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Women's State of Origin Game 2 Betting Tips & Preview - NSW to claim series victory

jeremy-darke
Editor
Last updated: Mon 11 May 2026 19:47
The NSW Blues Women head into Game 2 of the State of Origin series as favourites after a close 11-6 win over Queensland in Game 1. The Blues' strong defence and solid form at Suncorp make them likely to cover the 8.5-point line, with Jessica Sergis tipped to score. Queensland retain most of their lineup despite injury concerns, while the Blues add Rima Butler. Expect a tactical, low-scoring match, with NSW predicted to potentially wrap up the series.
Jeremy Darke 11 May 2026
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  • NSW Blues won Game 1 and are favourites for Game 2
  • Key player Jessica Sergis predicts as a tryscorer in a likely low-scoring game
  • Minimal team changes for both sides, with injuries to watch for QLD
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women's state of origin
New South Wales Blues to seal the Women's State of Origin series (Getty Images)

Queensland Maroons Women vs NSW Blues Women Game 2 Preview


NSW won the opening game 11-6 and can improve on that performance and wrap up the 2026 series by covering the 8.5 points as favourites. Jessica Sergis can get among the tries for the Blues.

  • NSW are 2-0 at Suncorp Stadium in Women’s Origin matches.
  • Four of the last five meetings have produced 38 points or less.
  • The Blues have conceded 14 points or fewer in four of their last five matches against the Maroons.
  • Jessica Sergis has scored a try in 3 of the last 4 Women’s Origin matches.

Head to Head 


NSW won the opening match of the series 11-6 making it 3 wins from the last 4 contests.

The Blues hold a 10-6 head to head record.

QLD Maroons Women Form - Maroons Edged Out In Game 1


Queensland showed plenty of positives in Game 1 despite the loss. The Maroons defended strongly for long periods and were dominant through the middle during stages of the first half before injuries disrupted their rotation.

Keilee Joseph was enormous through the middle before suffering a head knock, while Otesa Pule provided immediate impact off the bench with a try. 

The biggest issue for Queensland was their inability to execute in attacking territory late in the match, with handling errors (70% completion rate) and fatigue costing them momentum.

QLD Maroons Team News


Queensland have largely resisted major changes despite the Game 1 defeat.

Phoenix-Raine Hippi has been ruled out with a hamstring injury, opening the door for Jasmine Peters to come into the starting side. Destiny Mino-Sinapati has also been included in the extended squad and could make her Origin debut.

There is also concern surrounding forwards Makenzie Weale and Keilee Joseph after both suffered head knocks in Newcastle. Coach Nathan Cross has included both players in the squad but will wait on final medical clearance before confirming his game-day team.

1. Tamika Upton (c)
2. Julia Robinson
3. Rory Owen
4. Ivana Lolesio
5. Jasmine Peters
6. Chantay Kiria-Ratu
7. Lauren Brown
8. Otesa Pule
9. Jada Ferguson
10. Jessika Elliston
11. Sienna Lofipo
12. Romy Teitzel
13. Keilee Joseph

Interchange
14. Destiny Brill
15. Makenzie Weale
16. Brianna Clark
17. Shenae Ciesiolka

Reserves
18. Chelsea Lenarduzzi
19. Emma Manzelmann
20. Destiny Mino-Sinapati

NSW Blues Women Form - Blues Edge Series Opener


The Blues once again showed why they are the benchmark side in women’s Origin football. Their defence absorbed Queensland’s early pressure before Jesse Southwell took control with her kicking game and composure in clutch moments.

Southwell’s field goal in Game 1 was the first of her professional career and highlighted the maturity of the young halfback under pressure. NSW controlled large portions of the second half and looked the more organised side once the game tightened up.

The Blues spine continues to impress, with Keeley Nizza, Jocelyn Kelleher and Southwell steering the side around effectively, while Olivia Kernick and Kennedy Cherrington provide relentless effort through the middle.

NSW Blues Women Team News


The Blues have made just one change from Game 1.

Sydney Roosters prop Rima Butler is set to make her State of Origin debut from the interchange bench after Tiana Penitani Gray suffered a knee injury.

Kezie Apps shifts from the bench into the starting second-row role, bringing experience and leadership to the edge.

1. Abbi Church
2. Jaime Chapman
3. Jessica Sergis
4. Isabelle Kelly (c)
5. Jayme Fressard
6. Jocelyn Kelleher
7. Jesse Southwell
8. Millie Elliott
9. Keeley Nizza
10. Ellie Johnston
11. Kezie Apps
12. Yasmin Meakes
13. Olivia Kernick

Interchange
14. Olivia Higgins
15. Kennedy Cherrington
16. Rima Butler
17. Teagan Berry

Reserves
18. Corban Baxter
19. Quincy Dodd
20. Hannah Southwell

Verdict

Jessica Sergis is backed to score a try as the Blues cover the 8.5 points. Stick with the trend of a low scoring game too.

Best Bet1: NSW -8.5 Money Line @10/11 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Under 37.5 Game Total @7/8 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Jessica Sergis Anytime Tryscorer @8/5 at Star Sports - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Jessica Sergis First Tryscorer @10/1 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
NSW -8.5
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Under 37.5
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Bet at bet365
Jessica Sergis
Anytime Tryscorer
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Jessica Sergis
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@10/1 - 1 Unit
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