RegisterLog in
  • Home
  • Rugby League
  • NRL

Brisbane Broncos vs Newcastle Knights NRL Betting Tips - Knights to take the points in Round 22

andrew-hendrie
Andrew Hendrie
Editor
Last updated: Thu 30 Jul 2026 14:22
The Brisbane Broncos' finals hopes are nearly over after recent losses, while the Newcastle Knights, despite a three-game losing streak, are tipped to get back on track. The Broncos have struggled at home and offensively, with recent narrow losses, while the Knights are clinging to a top-eight spot after several close defeats. Big changes for both sides, including the return of Kalyn Ponga for Newcastle, could be decisive. Expect a tight contest, but the Knights are tipped to win, with Fletcher Sharpe expected to stand out.
Share
Andrew Hendrie 2 hours ago
Share this article
Or copy link
Copy
  • Broncos' season nearly over after key injuries and home losses
  • Knights have lost three close matches but welcome back Kalyn Ponga
  • Newcastle backed to edge out Broncos in a tight contest
newcastle knights
Newcastle Knights (Getty Images)


Brisbane Broncos vs Newcastle Knights Verdict


The Broncos' season is all but over and the Knights need to get back to winning ways to avoid similar. Having lost three straight, I'm backing Newcastle to get back to winning ways as the finals approach.
  • Broncos are 6-12 for the year
  • Broncos are 0-5 in their last five games at Suncorp
  • Broncos have scored just 64 points in their last five games
  • Broncos have seen a 1-12 margin in their last four games
  • Knights' last six games have been decided by six points or less, with five decided by two points or less
  • Knights have seen a 1-12 margin in their last eight games
  • Fletcher Sharpe has scored five tries in his last two games at Suncorp
  • Francis Manuleleua scored last week and starts in the second-row with Lucas out injured

Broncos vs Knights Head To Head

Broncos have won six straight games over the Knights, scoring 199 points during that period.

Brisbane Broncos Form - Finals Over Bar The Shouting

Nightmare premiership defence for the Broncos.

They lost some big guns to injury at the start of the year and have simply never found their groove.

Reece Walsh, Payne Haas, Ezra Mam and more have returned, but the magic from last year has escaped them.

Brisbane, to their credit, have battled hard over the last month, going down in close games against top four sides Cronulla and the Roosters, along with beating Penrith.

However, they just couldn't match the Cowboys last week, going down 18-10 in a defeat that all but ends their season.

Newcastle Knights Form - 3 Defeats For Knights

Challenging little period for the Knights and they desperately need a win here in order to avoid a real scrap for a top eight spot.

Newcastle were flying with seven wins from eight games, but a run of three consecutive defeats have seen them drop to seventh on the ladder, just two points ahead of the ninth-placed Bulldogs.

The Knights easily could have won all three of those games, which would see them challenging for the top four, but the reality is rugby league is decided by fine margins and Justin Holbrook's side have come out on the wrong end lately.

After a 26-24 defeat to the Rabbitohs, the Knights went down 20-18 to the Sharks before last week's 23-22 defeat to the Chooks at home, with Daly Cherry-Evans kicking the match-winning field goal in the 78th minute.

Broncos vs Knights Team News

Gehamat Shibasaki has been dropped for Brisbane, with Deine Mariner moving to centre and Grant Anderson coming onto the wing. Vaa Semu starts at prop, with Preston Riki out injured.

Huge blow for the Knights with Dylan Brown and Dylan Lucas suffering season-ending injuries last week, however a big inclusion with superstar fullback Kalyn Ponga returning.

Fletcher Hunt goes back to the bench with Dane Gagai also returning at centre, with Sandon Smith and Fletcher Sharpe the halves. Jermaine McEwen is back from a hamstring injury for Lucas in the second-row.

Verdict

The Knights are backed for the upset in a close game, with Sharpe playing a starring role.

Best Bet1: Knights Win Match Result @8/5 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Knights 1-12 Margin @29/10 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Fletcher Sharpe Anytime Tryscorer @9/4 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Francis Manuleleua Anytime Tryscorer @24/5 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
Knights Win
Match Result
@8/5 - 3 Units
£30 Free Bet
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.

Bet at Hollywood bets
Knights 1-12
Margin
@29/10 - 2 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code NEWBONUS can be used during registration but does not change the offer amount in any way. #ad

Bet at bet365
Fletcher Sharpe
Anytime Tryscorer
@9/4 - 1 Unit
Bet £20 Get £10
Use promo code NEWBONUS

18+ New customers only. Bet £20 (or more) EVS (2.0) or greater Get 2 x £5 Free Bets. 1 x £5 Free Bet paid automatically & following £5 Free Bet after 24hrs. Min Free Bet odds 4/1 (5.0) on accumulators Trebles & upwards. Expires after 24hrs. Full T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org

Bet at Star Sports
Francis Manuleleua
Anytime Tryscorer
@24/5 - 1 Unit
£30 Free Bet
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.

Bet at Hollywood bets
andrew-hendrie
Andrew Hendrie

Sports Editor • 20+ years betting experience

Andrew has been writing about sports for over a decade now after graduating with a double degree in 2013. In that time he has covered a wide range of sports, including NRL, AFL, Football (soccer), Tennis, NBA, NFL and more.


As a fan of Manchester City (since the 90s, he’s not a bandwagoner so they say), Canterbury Bulldogs and the Newcastle Jets, he’s experienced the highest of highs and the lowest of lows throughout the last few years.

Read More

Related

Top Betting Sites

special-offer-1Betting offers

Upcoming Events

08 May 2026

  • WNBA 2026 -
  • Basketball

10 June 2026

  • Volleyball Nations League 2026 -
  • Volleyball

09 July 2026

  • VCT 2026 China Stage 2 -
  • Esports
Load More
01 Aug 2026

Brisbane Broncos v Newcastle Knights

days

hours

min
Add to Calendar

Sports Tips Starts in

Today's Acca Tips

  • Soccer tips

  • Horse Racing tips

  • Tennis tips

 bonus image
Resources
Copyright © 2026 All Rights Reserved. Reproduction in whole or in part in any form or medium without express written permission is prohibited. Players must be 18 or over and located in jurisdictions where online gambling is legal. Please play responsibly. Bet with your head, not over it. Know when to Stop. Gamble responsibly and Think about your choices. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, and wants help, call or visit: gamcare.org.uk (UK), 800gambler.org (US), or gamblinghelponline.org.au (Australia). Gambling is addictive 18+. #Ads © 2026 freetips.com
Hear more from Freetips.com