xinyu after losing the first set 1–6, marking her third retirement or walkover in the past six months.
Despite these setbacks, Badosa has produced some encouraging results this year, including a semifinal run at the Australian Open and quarterfinal appearances in Mérida and Stuttgart.
At Wimbledon, she has reached the second week in three of her five main-draw appearances, with her only first-round exit coming on her debut in 2019.
Katie Boulter Stats
- Current ranking: 41
- Career-high ranking: 23
- Elo ranking: 34
- 2025 season record: 15–10
- Wimbledon first-round record: 5–1
- Record vs top 10 opponents: 3–16
Katie Boulter Form
Katie Boulter ended her 2024 season on a strong note, reaching the semifinals in Tokyo and finishing runner-up in Hong Kong. However, a foot injury in February disrupted her momentum and hampered her early 2025 campaign.
Her form remained inconsistent in the months that followed, and she struggled to regain rhythm—until a breakthrough title run at the WTA 125 event in Paris this May signaled signs of recovery.
Boulter has played eight tour-level events in 2025, but has managed to win multiple matches in only one of them. Most recently, she reached the quarterfinals in Nottingham before losing a tight three-set battle to McCartney Kessler.
Grass remains her most productive surface, with seven quarterfinal-or-better finishes in her career. However, her Wimbledon record is modest, with third-round appearances in both 2022 and 2023 marking her best results at the All England Club.
Verdict
Given Paula Badosa’s ongoing fitness concerns, including her recent retirement in Berlin, and Katie Boulter’s proven ability on grass along with home-court advantage, the conditions point toward the Brit being a smart value play at odds above evens.
Katie Boulter
Match Winner
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Paula Badosa v Katie Boulter
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