Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Live Stream & Tips - Kostyuk to Keep it Close in Madrid

John Eastwood

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Last updated: 30 Apr 2025

John Eastwood 30 Apr 2025

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Sabalenka has given up 28 break points in 3 matches
Kostyuk has lost both encounters against the World No. 1
Watch Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk live

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Aryna Sabalenka has given up 28 break points in Madrid (Getty)

Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Preview

Aryna Sabalenka allowed 13 break points in the fourth round, her 2nd serve getting plenty of attention on clay. Marta Kostyuk can win enough points to take this one over 19.5 games.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Preview
Stats
HTH
Aryna Sabalenka Stats
Aryna Sabalenka Form
Marta Kostyuk Stats
Marta Kostyuk Form

Stats

Aryna Sabalenka has won 16 of her last 18 matches.
Aryna Sabalenka has won 20 of her last 22 matches in Madrid.
Aryna Sabalenka has saved 22/28 break points in her last 3 matches.
Marta Kostyuk has gone over 22.5 games in 3 of her last 4 matches.
Marta Kostyuk has gone to 3 sets in 2 of her last 3 matches.
Marta Kostyuk has saved 8/18 break points in her last 3 matches.

HTH

Aryna Sabalenka is 2-0 against Marta Kostyuk, the last encounter coming in 2023.

Year	Event	Surface	Round	Winner	Score
2023	French Open	Clay	R128	Sabalenka	6-3 6-2
2022	Dubai	Hard	R32	Sabalenka	6-4 6-1

Aryna Sabalenka Stats

Nationality: Belarus

Age: 26 (5 May 1998)

Height: 5'11" (1.82m)

Plays: Right-Handed

World Ranking: 1

Career High: 1 (September 2023)

WTA Tour Titles: 19

2025 WTA Tour Titles: 2

Grand Slam Singles Titles: 3 (2023, 2024 Australian Open, 2024 US Open)

Madrid Open Best Result: Winner (2021, 2023)

Aryna Sabalenka Form

Aryna Sabalenka won the Brisbane International and reached the Australian Open final where she lost in 3 sets to Madison Keys. She went out early in Doha and Dubai, getting to another final in Indian Wells where she fell against Mirra Andreeva.

The World No.1 bounced back by winning the Miami Open, defeating Jessica Pegula in the final. She started the Stuttgart Open in the quarter-finals, beating Elise Mertens and Jasmine Paolini before another final defeat, this time going down 6-4 6-1 to Jelena Ostapenko.

The Belarusian saved 6/7 break points in a 6-3 6-4 victory over Anna Blinkova in her opening match in Madrid. She got past Elise Mertens 3-6 6-2 6-1 after saving 4/8 break points and saved 12/13 in a 6-2 6-4 fourth round win against Peyton Stearns.

Marta Kostyuk Stats

Nationality: Ukraine

Age: 22 (28 June 2002)

Height: 5'9" (1.75m)

Plays: Right-Handed

World Ranking: 36

Career High: 16 (June 2024)

WTA Tour Titles: 1

2025 WTA Tour Titles: 0

Grand Slam Singles Titles: 0

Madrid Open Best Result: Second Round (2022)

Marta Kostyuk Form

Marta Kostyuk was below her best in Australia but improved in Doha, beating Coco Gauff on her way to the quarter-finals which was her best achievement on the WTA Tour this year.

The 22-year-old lost against Top 10 players in her final two hard court events, beaten by Qinwen Zheng in Indian Wells and Jessica Pegula in Miami. She went 1-1 on clay at the Billy Jean King Cup, thrashing Katarzyna Kawa alongside a shock loss to World No. 178 Celine Naef.

Kostyuk got through two long matches in Madrid, overcoming Emma Raducanu 6-4 2-6 6-2 and Veronika Kudermetova 6-0 4-6 6-4. She saved a combined 7/16 break points but allowed only two in a 6-3 6-2 win against Anastasia Potapova.

Verdict

Aryna Sabalenka v Marta Kostyuk

Aryna Sabalenka has given up 28 break points in Madrid, her 2nd serve becoming a problem on clay. Marta Kostyuk can take advantage and stick with the World No. 1 long enough to take it over 19.5 games.