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Gilbert Burns vs Stephen Thompson Predictions & Tips - Thompson To Earn Decision

  • Gilbert Burns vs Stephen Thompson predictions for Saturday, July 10
  • UFC 264 is taking place at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Thompson has won back-to-back fights while Burns is coming off a loss
  • ‘Wonderboy’ tipped to make it three-in-a-row
  • Preview, predictions and head to head stats
Stephen Thompson (Getty Images)
Leigh Copson 06 Jul 2021
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Gilbert Burns vs Stephen Thompson Predictions & Tips

Stephen Thompson can put himself into welterweight title contention with a huge win.

Gilbert Burns’ advantage is on the mat but Thompson has proven to be very tough to take down.

He is also outstanding fighting from range, so he could make the most of his reach advantage to pick apart Burns over three rounds.

  • Stephen Thompson is the superior striker of the two men
  • Stephen Thompson has a 4” reach advantage
  • Stephen Thompson has a 2” leg reach advantage
  • Stephen Thompson has a 78% takedown defence
  • Gilbert Burns has a takedown accuracy of 35%

Gilbert Burns Form

Gilbert Burns is returning to action after coming up short in his quest to become welterweight champion.

Burns had an unsuccessful stint at lightweight before returning to 170lbs in August 2019, and it proved to be a good move for the Brazilian.

He bested Alexey Kunchenko and Gunnar Nelson for decision wins to make a successful return to the weight class.

He then knocked out Demian Maia in less than three minutes to put himself in title contention.

Burns followed that up with a dominant decision win over former champion Tyron Woodley to earn his crack at the welterweight title.

That bid ended in failure though as he was knocked out by Kamaru Usman in round three in February.

That loss leaves Burns with a 19-4 record, with six victories coming via knockout and eight by submission.

Of his four losses, the Brazilian has two knockout defeats and two decision defeats.

Stephen Thompson Form

Stephen Thompson has got his career back on track after a difficult two-and-a-half year run.

‘Wonderboy’ surged into title contention in 2015 when he recorded first-round stoppages of Jake Ellenberger and Johny Hendricks.

Thompson then earned a decision win over Rory MacDonald to earn his crack at then-champion Tyron Woodley.

The pair went to a majority draw in the first meeting and in the rematch Woodley earned a majority decision win.

Thompson rebounded with a decision win over Jorge Masvidal, but that would be his last win for two years.

‘Wonderboy’ dropped a decision to Darren Till before being knocked out by Anthony Pettis as he slid down the rankings.

Thompson halted that slide with decision wins over Vicente Luque and Geoff Neal.

He goes into this fight with Burns with a 16-4 record that includes eight KO/TKO wins and one submission success.

Three of his four losses have come via decision, with that loss to Pettis his only stoppage defeat.

Gilbert Burns vs Stephen Thompson FAQs

Where can I watch the Gilbert Burns vs Stephen Thompson live stream?

Our live streaming calendar shows you where to watch the Gilbert Burns vs Stephen Thompson live stream.

Where is Gilbert Burns vs Stephen Thompson taking place?

Gilbert Burns vs Stephen Thompson is taking place at UFC 264 on Saturday, July 10 at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.



Burns’ route to victory is taking Thompson to the mat and ‘Wonderboy’ can stuff those attempts.

He can then use his excellent technical striking and reach advantage to outpoint Burns for the decision.

Best Bet: Stephen Thompson Winner @-138.89 at BetMGM - 2 Units
Value Bet: Thompson by decision Method Of Victory @170.00 at bet365 Sport NJ - 2 Units

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