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Melbourne Demons vs GWS Giants AFL Betting Tips - Giants to take down the Dees

adam-cusworth
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Last updated: Sat 30 May 2026 10:23
AFL fans are anticipating a thrilling matchup between the Melbourne Demons and GWS Giants in Alice Springs. Recent form favors the Giants, who come off a record-breaking victory and have won their last three matches against Melbourne. GWS's Toby Greene is tipped for another strong game, while ex-Demon Clayton Oliver is predicted to rack up high disposal numbers. Key team changes see important players returning for both sides. Experts recommend backing the Giants to win, with bets on Greene for multiple goals and Oliver for 30+ disposals.
Adam Cusworth 30 May 2026
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  • GWS Giants are favored after a dominant, record-breaking win.
  • Clayton Oliver (ex-Demon) tipped for 30+ disposals; Toby Greene for multiple goals.
  • Key player returns bolster both teams in a high-stakes Alice Springs clash.
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clayton oliver
Clayton Oliver faces his former side (Getty Images)

Melbourne Demons vs GWS Giants Verdict


Melbourne give him home advantage with this game taking place in Alice Springs and I like the odds on the Giants to take advantage. Former Demon Clayton Oliver can also rack up some big numbers with Toby Greene backed for multiple goals.

  • GWS have won the past three matches against Melbourne.
  • The Giants come off a 78-point victory over Brisbane last weekend, the Lions’ biggest loss since 2017.
  • Clayton Oliver has had 38 and 37 disposals in his past two matches.
  • Toby Greene has kicked 16 goals in his past five matches against the Demons and booted five last weekend.

Head to Head Stats


GWS have won the past three against Melbourne with those all coming in tight fashion, including a three-point margin at the MCG last season, while the previous two were both by two points, including the Round 15 match at Traeger Park back in 2023.

Melbourne Demons Form - Dees Bid To Bounce Back


Melbourne remain firmly in the finals mix with a 7-4 record despite their narrow loss to the Western Bulldogs by three points last weekend. 

The Demons are 6th on the ladder and have built their resurgence around pressure, contested football and midfield dominance, but their execution by hand and foot let them down at key stages against the Bulldogs.

Even so, they still gave themselves a chance to win late, highlighting the resilience and competitiveness that has become a feature of their game style in 2026. 

Kysaiah Pickett continues to be one of the competition’s most influential players through the midfield and forward line, while Max Gawn, Ed Langdon and Tom Sparrow have been central to Melbourne’s contested game and transition work.

Pickett went without a goal last weekend but has nine from his past five, hitting the 2+ in three of those. Sparrow has had 20+ disposals in his past five, while Jake Bowey has had 25+ in four of his past seven, while he had 24 in two others.

GWS Giants Form - Record Breaking Win


The Giants reminded the competition of their best with a record-breaking 78-point demolition of Brisbane, producing one of the most devastating third quarters seen in recent AFL history by kicking 14 unanswered goals.

Their pressure, contest work and ability to generate scores from turnover were back to their damaging best, with GWS forcing repeated front-half turnovers and dominating territory through relentless pressure around the ball.

The Giants have now won five games for the season and will head in full of confidence after finally clicking as a unit. Toby Greene’s five-goal masterclass highlighted the potency of the Giants’ forward line, while Clayton Oliver, Finn Callaghan and Lachie Ash controlled large portions of the midfield battle.

Oliver has had 38 and 37 disposals in the past two rounds and has gone 30+ in seven of his past nine. Finn Callaghan has had 30+ disposals in his past two matches, while Toby Greene comes off his best haul of goals for the season by kicking five in the 26.10 (166) to 13.10 (88) scoreline last weekend.

Melbourne Demons Team News


Jake Lever and Changkuoth Jiath are both injured, while Tom McDonald and Brody Mihocek return.

GWS Giants Team News


Lachie Whitfield and Sam Taylor return, while Jack Buckley and Jake Riccardi are sidelined.

Verdict

Giants are tipped in the head to head with ex-Demon Clayton Oliver predicted to have a big one against his former side. Toby Greene to back up last week form with multiple goals.

Best Bet1: GWS Giants Win @8/7 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Clayton Oliver To Have 30+ disposals @4/7 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Toby Greene To Kick 2+ goals @23/17 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
GWS Giants
Win
@8/7 - 1 Unit
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Toby Greene
To Kick 2+ goals
@23/17 - 1 Unit
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