RegisterLog in
  • Home
  • Rugby League
  • NRL
timer

This preview has expired.

See all our latest betting tips or suggested betting sites

Newcastle Knights vs Sydney Roosters NRL Betting Tips - Roosters to claim a narrow victory in Round 21

jeremy-darke
Jeremy Darke
Editor
Last updated: Thu 23 Jul 2026 20:54
The Sydney Roosters are heavily favored to edge out the Newcastle Knights in a close contest, having won their last five meetings and four successive games overall. While Newcastle are resilient at home and keep games close, the Roosters' defensive strength and winning record give them the advantage. Expect a low-scoring affair (under 45.5 points), with Mark Nawaqanitawase tipped to break his try drought. Recommended bets include Roosters Money Line, Under 45.5, and Nawaqanitawase for tryscorer markets.
Share
Jeremy Darke 23 Jul 2026
Share this article
Or copy link
Copy
  • Roosters have won last 5 meetings and 9 of last 10 against Knights
  • Expect a low-scoring game (Under 45.5 points)
  • Mark Nawaqanitawase tipped as anytime tryscorer
Expired
roosters knights nrl
Sydney Roosters and Newcastle Knights clash (Getty Images)

Newcastle Knights vs Sydney Roosters Verdict


Sydney Roosters enjoy this match up, winning the last five games against the Newcastle Knights. I'm backing them to edge a tight contest with under 45.5 points also appealing. 

  • The Roosters have won their last five games against Newcastle.
  • Sydney’s last three wins at McDonald Jones Stadium have come by four, two and two points.
  • Six of the last eight meetings have produced fewer than 45.5 points.
  • Eight of the Roosters’ last nine matches have gone Under their respective totals.

Head to Head


The Roosters have dominated the overall rivalry, winning nine of the last 10 meetings against the Knights.

Sydney won 38-24 when the teams met earlier this season, but their recent trips to Newcastle have been far tighter. The Roosters won 12-8 in 2025, 22-20 in 2024 and 18-16 in 2023, with the Knights making the visitors work for the result each time.

Newcastle have not beaten the Roosters at McDonald Jones Stadium since 2019.

Newcastle Knights Form - Back-to-Back Defeats


Newcastle have lost their last two matches, but both defeats came by only two points against strong opponents. They pushed Cronulla to the final moments in a 20-18 loss after falling 26-24 to South Sydney the previous week.

The Knights have now played seven consecutive games decided by six points or fewer. That run reflects both their improved resilience and their inability to close out tight matches, with three of their most recent defeats coming by exactly two points.

Kalyn Ponga remains the focal point of the attack, while Dylan Brown and Fletcher Sharpe provide variation in the halves. Newcastle have averaged only 17.8 points across their last five games, but their defence has limited opponents to 16.8 over the same period.

Their five-game winning streak at McDonald Jones Stadium makes them difficult to oppose completely.

Sydney Roosters Form - Four Wins Straight


The Roosters have won four consecutive matches to move within two competition points of the ladder-leading Panthers. Their run includes victories over Cronulla, Brisbane, Parramatta and Melbourne, with Sydney conceding 18 points or fewer in every game.

Last week’s 14-6 win over the Storm was not their most polished attacking performance, but it demonstrated their defensive improvement. 

Melbourne did not play the ball inside Sydney’s 20-metre zone until the second half, while the Roosters controlled field position through their forwards and kicking game.

Sydney hold a clear advantage in kick metres, averaging 704.2 across their last five matches compared with Newcastle’s 646.6. 

Sam Walker and Daly Cherry-Evans have developed an effective combination, while Naufahu Whyte continues to provide strong carries and second-phase opportunities through the middle.

Verdict

Roosters can continue their domination of the Knights winning in a tight match that has less than 45.5 points. Mark Nawaqanitawase will break his try scoring drought.

Best Bet1: Sydney Roosters Money Line @7/10 at bet365 - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Under 45.5 Game Total @10/11 at dabble - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Mark Nawaqanitawase Anytime Tryscorer @1/1 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Mark Nawaqanitawase First Tryscorer @7/1 at Hollywoodbets - 1 Unit
Sydney Roosters
Money Line
@7/10 - 3 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code NEWBONUS can be used during registration but does not change the offer amount in any way. #ad

Bet at bet365
Under 45.5
Game Total
@10/11 - 2 Units
Bet £10 Get £10
Promo Code: NEWBONUS

New customers only. Bet £10+ to receive £10 in Free Bets. 7-day free bet expiry. Stake not returned. Promotional Terms Apply. 18+. GambleAware.org

Bet at dabble
Mark Nawaqanitawase
Anytime Tryscorer
@1/1 - 1 Unit
Bet £20 Get £10
Use promo code NEWBONUS

18+ New customers only. Bet £20 (or more) EVS (2.0) or greater Get 2 x £5 Free Bets. 1 x £5 Free Bet paid automatically & following £5 Free Bet after 24hrs. Min Free Bet odds 4/1 (5.0) on accumulators Trebles & upwards. Expires after 24hrs. Full T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org

Bet at Star Sports
Mark Nawaqanitawase
First Tryscorer
@7/1 - 1 Unit
£30 Free Bet
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.

Bet at Hollywoodbets
jeremy-darke
Jeremy Darke

Sports Editor & Betting Analyst • Sports Writer & Expert Betting Analyst

Jeremy is a freelance journalist who is a true sports activist. A die-hard fan of the NRL all his life and also has a passion for all the major American sports.


From when he was a little fella he has played most sports ranging from rugby, ice hockey, tennis and football, just to name a few. His interest in analytics and statistics helps him find the edge while writing previews and being a regular tipster.

Tipster and presenter on YouTube and a co-founder of The Sports Cap and The Basketball Fix.

You can find Jeremy on Muckrack and LinkedIn.

Read More

Related

Top Betting Sites

special-offer-1Betting offers

Upcoming Events

21 September 2026

  • EMEA Masters 2026 Summer -
  • Esports

24 September 2026

  • VALORANT Champions 2026 -
  • Esports
  • EuroLeague 2026/27 -
  • Basketball

28 September 2026

  • WTA Beijing -
  • Tennis
Load More
24 Jul 2026

Newcastle Knights v Sydney Roosters

Today's Acca Tips

  • Soccer tips

  • Horse Racing tips

  • Tennis tips

 bonus image
Resources
Copyright © 2026 All Rights Reserved. Reproduction in whole or in part in any form or medium without express written permission is prohibited. Players must be 18 or over and located in jurisdictions where online gambling is legal. Please play responsibly. Bet with your head, not over it. Know when to Stop. Gamble responsibly and Think about your choices. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, and wants help, call or visit: gamcare.org.uk (UK), 800gambler.org (US), or gamblinghelponline.org.au (Australia). Gambling is addictive 18+. #Ads © 2026 freetips.com
Hear more from Freetips.com