Adelaide Crows vs Collingwood Magpies Tips & Preview - Crows to edge Pies AFL Qualifying Final
Adelaide Crows will host Collingwood in the AFL Qualifying Final after topping the ladder. Adelaide boasts 10 consecutive wins and strong defensive stats, while Collingwood has stumbled lately, winning only twice in their last seven and struggling against top eight sides. Injuries could impact both teams, with Daicos likely to shine for the Pies. Though Collingwood has a great record against Adelaide, the Crows’ current form and home advantage make them favorites, with action points focusing on a tight game, low total points, and standout individual performances.
- Adelaide Crows vs Collingwood Magpies expert predictions for Thursday’s Qualifying Final AFL game
- Adelaide enter the finals on a 10-match win streak and top seeds
- Collingwood has lost five of last seven and struggled vs. top eight sides
Adelaide Crows vs Collingwood AFL Qualifying Final Preview
Adelaide earned the right to host the Qualifying Final after completing the home and away season on top of the ladder. Collingwood finished 4th but managed just two wins in their final seven.
The Magpies cannot be underestimated, have an edge in finals experience over Adelaide and have an excellent record against the Crows. But with a couple of injury concerns, this might be just beyond them.
- Adelaide have won their past 10, Collingwood have lost five of their past seven
- The Magpies have lost their past five against top eight opponents.
- The total points in the Round 23 clash between the two sides was just 115
- Nick Daicos has had 30+ disposals in five of his past six matches against Adelaide, he had 29 in the other.
Head to Head
The two sides met as recently as Round 23 at the Adelaide Oval and it was the Crows in a thriller by three points. Collingwood got off to a fast start in that match and led by 25 points at quarter time, while they also registered 71-37 inside 50s for the match.
Collingwood had won the 10 matches prior to that between the two sides, including the Round 11 encounter this season at the MCG by 10 points. They have six of their past seven against the Crows at the Adelaide Oval.
Adelaide Crows Form
Adelaide have won 12 of their past 13 matches and have a 6-5 record against sides in the top half of the ladder this season. They have won their past 10 at the Adelaide Oval and are 12 from 13 at the venue in 2025.
Over the past 10 rounds, Adelaide rank 4th for scoring and 2nd for fewest points conceded. Riley Thithorpe booted three goals against North Melbourne in the final home and away game and has 21 from his past seven matches, hitting the 2+ in six of those.
Adelaide are not a high-disposal side, ranking just 14th over the course of the season. Jordan Dawson and Rory Laird both average 24.
Adelaide Crows Team News
Adelaide will be without Izak Rankine for at least another three matches. Max Michalanney is expected to be available to return from a hamstring injury, while it is touch and go for Josh Rachele, who has missed more than a month with a knee injury.
Collingwood Magpies Form
Collingwood were the dominant side up until Round 17 and had a 14-2 record before losing five of seven and finishing on 16-7. They have lost their past five matches against top eight opponents.
Their structure and team defence has tightened up since going down to Hawthorn by 64 points back in Round 22 and against Adelaide they conceded just nine goals before giving up 11 against Melbourne.
The Magpies booted the last four goals of the game against Melbourne with Jamie Elliot and Lachie Schultz both kicking two for the evening. Elliot has 52 goals for the season and has kicked 2+ in his past two matches.
Nick Daicos had 27 disposals against Melbourne and has had 25+ in nine of his past 10. He had 30+ in three of those and 40+ in two.
Collingwood Magpies Team News
Jeremy Howe was subbed out of the Melbourne match with a groin injury and is unlikely to play. Brody Mihocek (hand) and Beau McCreery (foot) are expected to be fine.
Jordan de Goey continues to build fitness after an injury interrupted 2025. Bobby Hill has missed more than a month due to personal reasons and is unlikely to be available.
Verdict
Crows to produce the goods in another tight slog. Daicos to be prominent for the Pies.
Adelaide Crows 1-39
Margin 39 point bands
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Nick Daicos
Disposals 30+
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Based in Melbourne, Adam is an avid sporting fan that loves a day at the MCG to follow his team, Hawthorn, in the AFL and the Aussies in the cricket, while he doesn't mind a day out at Moonee Valley, Flemington and Caulfield from time to time.
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