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Kamaru Usman v Jorge Masvidal 2 Predictions & Tips – Same Again For Usman

  • Kamaru Usman v Jorge Masvidal 2 predictions for the UFC welterweight title fight on April 24
  • Usman dominated the first fight between the two men to win by unanimous decision
  • Masvidal has not fought since that loss while Usman stopped Gilbert Burns last time out
  • Usman is expected to win in trademark fashion, dominating for five rounds to get a decision
  • Preview, predictions and head to head stats
Kamaru Usman takes down Jorge Masvidal in their UFC welterweight championship fight at UFC 251. (Getty Images)
Leigh Copson 19 Mar 2021
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Kamaru Usman v Jorge Masvidal 2 Predictions & Tips

Kamaru Usman’s dominance of the welterweight division is likely to continue.

Jorge Masvidal has more time to prepare for this rematch, after being a late stand-in last year, but it will not matter.

Usman’s route to victory is the same as last time – maul Masvidal, negate his striking and control the contest to get the nod from the judges.

It worked for him at UFC 251 and it should work again here.

  • Masvidal has won 17 straight to take his professional record to 19-1
  • Nine of Usman’s 18 career wins have come via Decision
  • Since signing with the UFC in 2015 Usman has gone to a decision nine times in 13 fights
  • Usman lost just one round with one judge when he beat Masvidal by unanimous decision at UFC 251
  • Masvidal has not been knocked out since June 2008
  • Masvidal’s 11 defeats since then have all come via the judges’ scorecards
  • Usman has landed 51% of his takedown attempts
  • Usman averages 3.44 takedowns per 15 minutes
  • Usman took down Masvidal at least once in four of the five rounds in their first fight

Kamaru Usman Form

Kamaru Usman has wrecked his way through the welterweight division.

While hardly a high-profile finisher, ‘The Nigerian Nightmare’ has utilised his great strength and outstanding grapping to dominate the opposition and compile an almost flawless 18-1 record.

Eight wins have come via strikes and one via decision. He has gone the distance and won nine times.

Usman has won 17 straight fights and has successfully defended the welterweight title three times since beating Tyron Woodley at his own game in 2019.

Usman has won two of his three defences by KO/TKO, stopping Colby Covington and Gilbert Burns, but he was taken the distance when he defended against Masvidal last July.

His tactic is the same each time he steps inside the Octagon.

Usman is a big and powerful welterweight who uses his size, strength and excellent grappling skills to maul opponents, break them down and beat them up.

He perhaps lacks the killer instinct when the fight hits the mat, as evidenced by the number of decision wins on his record, but his approach has brought nothing but success.

Jorge Masvidal Form

Jorge Masvidal has gone from ‘journeyman’ to welterweight star over the past few years – one of the most surprising surges in notoriety that the sport has seen.

Having lost back-to-back fights against Demian Maia and Stephen Thompson, ‘Gamebred’ was in danger of becoming the sort of fighter that is used to put a notable name on a rising star’s record.

That was the role he was expected to fill when he faced Darren Till in London in March 2019.

However, a second-round knockout and a backstage bust-up with Leon Edwards gave his career a sudden shot in the arm.

He wrecked Ben Askren’s long-awaited debut with a flying knee just five seconds into the bout and was then declared the UFC’s ‘BMF’ champion when he stopped Nate Diaz later that year.

With his stock at an all-time high Masvidal agreed to step in at a week’s notice to challenge 170lb champion Usman last July.

His attempt to win a real UFC title ended in failure though, as he was dominated for five rounds.

The fight did big business though, so it was no surprise when a rematch was announced, giving Masvidal the chance to have a crack at Usman after a proper training camp.

Will that make a difference on April 24?

Kamaru Usman v Jorge Masvidal 2 FAQs

Where can I watch the Kamaru Usman v Jorge Masvidal 2 live stream?

Our live streaming calendar shows you where to watch the Kamaru Usman v Jorge Masvidal 2 live stream.

Where is Kamaru Usman v Jorge Masvidal 2 taking place?

Kamaru Usman v Jorge Masvidal 2 is taking place at UFC 261 on Saturday, April 24 at the VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena. It will be the first UFC event to have a full crowd since UFC 248 on March 7, 2020.



Masvidal will have a full camp for this rematch but it is unlikely to make much difference. His only shot is to land one big strike out of the blue, but I do not expect that to happen.

This should be a carbon copy of the first fight. Usman will use his size, strength and grappling to control the contest, negating Masvidal’s striking and earning him the judges’ approval.

Best Bet: Kamaru Usman Winner @-344.83 at BetMGM - 4 Units
Value Bet: Usman by Decision Method Of Victory @100.00 at bet365 Sport NJ - 2 Units

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