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North Queensland Cowboys vs Manly Sea Eagles NRL Betting Tips - Cows to cover at home in Round 7

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Tue 14 Apr 2026 21:36
The upcoming clash between North Queensland Cowboys and Manly Sea Eagles promises an intense face-off. The Cowboys, rejuvenated with four consecutive victories, look to extend their dominance over Manly. Despite a potential advantage, North Queensland's defense shows vulnerabilities, given Brisbane's scoring against them. Meanwhile, Manly, spearheaded by Foran's leadership, has displayed resilience in recent performances. With Trbojevic, a consistent tryscorer, they pose a significant threat. The overall recommendation hints at a game under 53.5 points with Cowboys covering as 4.5-point favorites.
Jeremy Darke 14 Apr 2026
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  • North Queensland Cowboys aim to continue their 4-game winning streak.
  • Manly Sea Eagles, under Foran, are gaining momentum.
  • Key players like Tom Trbojevic are expected to make an impact.
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north queensland cowboys
North Queensland Cowboys have won 4 in a row (Getty Images)

North Queensland Cowboys vs Manly Sea Eagles Preview


The Cowboys have turned their season around following two straights losses to start the campaign. North Queensland have won four straight and are backed to cover the line and end Manly's own winning run.

The game total of 53.5 points the highest of any game of the round is likely to go under. Tommy Trbojevic hasn’t missed in 2026 and is backed for more tries.

  • North Queensland have won 4 consecutive matches. 
  • North Queensland have won both matches in 2026 at QCB Stadium and 4 of their last 5 at home. 
  • 3 of the last 4 matches between North Queensland and Manly have gone under the game total.
  • Tom Trbojevic has scored 6 tries in 5 matches this season.

Head to Head 


Manly won both matches against North Queensland last season making it three straight for the Sea Eagles. 

Manly hold a 7-2 head to head lead since the 2019 season against North Queensland.

North Queensland Cowboys In Hot Form 


The Cowboys broke a six-game losing streak to bigger brother Brisbane, beating the Broncos 35-31 with a late try from Heilum Luki breaking the deadlock. 

North Queensland showed a lot of character in their win against Brisbane in a see-sawing match that could have gone either way, however, they forgot their mistakes and continued to pressure, resulting in victory. 

Taking advantage of a Pat Carrigan the Cows put up two tries with the extra man and piled the pressure on Brisbane for the majority of the match, controlling the territory with 67% and 55% of the possession. 8 line breaks and 1923 run metres certainly helped the cause as they also completed 34 of 39 sets.

If there is a concern for North Queensland after their victory against Brisbane was that their line was also fragile with the Broncos putting up 31 points with very little ball, giving up six line breaks and five tries with just 15 tackles inside their defensive 20m.

Manly Sea Eagles Go Back-To-Back Under Foran


Manly continued where they left off against the Dolphins, putting up three tries in the opening 16 minutes against the Dragons before actually trailing by two points after a 44 minute try by Setu Tu.

However, the Sea Eagles showed grit and composure in an arm wrestle of a second half, holding out the Dragons and running away 28-18 victors. 

The back five were once again work horses for their new coach Kieren Foran, especially Reuben Garrick who was in absolutely everything, finishing with two tries, 240 run metres and a line break.

Credit also has to be given to the edge of the Sea Eagles with both Ben Trbojevic and Haumole Olakau’atu combining for 32 runs and 282 run metres.

The Sea Eagles are a real wildcard at the moment. Will the Foz momentum fade or can Manly continue to build on what they have done over the last two weeks? 

With the focus being on their attack, the Sea Eagles stood up against the Dragons for long stretches with their defence forcing St George into mistakes. This could be the real difference under Foran.

Verdict

Despite a try from Tom Trbojevic, North Queensland can still cover as 4.5-point favourites in a game that has under 53.5 points.

Best Bet1: North QLD -4.5 Handicap/Line @11/12 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Under 53.5 Game Total @11/12 at bet365 - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Tom Trbojevic Anytime Tryscorer @20/21 at Star Sports - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Tom Trbojevic First Tryscorer @10/1 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
North QLD -4.5
Handicap/Line
@11/12 - 2 Units
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Under 53.5
Game Total
@11/12 - 3 Units
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Tom Trbojevic
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@20/21 - 2 Units
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Bet at Star Sports
Tom Trbojevic
First Tryscorer
@10/1 - 1 Unit
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North QLD Cowboys v Manly Sea Eagles