Women's State of Origin Game 3 Betting Tips & Preview - Queensland to be competitive in dead rubber
Despite losing the first two games of the 2026 Women’s State of Origin, QLD Maroons Women have been highly competitive and look set to stay within the +9.5 handicap for Game 3, even after key injuries and team changes. Expect another tight, low-scoring contest, continuing the strong under 35.5 points trend that has seen seven of the last nine matches stay below this total. NSW Blues Women’s defense has dominated, and Jessica Sergis remains a significant try-scoring threat, having crossed four times in her last five games.
- QLD tipped to cover the +9.5 line despite key injuries.
- Estimated low-scoring game: under 35.5 points is the betting trend.
- Jessica Sergis likely to continue her try-scoring streak for NSW.
- QLD Maroons vs NSW Blues Women Game 3 Preview
- Head to Head
- QLD Maroons Women Form - Performances Better Than Results
- QLD Maroons Team News & Team List
- NSW Blues Women Form - Series Secured
- NSW Blues Women Team News & Team List
QLD Maroons vs NSW Blues Women Game 3 Preview
New South Wales have won the series but might not have it all their own way in Game 3. With under 35.5 points predicted in the game, I'm backing Queensland to stay within the +9.5 handicap in a tight contest with few tries.
- Queensland have lost both games this series by 5 points or fewer.
- Seven of the last nine Women’s Origin matches have gone under 35.5 points.
- NSW have conceded just 16 total points across the series
- NSW have scored 3 of their 5 tries on right side of their attack.
Head to Head
NSW lead the all-time Women’s Origin rivalry 11-6 and have won four of the last five meetings.
The Blues secured the 2026 series with victories of 11-6 and 14-10 in the opening two games.
QLD Maroons Women Form - Performances Better Than Results
Queensland’s performances have been far better than their results suggest. The Maroons have consistently matched NSW physically but have continually hurt themselves through handling errors and poor discipline.
In Game 2, Queensland completed at just 57 per cent and made 16 errors, yet still nearly forced extra time in the dying moments.
Young players like Rory Owen and Chantay Kiria-Ratu have impressed throughout the series, while Keilee Joseph and Otesa Pule continue to provide strong middle-third impact.
QLD Maroons Team News & Team List
Queensland have been forced into several major changes for Game 3 following injuries suffered in Brisbane.
Captain Tamika Upton, star winger Julia Robinson and forward Makenzie Weale have all been ruled out after picking up injuries during the Game 2 loss at Suncorp Stadium.
Their absences have opened the door for a new-look Maroons side featuring fresh young talent, with Destiny Mino-Sinapati and Lillian Yarrow both set to make their Women’s State of Origin debuts.
1. Destiny Mino-Sinapati
2. Shenae Ciesiolka
3. Rory Owen
4. Ivana Lolesio
5. Jasmine Peters
6. Chantay Kiria-Ratu
7. Lauren Brown (c)
8. Otesa Pule
9. Destiny Brill
10. Jessika Elliston
11. Sienna Lofipo
12. Romy Teitzel
13. Keilee Joseph
Interchange
14. Emma Manzelmann
15. Brianna Clark
16. Lillian Yarrow
17. Jada Ferguson
Reserves
18. Chelsea Lenarduzzi
19. Sophie Holyman
20. Georgia Ravics
NSW Blues Women Form - Series Secured
NSW’s defence has been the defining factor of the series.
The Blues have conceded just 16 total points across two games and continue to deliver in clutch moments, with Jesse Southwell and Teagan Berry producing crucial try-saving plays in Brisbane.
Southwell has controlled the series brilliantly from halfback and remains the key figure in NSW’s attack.
NSW Blues Women Team News & Team List
NSW have retained the same 20-player squad that secured the series victory in Brisbane, with only minor positional reshuffles ahead of Game 3 on the Gold Coast.
Olivia Higgins moves into the starting hooker role after wearing jersey No.14 in Game 2, while Keeley Nizza shifts back to the interchange bench despite scoring a crucial try at Suncorp Stadium.
1. Abbi Church
2. Jaime Chapman
3. Jessica Sergis
4. Isabelle Kelly (c)
5. Jayme Fressard
6. Jocelyn Kelleher
7. Jesse Southwell
8. Millie Elliott
9. Olivia Higgins
10. Ellie Johnston
11. Kezie Apps
12. Yasmin Meakes
13. Olivia Kernick
Interchange
14. Keeley Nizza
15. Kennedy Cherrington
16. Rima Butler
17. Teagan Berry
Reserves
18. Quincy Dodd
19. Corban Baxter
20. Hannah Southwell
Verdict
QLD’s young squad can keep the Maroons in the contest and cover in another low scoring match. Jessica Sergis will score for the third time this series.
Queensland +9.5
Handicap/Line
@10/11 - 2 Units
£30 Free Bet
Use promo code NEWBONUS
Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.
Under 35.5
Game Total
@10/11 - 3 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS
Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code NEWBONUS can be used during registration but does not change the offer amount in any way. #ad
Jessica Sergis
Anytime Tryscorer
@7/5 - 2 Units
Bet £20 Get £10
Use promo code NEWBONUS
18+ New customers only. Bet £20 (or more) EVS (2.0) or greater Get 2 x £5 Free Bets. 1 x £5 Free Bet paid automatically & following £5 Free Bet after 24hrs. Min Free Bet odds 4/1 (5.0) on accumulators Trebles & upwards. Expires after 24hrs. Full T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org
Jessica Sergis
First Tryscorer
@8/1 - 1 Unit
£30 Free Bet
Use promo code NEWBONUS
Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.
Top Betting Sites
Betting offers
Upcoming Events
28 March 2026
- LEC 2026 Spring -
- Esports
01 April 2026
04 April 2026
Load More
QLD Maroons Women v NSW Blues Women NRL State of Origin Game 3
Today's Acca Tips
-
Soccer tips
-
Horse Racing tips
-
Tennis tips
