Hull FC vs Castleford Tigers Super League Round 23 Tips & Prediction - Hull to expose Tigers defence
Hull FC are strongly favored to win and cover the -14.5 handicap against Castleford Tigers in Super League Round 23. Castleford's defense has conceded 144 points over their last three games, while Hull have improved in attack and recently beat St Helens. The article recommends backing Hull and highlights Harvey Barron as a likely tryscorer given Castleford's vulnerable edge defense. Both teams have injury concerns, but Hull’s returning players bolster their lineup. Suggested bets include Hull -14.5 and Barron as an anytime (or multiple) tryscorer.
- Hull FC tipped to cover -14.5 handicap vs Castleford.
- Castleford have conceded 144 points in last 3 games.
- Harvey Barron strongly backed to score at least once.
Hull FC vs Castleford Tigers Super League Round 23 Tips & Prediction
Hull FC are backed to build on last week's win over St Helens and cover the -14.5 handicap against a Castleford side whose defence has fallen apart.
- Hull FC vs Castleford Tigers Super League Round 23 Tips & Prediction
- Hull FC Form Analysis
- Castleford Tigers Form Analysis
- Hull FC vs Castleford Tigers Team News
The Tigers have conceded 144 points across their last three defeats, shipping 52 to Wakefield, 48 to Warrington and 44 to Hull KR. That is a major concern against a Hull side whose attack has been moving the ball much better through the middle and towards the edges.
Jake Arthur's kicking game should help Hull dominate territory, while Herman Ese'ese, Harvie Hill and the returning Sam Lisone give the hosts a clear size advantage through the middle.
Harvey Barron is also a standout tryscorer option after crossing five times in his last four games. With Castleford's edge defence struggling badly, Barron is worth backing both anytime and for 2+ tries.
- Hull FC vs Castleford Tigers Stats & Trends
- Castleford have conceded 144 points across their last three defeats.
- Castleford have allowed 44+ points in each of their last three games.
- Hull FC beat St Helens 32-18 last week.
- Harvey Barron has scored five tries in his last four games.
- Castleford have lost five of their last six.
- Hull have scored 18+ points in five of their last six matches.
Hull FC Form Analysis
Hull snapped a seven-game losing run with an impressive 32-18 away win over St Helens and their recent attacking performances have been better than the results suggest.
Arthur and Aidan Sezer are linking well with the back-rowers, while Hull's bigger pack should give them a significant territorial advantage against Castleford.
Castleford Tigers Form Analysis
Castleford are in dreadful defensive form and have been blown away in three consecutive matches.
Their backline has been heavily disrupted and the Tigers are struggling to contain teams once they lose the middle. Against a Hull side capable of generating repeat sets and shifting quickly to the edges, another difficult night looks likely.
Hull FC vs Castleford Tigers Team News
Hull FC lose Yusuf Aydin for the rest of the season with a knee injury, joining John Asiata, Connor Bailey, Brad Fash and Joe Ward on the sidelines. Sam Lisone and Ligi Sao return to strengthen the pack, while Davy Litten is also back.
Castleford welcome Mikaele Ravalawa back following his loan spell, while Tom Weaver returns from a head injury and Daniel Sarbah is also included in the squad.
Verdict
Hull FC -14.5 is the best bet, while Harvey Barron is backed to score anytime and is also worth considering for 2+ tries against a vulnerable Tigers backline.
Hull FC -14.5
Handicap/Line
@10/11 - 2 Units
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Harvey Barron
Anytime Tryscorer
@4/6 - 3 Units
Bet £20 Get £10
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Harvey Barron
2+ Tries
@21/10 - 1 Unit
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From when he was a little fella he has played most sports ranging from rugby, ice hockey, tennis and football, just to name a few. His interest in analytics and statistics helps him find the edge while writing previews and being a regular tipster.
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