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Mackenzie Dern vs Marina Rodriguez Predictions & Tips – Rodriguez To Spring UFC Upset

  • Mackenzie Dern vs Marina Rodriguez tips for Saturday, October 9
  • UFC Fight Night is taking place at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Preview, predictions, tips and head to head stats
Marina Rodriguez punches Michelle Waterson (Getty Images)
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Leigh Copson 07 Oct 2021
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    Mackenzie Dern vs Marina Rodriguez Predictions & Tips
  • Mackenzie Dern vs Marina Rodriguez UFC Predictions & Betting Tips
  • Mackenzie Dern Form
  • Marina Rodriguez Form
  • Mackenzie Dern vs Marina Rodriguez FAQs

Mackenzie Dern vs Marina Rodriguez Predictions & Tips


Marina Rodriguez can derail Mackenzie Dern’s quest for a title fight.

Dern is a great jiu-jitsu player so she needs this on the mat, but she is not an outstanding wrestler.

Rodriguez boasts excellent takedown defence, so Dern could struggle to take down her opponent.

And if Rodriguez can keep this fight standing, her superior striking could lead her to an upset victory.

  • Marina Rodriguez has a 48% striking accuracy (Dern 38%)
  • Marina Rodriguez has a 62% takedown defence
  • Mackenzie Dern has only a 10% takedown accuracy
  • Marina Rodriguez has gone to a decision in 6 of her 7 UFC fights
  • Marina Rodriguez has gone over 2.5 rounds in 6 of her 7 UFC fights

Mackenzie Dern Form


Mackenzie Dern has rebounded from her first career defeat with a four-fight win streak over the past 18 months.

Dern was bested over three rounds by Amanda Ribas in late 2019, but rebounded to submit Hannah Cifers in the first round.

She followed that up with another first-round submission win, against Randa Markos, before making it three-in-a-row at Vima Jandiroba.

Dern followed up that decision win with yet first-round submission win over Nina Nunes in April.

That victory took her professional MMA record to 11-1, with seven wins coming via submission. She has never won via KO/TKO.

Marina Rodriguez Form


Marina Rodriguez is looking to win three straight fights under the UFC banner for the first time.

Rodriguez went unbeaten through her first four fights in the UFC, but she drew two of those fights. 

The majority draw with Cynthia Calvillo was followed by a first career defeat in July 2020.

Rodriguez fell to a split decision defeat to Carla Esparza, but she has rebounded from that setback.

She ended a 17-month wait for a win by knocking out Amanda Ribas, and in her flyweight debut she bested Michelle Waterson over five rounds.

That decision win took Rodriguez’s professional record to 14-1-2. She has six knockout wins and one submission success.

Mackenzie Dern vs Marina Rodriguez FAQs

Where can I watch the Mackenzie Dern vs Marina Rodriguez live stream?

Our live streaming calendar shows you where to watch the Mackenzie Dern vs Marina Rodriguez live stream.

Where is Mackenzie Dern vs Marina Rodriguez taking place?

Mackenzie Dern vs Marina Rodriguez is taking place at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, October 9.

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Verdict

Dern is the bookmakers’ favourite but if she cannot take Rodriguez down she could be in trouble.

Rodriguez is a much better striker so if she can stuff Dern’s takedown attempts she could pick her apart in the stand-up.

Best Bet: Marina Rodriguez To Win Fight $2.40 at Ladbrokes Australia - 1 Unit
Value Bet: Over 2.5 Total Rounds $1.90 at Neds - 2 Units

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Mackenzie Dern v Marina Rodriguez