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GWS Giants vs Gold Coast Suns Tips - Giants to remain in the frame for finals by extending Suns losing streak to 11

adam-cusworth
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Last updated: Tue 04 Aug 2026 10:27
The GWS Giants are tipped to extend their finals hopes by defeating the Gold Coast Suns at Manuka Oval in Round 22. Despite an injury-hit squad, GWS showed resilience with a win over Port Adelaide and boast strong recent form at this venue. Key players Coniglio, Whitfield, and Ash are set to have a big impact. Meanwhile, Gold Coast seeks to snap a 10-game losing streak but has consistently struggled in tight finishes and away from home. The recommendation is to back GWS head-to-head, with Coniglio and Whitfield delivering standout performances.
Adam Cusworth 3 hours ago
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  • GWS Giants favored to strengthen finals hopes vs Suns at Manuka Oval.
  • Gold Coast on a 10-game losing streak, struggling to finish games, especially away.
  • Recommendation: Back GWS; expect big games from Coniglio (goals) & Whitfield (disposals).
GWS Giants vs Gold Coast Suns
Former teammates square off in the Giants and Suns match this weekend (Getty Images)

GWS Giants vs Gold Coast Suns Preview


GWS will keep their finals hopes alive with another important victory at Manuka Oval.

The Giants have everything to play for as it looks to strengthen its wildcard hopes against a Gold Coast side desperate to snap a 10-match losing streak. 

Adam Kingsley's side has given itself another opportunity after last week's hard-fought 12-point win over Port Adelaide. They return to a venue where they have  played some of their best football this season, including a win over the ladder leaders, Fremantle, at their most recent visit to the venue. . 

Lachie Whitfield and Lachie Ash are set to drive the Giants from half-back in the Round 22 clash, while Stephen Coniglio has become a dangerous forward option with six goals in his past two matches. Expect Adam Kingsley's side to look to force turnovers and attack quickly through the corridor.

Gold Coast has been competitive for long periods in recent weeks but continues to struggle to close out games, particularly away from home. Matt Rowell and Noah Anderson will need to win the midfield battle, while the Suns must find a way to limit GWS' rebound if they are to cause an upset.

Expect GWS to control territory through its experienced midfield and rebound game. Whitfield and Ash should provide plenty of drive from defence, while Coniglio's excellent recent form around goal makes him a difficult matchup for the Suns' defence.

Take GWS in the head-to-head, with Stephen Coniglio to kick 2+ goals and Lachie Whitfield to collect 25+ disposals.

  • GWS have won 15 of the past 17 matches between the two sides. 
  • Stephen Coniglio has kicked six goals in the past two rounds. 
  • Lachie Whitfield has had 25+ disposals in six of his past eight matches. 
  • The Giants defeated Fremantle the last time they played at Manuka Oval. 

Head to Head


Gold Coast claimed the Round 8 meeting earlier this season at People First Stadium by 20 points, but history remains heavily in Greater Western Sydney's favour. The Giants have won six of the past seven meetings between the clubs and 15 of the past 17 overall.

Standout player performances in the recent head to heads have come from:

  • Noah Anderson (Suns)- averaging 32 disposals in his past six matches against the Giants
  • Lachie Whifield (Giants)- excluding the Round 4 match last season when injured, has had 25+ disposals in his past five against the Suns at an average of 30
  • Aaron Cadman (Giants)- 2+ goals in each of his past three against the Suns
  • Ben King (Suns)- two goals in each of his past three against the Giants. 

GWS Giants Form Analysis


The Giants kept their finals hopes alive with a gritty 12-point victory over Port Adelaide last weekend, snapping a two-match losing streak and again demonstrating the resilience that has kept the club in wildcard contention despite an extraordinary injury toll. The Giants have defeated Fremantle, Brisbane and Geelong and Port Adelaide over the past two month and remain capable of matching the competition's best when their pressure game is at its highest level.

Lachie Ash has become one of the AFL's most consistent defenders, producing another performance of more than 25 disposals against Port Adelaide and reaching that mark in all but three matches this season. Lachie Whitfield has also lifted during the second half of the year, collecting 25 or more disposals in six of his past eight matches while providing enormous drive from half-back through his elite kicking.

The emergence of Stephen Coniglio as a genuine forward threat has added another dimension to the Giants' attack. Coniglio has kicked three goals in each of his past two matches, while Jake Stringer continues to create opportunities despite some wayward finishing in recent weeks. Aaron Cadman's development as a key forward has also been encouraging, giving GWS a more balanced attack despite the absence of several important players. 

Returning to Manuka Oval is another positive. The Giants defeated ladder leaders Fremantle in their most recent appearance in Canberra and have now won three consecutive matches at the venue. They have also taken seven of their past nine games there, with the wider dimensions perfectly suiting their intercept game and aggressive ball movement from defence.

Gold Coast Suns Form Analysis


Gold Coast's season continues to unravel, with last week's narrow defeat to Melbourne extending the club's losing streak to 10 matches. While the Suns have remained competitive in many of those contests, they have repeatedly failed to execute in critical moments, particularly during final quarters when contested possession and defensive discipline become increasingly important. The latest loss followed a familiar pattern, with Melbourne winning the crucial midfield battle late to steal another close result.

Matt Rowell has been one of the few shining lights during the difficult period. The tough midfielder produced another outstanding display with 30 disposals and eight clearances against Melbourne, extending his streak to five consecutive matches with at least 25 disposals. John Noble has also provided consistent run and creativity from half-back, surpassing 30 disposals in five of his past nine matches, while Jed Walter has begun showing encouraging signs as a developing key forward after consecutive multi-goal performances.

Despite those individual performances, Gold Coast continues to struggle away from home. The Suns have won just once outside Queensland and the Northern Territory this season, with that lone success coming against Richmond back in Round 2. 

Travelling to Canberra presents another difficult challenge. The Giants are among the competition's strongest turnover teams, while Gold Coast has repeatedly been punished for skill errors under pressure throughout its losing streak. Unless the Suns can improve their efficiency going inside 50 and maintain their contested intensity for four quarters, another frustrating afternoon appears likely.

GWS Giants Team News


The Giants continue to manage one of the AFL's longest injury lists, but Adam Kingsley's side has shown remarkable resilience. Finn Callaghan headlines the unavailable players after suffering a season-ending ankle injury, while Toby Greene, Josh Kelly, Tom Green and Jesse Hogan also remain sidelined. Despite those absences, the younger brigade continues to impress, and major changes are not expected following last week's important victory over Port Adelaide.

Gold Coast Suns Team News


Gold Coast escaped last week's narrow loss to Melbourne without any significant fresh injury concerns. Sam Collins is a chance to return from a back injury, while Zeke Uwland is expected to come back in after being rested last weekend. 

Verdict

Take the Giants in the 1-39 point bracket with Whitfield to find plenty of the footy. Coniglio on for multiple goals. 
Best Bet1: GWS Giants 1-39 Winning Margin 1-39 @11/10 at Hollywoodbets - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Lachie Whitfield To Have 30+ disposals @11/10 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Stephen Coniglio To Kick 2+ goals @17/10 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
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Winning Margin 1-39
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adam-cusworth
Adam Cusworth

Sports Editor • 20+ years betting experience

One of Australia's top tipsters, Adam provides tips for horse racing every day of the week as well as AFL previews. He is one of the top ranked experts on the Great Tip Off each month and has featured on Blackbook, Punters, Racingbase and many more.

 
Based in Melbourne, Adam is an avid sporting fan that loves a day at the MCG to follow his team, Hawthorn, in the AFL and the Aussies in the cricket, while he doesn't mind a day out at Moonee Valley, Flemington and Caulfield from time to time.

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