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Canterbury Bulldogs vs Melbourne Storm NRL Betting Tips - Weakened Storm still too good in Round 12

jeremy-darke
Jeremy Darke
Editor
Last updated: Tue 19 May 2026 22:38
The Canterbury Bulldogs are struggling, losing five consecutive matches and failing to find attacking form, averaging only 14 points per game. Melbourne Storm, although missing key Origin players, have won eight of their last nine against the Bulldogs and are coming off dominant victories. The prediction strongly backs Melbourne to win, with Sualauvi Faalogo tipped to be a key try scorer. The recommended plays are Storm on the money line, Bulldogs under 24.5 points, and Faalogo as an anytime or first tryscorer.
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Jeremy Darke 19 May 2026
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  • Storm are favoured despite Origin player absences.
  • Bulldogs have struggled in attack, losing 5 straight.
  • Faalogo tipped as key tryscorer; Storm expected to win.
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melbourne storm
Melbourne Storm can take down the dogs (Getty Images)

Canterbury Bulldogs vs Melbourne Storm Verdict


The Storm are hit by Origin absentees, but they are still backed to defeat to struggling Bulldogs. Canterbury have failed to score a try in the last five rounds, so Melbourne can take the points even without their stars.

  • The Storm have won 8 of the last 9 matches against the Bulldogs
  • The Bulldogs have lost 5 straight matches scoring an average of 14 points per match.
  • The Bulldogs have scored just 13.55 points per game against Melbourne in their last 9 matches. 
  • Sualauvi Faalogo has 4 tries in his last 5 matches.

Head to Head 


Melbourne have won eight of the last nine matches against Canterbury since the 2019 season. 

In each of the Storm’s victories they have held Canterbury to 18 points or less.

Canterbury Bulldogs Form - No Tries Or Points For Dogs


The Canterbury Bulldogs are in a downward spiral and everything they have built over the last few years is coming undone in one foul swoop. 

Their success over the last couple of seasons has been built on defence, however, an average of 36 opposition points per game over their last 5, which have all been losses has experts scratching their heads. To make things worse, the moves they have made in attack have clearly not worked averaging just 14 points per game over their last 5 despite often having the better end of the pressure. 

Lachie Galvin has actually been their strongest in attack, despite being under the most criticism, while Matt Burton has not been involved enough, running the ball less and failing to unleash his lethal kick throughout matches.

Melbourne Storm Form - Storm Back In Business


Just as Melbourne have started to get their mojo back Origin comes to steal it away. After their record-breaking run of 7 straight losses, the Storm have put up two massive victories, 44-16 over Wests and 34-8 over Parramatta at Magic Round last week. 

In all honesty, I am still not sold on Melbourne, even if they were to have their Origin players in this week. They have played two of the worst defences in the league at the moment and tore them apart.  But the Eels and Tigers are one thing and most of the rest of the league is another. 

The positive for the Storm is the form of their spine, with Harry Grant, Jahrome Hughes and Cameron Munster combining for 6 tries over the previous two matches, along with 8 try assists and 8 line breaks. 

Verdict

I'm backing Faalogo to cross for Melbourne and for the Storm to win the match. They can hold the Dogs under 24.5 points.

Best Bet1: Melbourne Storm Money Line @6/5 at bet365 - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Canterbury Under 24.5 Team Total @10/11 at dabble - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Sualauvi Faalogo Anytime Tryscorer @4/5 at Star Sports - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Sualauvi Faalogo First Tryscorer @13/2 at Ken Howells - 1 Unit
Melbourne Storm
Money Line
@6/5 - 3 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

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Bet at bet365
Canterbury Under 24.5
Team Total
@10/11 - 2 Units
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New customers only. Bet £10+ to receive £10 in Free Bets. 7-day free bet expiry. Stake not returned. Promotional Terms Apply. 18+. GambleAware.org

Bet at dabble
Sualauvi Faalogo
Anytime Tryscorer
@4/5 - 2 Units
Bet £20 Get £10
Use promo code NEWBONUS

18+ New customers only. Bet £20 (or more) EVS (2.0) or greater Get 2 x £5 Free Bets. 1 x £5 Free Bet paid automatically & following £5 Free Bet after 24hrs. Min Free Bet odds 4/1 (5.0) on accumulators Trebles & upwards. Expires after 24hrs. Full T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org

Bet at Star Sports
Sualauvi Faalogo
First Tryscorer
@13/2 - 1 Unit
up to £25 Cashback
50% back with code NEWBONUS

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Bet at Ken Howells
jeremy-darke
Jeremy Darke

Sports Editor & Betting Analyst • 15+ Years of Experience, Australian Sports Specialist

Jeremy is a freelance journalist who is a true sports activist. A die-hard fan of the NRL all his life and also has a passion for all the major American sports.


From when he was a little fella he has played most sports ranging from rugby, ice hockey, tennis and football, just to name a few. His interest in analytics and statistics helps him find the edge while writing previews and being a regular tipster.

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