Lebanon vs France Tips & Preview - Handicap the value in Rugby League World Cup clash
In the Rugby League World Cup clash between Lebanon and France, France are tipped to cover a +31.5 handicap, as Lebanon have never beaten France by more than 30 points. France’s defensive issues have been most severe in second halves, while Lebanon have struggled to score, being held pointless by Tonga. Jacob Kiraz is a standout in the tryscorer markets due to his strong running stats. Team changes include Siegwalt out for France and Rajab out for Lebanon, with both sides making several positional adjustments.
- France are tipped with a +31.5 handicap against Lebanon.
- France conceded most points in second halves; Lebanon’s biggest win over France is 30 points.
- Jacob Kiraz is a focus in tryscorer markets after strong tournament stats.
Lebanon vs France Verdict
Lebanon should win but France appeal with a +31.5 start on the handicap with the Blues backed to keep things respectable. Jacob Kiraz is the focus in the tryscorer markets.
- France conceded 90 of their 160 points against in the second half of their two games.
- Lebanon have scored 18 points across two World Cup games and were held scoreless by Tonga.
- Lebanon lead the head-to-head 4-1, but their biggest winning margin over France is 30 points.
- Jacob Kiraz has 368 Run Metres and 8 tackle breaks from fullback at the tournament.
- France lose Latrell Siegwalt (shoulder) but welcome back Cesar Rouge at five-eighth.
Head to Head
Lebanon lead the head-to-head 4-1. France won the first meeting 38-24 in 1999, before Lebanon won three straight in 2002, 2003 and 2004 by 30, 8 and 28 points.
The last meeting was at the 2017 World Cup, where Lebanon won 29-18 in Canberra.
Lebanon Form
Lebanon opened their tournament with a 42-18 loss to PNG in Port Moresby.
They were in the game at halftime, trailing just 18-12 after two tries in four minutes before the break through Abbas Miski and Tony Sukkar, and Miski added a second in the 54th minute.
The Kumuls ran away with it late, scoring seven tries in total. Tony Francis was outstanding with 292 Run Metres and seven tackle breaks.
Round 2 was harder. Tonga beat them 36-0 at CommBank Stadium, scoring seven tries to none.
Lebanon kept Tonga to 14-0 at halftime and Alex Conti impressed under heavy pressure, but the Cedars could not find a way through. Kiraz ran for 154 metres and five tackle breaks in a beaten side.
France Form
France have conceded 160 points and scored just four points in two games at the Rugby League World Cup.
Samoa raced to an 18-0 lead after eight minutes in Round 1 and won 78-4, with Guillermo Aispuro-Bichet scoring France's only try of the tournament so far.
England then won 82-0 in Perth, although France kept them scoreless for the first 20 minutes before conceding six tries in 16 minutes.
The bad news is the loss of Latrell Siegwalt, who left the England game with a shoulder injury. Cesar Rouge returns at five-eighth and Thomas Lacans moves to halfback.
Team News
Lebanon's Joseph Nohra wears the No.6 after Khaled Rajab was ruled out of the rest of the tournament with a hamstring injury. Shadi Hammoud has been added to the squad and comes off the bench.
Moustafa Dirani is named at hooker, and Jalal Bazzaz returns to the bench alongside Yehya Ayache and Hammoud.
France's Latrell Siegwalt is out with a shoulder injury, so Guillermo Aispuro-Bichet comes into the centres and Romeo Tropis also starts in the centres.
Leo Darrelatour comes in on the wing for Fouad Yaha, who goes to the bench. Cesar Rouge starts at five-eighth after being benched against England, Thomas Lacans moves to No.7 and Theo Fages goes to the interchange.
Alrix Da Costa is the new hooker, Mathieu Cozza starts in the back row, Amir Bourouh goes to the bench and Arthur Romano drops to the reserves.
Verdict
Take France +31.5, Kiraz 2+ tries and the Kiraz and Mourgue same game multi.
France +31.5
Line
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J Kiraz 2+
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Kiraz & Mourgue ATS
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Ryan is an Australian sports content writer, producing insights and analysis for NRL, AFL and Basketball. He is also our YouTube host and presenter, can be found on Bets.com.au and is also a co-founder of The Sport Cap and The Basketball Fix.
From humble beginnings in Western Sydney growing up playing and refereeing Rugby League to running European wide Australian Rules Football tournaments there is a mountain of experience in between.
Multiple trips to North America has also deepened the love for the four major US sports and a continuing dream to catch as much live action as possible.
Stats and data analysis has now outgrown the hobby tag and the countless models and simulations are now being put to good use writing previews and predictions for NRL.
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