USA vs Italy Live Stream & Tips – Close Match Expected in the FINA World Championship
- USA vs Italy predictions for Sunday’s World Championship match
- The match is taking place at Aspire Dome (16:00 GMT)
- Italy are still a strong candidate to win a medal in Qatar
USA vs Italy Predictions
Both sides have experienced rosters who played a lot of tournaments recently. While I do expect Italy to advance, I am predicting it to be in a close match, so USA to win in +3.5 handicap is tipped.
- USA vs Italy Predictions
- Head to Head
- USA Form
- Italy Form
- Italy have failed to cover a –3.5 handicap in 5 of their last 7 matches against USA.
- USA have won in a +3.5 handicap in their last 10 matches.
Head to Head
Italy have a 12-7 advantage against the USA in 19 matches.
The most recent head to head duel was won by Italy 15-12 in July 2023.
USA Form
The United States ended the first phase with a disappointing record of two defeats and one victory.
They started the tournament with a thriller clash against Montenegro which resulted in a 16-15 loss. As expected, the USA bounced back in the second round and beat Japan 18-5.
Battle for the top of the group was lost in the third round as the Serbians edged the USA 14-12.
Italy Form
Italy had a decent showing in the first phase where they earned two victories and lost one match.
They had zero trouble against the underdogs Kazakhstan 33-3 and Romania 16-10.
The 1st place decided was lost in a thriller match against the reigning champions Hungary 15-14.
Verdict
Italy are slightly ahead in terms of quality, but elimination matches between two experienced sides have a high chance of being decided by one goal. I will back the underdogs USA to win in a +3.5 handicap.
USA +3.5
Asian Handicap
@9/10 - 3 Units
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