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GWS Giants vs Hawthorn Hawks Tips - Giants primed to deliver knockout blow to Hawks at ENGIE Stadium

adam-cusworth
Editor
Last updated: Wed 03 Sep 2025 10:25
In the highly anticipated AFL Elimination Finals, GWS Giants aim to continue their strong form against Hawthorn Hawks, having won nine of their last ten matches. The Giants benefit from a formidable record at ENGIE Stadium, winning all six past encounters with Hawthorn at the venue. Players returning from injuries, such as Josh Kelly and Jesse Hogan, add to the excitement. On the other hand, Hawthorn struggles to secure victories interstate and against top-eight teams, making this match a significant challenge. Expect a tight contest with the Giants tipped to advance.
Adam Cusworth 03 Sep 2025
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  • GWS Giants aim to leverage home advantage and recent form, winning 9 of last 10.
  • Hawthorn Hawks struggle with interstate matches and top-eight rivalries.
  • Key players like Josh Kelly, Jesse Hogan may return, boosting Giants' lineup.
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GWS vs Hawthorn
GWS take on Hawthorn in the first of the AFL Elimination Finals on Saturday (Getty Images)

GWS Giants vs Hawthorn Hawks Preview

  • GWS Giants vs Hawthorn Hawks Preview
  • Head to Head 
  • GWS Giants Form Analysis
  • GWS Giants Team News
  • Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis
  • Hawthorn Hawks Team News

GWS will end Hawthorn’s season with a win in the first of the two sudden-death AFL Elimation Finals on Saturday. 

The Giants are one of the form teams of the competition, winning nine of their last 10, and will be out to make a statement after narrowly missing the double chance. 

With stars like Josh Kelly, Jesse Hogan and Jake Stringer all in the frame to return, the Orange Tsunami could be about to surge again at just the right time.

While the Hawks claimed a gritty win when these two last met in Round 3, history is firmly on GWS’s side at home – they’ve won all six clashes at ENGIE Stadium. 

With Lachie Whitfield to provide plenty of run from half back and the likes of the midfield bull, Tom Green, to provide clearance and contested possession influence, it is hard to see Hawthorn holding territory, something they struggled to do in the final home and away match against Brisbane, when going down by 10 points. 

The Hawks will bring the pressure but have lost their past five interstate matches this season and have a patcy 3-7 record against top-eight sides. 

Take the Giants in the head to head or take them to cover the tiny line. Toby Greene is your man for multiple goals, while Lachie Whitfield could be in for a big day. 

  • Hawthorn are yet to defeat GWS in six attempts at the venue.
  • The Hawks have lost their past five matches outside of Victoria and Tasmania this season. 
  • Toby Greene has booted nine goals in his past three matches.
  • Lachie Whitfield has had 30+ disposals in his past three matches against Hawthorn. 

Head to Head 


The two sides have not met since way back in Round 3 this season and it was Hawthorn by 12 points in windy conditions at UTAS Stadium in Launceston. Jack Gunston booted two goals for the Hawks, while Lachie Whitfield had 34 disposals for the Giants. 

Whitfield has had 30+ disposals in his past three matches against Hawthorn, while Tom Green has had 25+ in his past three. Jesse Hogan has kicked nine goals from his past two against the Hawks. Jack Gunston has kicked 11 from his past four against the Giants. 

GWS were 13 point winners the last time the two sides played at ENGIE Stadium, which was in Round 17 of 2023. The Giants have won all six contests between the two sides at the venue. 

GWS Giants Form Analysis


GWS have won nine of their past 10 matches. They were blown off the park by a dominant Western Bulldogs outfit a month ago but come in with wins over North Melbourne, Gold Coast and St Kilda. In 11 matches against sides in the bottom half of the ladder this season, they have a win-loss record of 6-5.  

When the Giants are firing they are hard to stop when transitioning the ball from their backline and rank 3rd in the competition over the past five rounds for scores generated from their defensive half. 

Lachie Whitfield has been one of the prime movers from this area and has had 27 or more disposals in his past seven matches. Tom Green and Lachie Ash both had over 30 against North Melbourne. Up forward, Toby Greene was a matchwinner with four goals and has kicked 19 from his past eight, hitting the 2+ in seven of those. 

GWS Giants Team News


Interesting to see what the Giants do at selection with Jesse Hogan, Jake Stringer, Josh Kelly, Brent Daniels and Jack Buckley all a chance to return. Their stand-in forwards, Max Gruzewski and Harry Rowston, have been in good form and will be unlucky if they are the ones to make way for Hogan and Stringer. 

Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis


Hawthorn have won eight of their past 11 but their three losses have all been interstate and against top eight sides, a stat that they will need to rectify. Outside of Tasmania and Victoria this season, they have won just one of five with that coming way back in the opening round against Sydney, while against sides in the top eight, they are 3-7.   

Jack Gunston kicked another two goals against Brisbane, taking his season tally to 62. The veteran has kicked 3+ goals in five of his past matches. Mabior Chol booted three against the Lions, while Jack Ginnivan kicked two. 

Ginnivan has had 20+ disposals in six of his past seven matches. Karl Amon had a game-high 34 disposals against Brisbane, while James Worpel and Jai Newcombe both had over 20+. 

Hawthorn Hawks Team News


Mitch Lewis was subbed out of the Brisbane match with a corked thigh but is expected to be available. Harry Morrison is over his quad complaint and is expected to be available, while explosive halfback, Josh Weddle, is set to return after getting through half a game at Box Hill last weekend. 

Verdict

Giants to get upper hand with Whitfield instrumental across half-back and Greene stepping up in the forward line
Best Bet1: GWS Giants Match Winner @7/9 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Toby Greene To Score 2+ goals @12/23 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Lachie Whitfield To Have 30+ disposals @5/4 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
GWS Giants
Match Winner
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Bet at bet365
Toby Greene
To Score 2+ goals
@12/23 - 1 Unit
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Bet at dabble
Lachie Whitfield
To Have 30+ disposals
@5/4 - 1 Unit
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Bet at Star Sports
adam-cusworth
Adam Cusworth

Sports Editor • 20+ years betting experience

One of Australia's top tipsters, Adam provides tips for horse racing every day of the week as well as AFL previews. He is one of the top ranked experts on the Great Tip Off each month and has featured on Blackbook, Punters, Racingbase and many more.

 
Based in Melbourne, Adam is an avid sporting fan that loves a day at the MCG to follow his team, Hawthorn, in the AFL and the Aussies in the cricket, while he doesn't mind a day out at Moonee Valley, Flemington and Caulfield from time to time.

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