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Carlton vs Fremantle Dockers AFL Betting Tips - Dockers to take down the Blues in Round 24

adam-cusworth
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Last updated: Thu 20 Aug 2026 19:51
Fremantle Dockers, the minor premiers, are set to challenge Carlton at Marvel Stadium, aiming to secure a final regular season victory. While Carlton has found strong form under Josh Fraser, Fremantle's consistency and depth have made them favorites. With high-scoring trends and stand-out players like Sam Walsh for Carlton and Josh Treacy for Fremantle, expect an exciting, competitive match. The recommendation is to back the Dockers head-to-head, expect a high total score, and keep an eye on individual standouts in disposals and goals.
Adam Cusworth 20 Aug 2026
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  • Fremantle Dockers tipped to defeat Carlton at Marvel Stadium
  • Both teams average high total points in recent matches
  • Sam Walsh (Carlton) and Josh Treacy (Fremantle) set for big individual performances
fremantle dockers
The Dockers are minor premiers (Getty Images)

Carlton vs Fremantle Dockers Verdict


Carlton have won 10 and drawn one of their 13 matches under Josh Fraser to get into the finals, but they are tipped to end the home and away season with a defeat to minor premiership winners Fremantle Dockers.

  • The total points in Carlton’s past five matches at Marvel Stadium has averaged over 190.
  • The total points in Fremantle’s last two matches has been 200+.
  • Sam Walsh has averaged 34 disposals in his past six matches against the Dockers
  • Josh Treacy has kicked 3+ goals in his past two matches against the Blues.

Head to Head


Fremantle have taken out the past two matches between the two sides, which have both been at Perth Stadium. The Blues won the three prior to that and have claimed the past two at Marvel.

Carlton Form


Carlton have now won 10 and drawn one of their 13 matches since Josh Fraser took over, with last weekend's draw against the Western Bulldogs enough to cement their place in the finals. 

Their turnaround has been built around a much more potent attacking game and they are averaging 113 points across their past four matches, all at Marvel Stadium.

There continues to be an excellent spread of contributors. Will Hayward kicked three goals against the Bulldogs, with Harry McKay and Francis Evans adding two each. McKay has eight goals across the past three rounds, giving the Blues an imposing target inside 50.

Their midfield is also in excellent touch, with Sam Walsh, Patrick Cripps, Blake Acres and George Hewett all collecting 30+ disposals last weekend. 

Walsh has recorded 25+ in six consecutive matches, Cripps has reached that mark in four of his past five and Hewett has had 24+ in five straight.

Fremantle Dockers Form


Fremantle have won 19 of their 22 matches and will finish the home and away season on top of the ladder after beating Adelaide by 24 points last weekend. 

The Dockers were tested by the Crows but regained their physical edge and eventually took control through their stoppage work and weight of forward entries.

The Dockers have played at Marvel Stadium just once this season, defeating the Western Bulldogs by 12 points. 

They are 8-3 outside Western Australia this season, although that record drops to 2-2 in Victoria. Their past seven away matches have produced an average combined score of 192 points.

Jye Amiss kicked five goals against Adelaide, while Josh Treacy took 11 marks but finished with 1.4. Caleb Serong collected 29 disposals and kicked two goals, while Andrew Brayshaw had 27 touches and has now reached 25+ in seven of his past 10 matches.

Carlton vs Fremantle Team News


Lewis Young and Ollie Hollands return for the Blues, replacing injured pair Will Hayward and Nick Haynes, who are both sidelined with ankle issues.

Minor premiers Fremantle have elected to manage Heath Chapman, Sam Switkowski and Jye Amiss for the trip east. Judd McVee and Bailey Banfield return, while Tobyn Murray will make his AFL debut.

Verdict

Fremantle have been the benchmark this season and can end Carlton's brilliant run, but expect the Blues to make them work for it at Marvel Stadium. 

Take the Dockers head to head, with the attacking form of both sides making the total points over another strong play. Josh Treacy 3+ goals and Sam Walsh 30+ disposals complete the selections.

Best Bet1: Fremantle Win @11/20 at bet365 - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Over 181.5 Total Points @7/8 at dabble - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Sam Walsh To Have 30+ disposals @16/11 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Josh Treacy To Kick 3+ goals @50/49 at Ken Howells - 1 Unit
Fremantle
Win
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Bet at bet365
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Bet at dabble
Sam Walsh
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adam-cusworth
Adam Cusworth

Sports Editor • 20+ years betting experience

One of Australia's top tipsters, Adam provides tips for horse racing every day of the week as well as AFL previews. He is one of the top ranked experts on the Great Tip Off each month and has featured on Blackbook, Punters, Racingbase and many more.

 
Based in Melbourne, Adam is an avid sporting fan that loves a day at the MCG to follow his team, Hawthorn, in the AFL and the Aussies in the cricket, while he doesn't mind a day out at Moonee Valley, Flemington and Caulfield from time to time.

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