Adelaide Crows vs GWS Giants AFL Betting Tips - Crows keep to boost Top 6 hopes in Round 24
Adelaide Crows face GWS Giants in a crucial final round AFL clash with the Crows fighting to secure a top six finish. Adelaide is in strong home form, having won eight of their last nine at Adelaide Oval. The Giants, out of finals contention, have struggled on the road, averaging only 68 points per away game. Key players to watch include Izak Rankine and Lachie Whitfield. The recommendation: Adelaide Crows to win by 1-39 points in a low-scoring game, with an eye on Whitfield's disposals.
- Crows need a win to push for a top six finish; strong at home this season
- GWS out of finals contention, poor away form but can stay competitive
- Recommended: Crows win by 1-39 pts, low total points, Whitfield 30+ disposals
- Adelaide Crows vs GWS Giants Verdict
- Head to Head
- Adelaide Crows Form
- GWS Giants Form
- Adelaide Crows vs GWS Giants Team News
Adelaide Crows vs GWS Giants Verdict
The Adelaide Crows can end the home and away season on a high and give their hopes of a top six finish a boost. The Crows have to win to stand a chance of avoiding the wildcard zone...and they can do that part and sit back and wait on others.
- The total points in the Giants' nine away matches this season has averaged 160 (excluding the Giants' win over Melbourne on neutral ground in Alice Springs)
- GWS have averaged just 68 points per game in those matches.
- Lachie Whitfield has averaged 40 disposals in his past two matches against the Crows.
- Izak Rankine has averaged 128 AFL Fantasy Points in his past six matches.
Head to Head
Adelaide have won the past two between the two sides with both of those played at the Adelaide Oval. The Giants won four prior to that, including three at the venue.
Adelaide Crows Form
Adelaide have won five of their past seven matches but enter Round 24 after a 24-point loss to ladder leaders Fremantle.
The Crows were competitive for much of the match and defended strongly, but Fremantle's pressure and weight of inside 50s eventually told during the final term.
Their home form has been excellent, with Adelaide winning eight of their past nine matches at Adelaide Oval. That record gives them an ideal opportunity to respond immediately with their finals position still on the line.
Izak Rankine was outstanding against Fremantle with 39 disposals and a goal and has recorded 30+ disposals in four of his past six matches.
Jordan Dawson collected 29 disposals after recording 30+ in his previous two, while Darcy Fogarty has kicked 19 goals across his past five matches.
GWS Giants Form
GWS are out of finals contention with a 10-12 record despite producing a dominant 54-point victory against West Coast last weekend.
Callum Brown kicked four goals, Aaron Cadman added three and the Giants had several big possession winners in Lachie Ash with 36 disposals, Lachie Whitfield with 33 and Clayton Oliver with 29.
Their biggest problem has been taking that football on the road. The Giants are just 1-7 in away matches against interstate opposition this season, although their sole victory came in their most recent such match when they defeated Port Adelaide by 12 points at Adelaide Oval.
Those away matches have generally been low scoring, with the Giants averaging just 68 points and the total match score averaging 160.
Whitfield and Ash remain prolific, with both reaching 25+ disposals in eight of their past 10 matches, while Cadman has kicked five goals across the past two rounds.
Adelaide Crows vs GWS Giants Team News
Wayne Milera, Taylor Walker and Alex Neal-Bullen return for the Crows. Callum Ah Chee is managed, Toby Murray has been omitted and James Peatling misses through injury.
Xavier O’Halloran returns in the Giants’ only change, replacing the injured Cody Angove.
Verdict
Adelaide have everything to play for and their strong record at Adelaide Oval should see them prevail, but GWS can keep the margin respectable.
Back the Crows by 1-39 points and the total points under, with Lachie Whitfield 30+ disposals.
Adelaide Crows 1-39
Margin
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Under 177.5
Total Points
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Based in Melbourne, Adam is an avid sporting fan that loves a day at the MCG to follow his team, Hawthorn, in the AFL and the Aussies in the cricket, while he doesn't mind a day out at Moonee Valley, Flemington and Caulfield from time to time.
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