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Manly Sea Eagles vs North Queensland Cowboys NRL Betting Tips - Hosts to get back on track in Round 19

ryan-tucker
Ryan Tucker
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Last updated: Thu 09 Jul 2026 10:48
Manly Sea Eagles, despite a recent shock loss, are expert picks to win convincingly at home over the North Queensland Cowboys in Round 19, 2026. Historically dominant in this match-up, Manly have won four straight against the Cowboys and held them scoreless in several recent games. Analysts recommend backing Manly to win by 13+ points, the Cowboys to be kept under 20.5 points, and Jason Saab to score the first or any try, citing both teams’ recent forms and key player inclusions.
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Ryan Tucker 09 Jul 2026
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  • Manly tipped to win by 13+ points at home.
  • Cowboys expected to be kept under 20.5 points.
  • Jason Saab recommended for anytime & first tryscorer bets.
jason saab
Jason Saab to star for Manly Sea Eagles (Getty Images)

Manly Sea Eagles vs North Queensland Cowboys Verdict


Manly suffered a shock loss last week but are value to win by a 13+ points margin at home this week. The Sea Eagles can keep the Cowboys to under 20.5 points to help the margin cause. 

  • Manly have won four straight games against North Queensland.
  • The Sea Eagles have won eight of their last 10 games against the Cowboys.
  • North Queensland have scored only four tries in their last three games against Manly.
  • Jason Saab has scored six tries in his last four games against the Cowboys.

Head to Head Stats


Manly hold a 4-1 record across the last five meetings winning the last 4 straight. The last two wins have been particularly one-sided, with the Sea Eagles winning by 32 points in Townsville earlier this season and by 30 points at 4 Pines Park in 2025.

Manly Sea Eagles Form - 3 Defeats In 5


Manly have lost three of their last five, but they still look strong enough for this matchup. 

Across their last five they have averaged 21.2 points scored and only 16.4 conceded, and their defence ranks third for points allowed and second for linebreaks conceded.

The home bounce matters here. The Sea Eagles looked lacklustre last week, but the return of Koula adds speed and strike, while Olakau'atu being named to back up gives them more punch on an edge.

North QLD Cowboys Form - Strong Cowboys Win


North Queensland are coming off a strong win over Penrith, but their season has still had a boom-or-bust feel. 

Across their last five they have averaged 20.4 points scored and 26.8 conceded, and their defeats have often opened up into big margins.

Tom Dearden being listed among the reserves is worth watching, but the named side still has to prove it can handle Manly's speed and kick pressure at Brookvale. If the Cowboys fall behind, the Under 20.5 team total is very live.

Verdict

Take Manly to win by 13+, the Cowboys to be kept under 20.5 team total and back Jason Saab in both the anytime and first tryscorer markets.

Best Bet1: Manly 13+ Winning Margin @19/10 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Cowboys Under 20.5 Team Total @1/1 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Jason Saab Anytime Tryscorer @20/21 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Jason Saab First Tryscorer @15/2 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
Manly 13+
Winning Margin
@19/10 - 3 Units
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Cowboys Under 20.5
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Jason Saab
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Jason Saab
First Tryscorer
@15/2 - 1 Unit
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