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Newcastle Knights vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL Betting Tips - Dragons to be kept quiet in Round 16

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Tue 16 Jun 2026 20:57
The Newcastle Knights are expected to secure another dominant win against the struggling St George Illawarra Dragons. With the Knights winning four out of their last five games and averaging 36 points per game, their attack continues to impress, especially with the return of Bradman Best. Meanwhile, the Dragons' offense remains weak, averaging just 14 points and rarely exceeding 16 in recent matches. Experts recommend backing the Knights for a 13+ win margin, Dragons under 16.5 team total, and Bradman Best as a likely tryscorer.
Jeremy Darke 16 Jun 2026
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  • Knights won 4 of last 5, averaging 36 points per game.
  • Dragons average just 14 points, rarely exceeding 16.
  • Prediction: Knights 13+ margin, Dragons under 16.5, Bradman Best to score.

Newcastle Knights vs St George Illawarra Dragons Verdict


The Dragons' struggling attack is tipped for another low-scoring performance with under St George's toal predicted. Newcastle have won four of their last five games and should be good enough for a 13+ points margin. 

  • St George are averaging just 14.0 points per game in 2026.
  • The Dragons have scored more than 16 points only twice in their last 13 matches.
  • Newcastle beat St George 44-10 in Round 10 earlier this season.
  • The Knights have averaged 36.0 points across their last five games.

Head to Head


Newcastle have won three of the last five meetings and completely dominated the most recent clash.

The Knights crushed the Dragons 44-10 in Round 10 this season and also recorded 30-10 and 32-12 victories in 2024 and 2023 respectively. Their three wins across the last five meetings have come by an average margin of almost 25 points.

Newcastle Knights Form - Winning Formula


The Knights have quietly become one of the form teams in the competition, winning four of their last five matches.

They have beaten Parramatta, Gold Coast, South Sydney and St George during that run while averaging 36.0 points per game. 

The attacking combination of Kalyn Ponga, Dylan Brown and Fletcher Sharpe continues to create chances, while wingers Greg Marzhew and Dominic Young have combined for 29 tries this season.

The return of Bradman Best is another major boost. Newcastle already possess one of the more dangerous backlines in the competition and gain another strike weapon against the NRL's last-placed side.

St George Illawarra Dragons Form - Points At A Premium


It has been a brutal season for the Dragons, who have won just one game and sit anchored to the bottom of the ladder.

Their attack has been the biggest issue. St George average only 14.0 points per game and have failed to reach 17 points in 11 of their last 13 matches. Over their last five games they have averaged just 14.0 points while conceding 32.4.

The Dragons were beaten 34-12 by Cronulla last week and have also suffered recent defeats of 44-10 to Newcastle, 30-12 to the Warriors and 28-6 to Penrith. 

Until they show signs of life offensively, it is difficult to trust them against a Knights side in strong form.

Verdict

Take the Knights 13+ and the Dragons under 16.5 team total. Bradman Best will cross in the centres for the Knights.

Best Bet1: Newcastle Knights 13+ Winning Margin @11/12 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: St George Under 16.5 Team Total @1/1 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Bradman Best Anytime Tryscorer @13/10 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Bradman Best First Tryscorer @10/1 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
Newcastle Knights
13+ Winning Margin
@11/12 - 3 Units
£30 Free Bet
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.

Bet at Hollywood bets
St George Under 16.5
Team Total
@1/1 - 2 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code NEWBONUS can be used during registration but does not change the offer amount in any way. #ad

Bet at bet365
Bradman Best
Anytime Tryscorer
@13/10 - 1 Unit
Bet £20 Get £10
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Bet at Star Sports
Bradman Best
First Tryscorer
@10/1 - 1 Unit
£30 Free Bet
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Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.

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