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Newcastle Knights vs Manly Sea Eagles NRL Betting Tips - Knights winning run to continue in Round 25

andrew-hendrie
Andrew Hendrie
Editor
Last updated: Wed 19 Aug 2026 17:04
The Newcastle Knights look set for a fourth consecutive win as they host the Manly Sea Eagles, who are mired in a six-game losing streak. The Knights have been impressive, scoring 30+ points in each of their last three games, while Manly have conceded heavily and struggled to find form. Key players return for both sides, with Kalyn Ponga and Tyson Frizell tipped for strong performances. The recommendation is to back the Knights to cover a -6.5 line and score over 28.5 points.
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Andrew Hendrie 19 Aug 2026
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  • Knights are on a 3-game win streak, scoring 30+ points each time
  • Manly have lost 6 in a row, conceding high scores
  • Recommendation: Back Knights -6.5 & over 28.5 points, with Ponga & Frizell likely to score
newcastle knights
Newcastle Knights have won three in a row (Getty Images)


Newcastle Knights vs Manly Sea Eagles Verdict


The Knights are in hot form and can make it four straight wins when they host out of sorts Manly, who have lost six in a row. Back Newcastle to cover a -6.5 line and scoring 29+ points in the process.
  • Knights have won their last three games
  • Knights have scored 30+ points in all three of those wins
  • Manly have lost their last six games
  • Manly have leaked 38+ points in three of their last four games
  • Manly have lost by 22+ points in their last three games
  • Kalyn Ponga has scored a try in four of his last five games & crossed vs Manly in R2
  • Tyson Frizell starts in the second-row for this game & scored vs Manly in R2

Head To Head

Newcastle have won three of the last four meetings, including a dominant 20-point win in Round 2 earlier this season.

Newcastle Knights Form

After a three-match losing run in which they lost by a combined five points against the Rabbitohs, Sharks and Roosters, the Knights have returned to winning ways, establishing their top eight status in the process.

Newcastle eased past the Broncos 30-6 before edging out Canberra 30-24 in the nation's capital.

Justin Holbrook's side should have closed out the Titans by a bigger margin, but conceded two late tries in a 36-26 victory last week.

Ponga was on fire, topping the run metre charts with 240 and making three line breaks. Fletcher Sharpe, Dane Gagai and Greg Marzhew all scored doubles.

Manly Sea Eagles Form

It's been a rollercoaster season for Manly and they're in the midst of a big drop to end the campaign.

Kieran Foran stepped in for Anthony Seibald and instantly sparked the volatile club, with Manly going on a run of seven wins from eight games.

However, the honeymoon period is officially over, with the Sea Eagles currently on a six-game losing skid that doesn't look like stopping anytime soon.

After leaking 38+ points in heavy defeats to the Titans, Sharks and Storm, Manly's attack misfired in a 22-0 defeat to the Dolphins at home last week.

Despite everything, Manly are still mathematically in the finals hunt, four points outside of the eight with a differential of +46.

Knights vs Sea Eagles Team News

Bradman Best returns from a calf injury, replacing Dane Gagai, who is out with a hamstring issue.

Francis Manuleleua is out with concussion, so Tyson Frizell comes into the starting side. Jacob Saifiti is also back after a six-game absence.

Big in for Manly, with Tom Trbojevic returning from another hamstring setback, with Clayton Faulalo shifting to five-eighth in place of Joey Walsh, who is out with a hairline fracture to his jaw. Caleb Navale will come off the bench for his first NRL game of the year.

Verdict

The Knights are backed to cover a -6.5 line and score Over 28.5 points, with Ponga & Frizell crossing for tries.

Best Bet1: Knights -6.5 Line @13/14 at bet365 - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Knights Over 28.5 Total Team Points @7/8 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Kalyn Ponga Anytime Tryscorer @13/10 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Tyson Frizell Anytime Tryscorer @6/1 at Ken Howells - 1 Unit
Knights -6.5
Line
@13/14 - 3 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

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Bet at bet365
Knights Over 28.5
Total Team Points
@7/8 - 1 Unit
Bet £10 Get £10
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New customers only. Bet £10+ to receive £10 in Free Bets. 7-day free bet expiry. Stake not returned. Promotional Terms Apply. 18+. GambleAware.org

Bet at dabble
Kalyn Ponga
Anytime Tryscorer
@13/10 - 1 Unit
Bet £20 Get £10
Use promo code NEWBONUS

18+ New customers only. Bet £20 (or more) EVS (2.0) or greater Get 2 x £5 Free Bets. 1 x £5 Free Bet paid automatically & following £5 Free Bet after 24hrs. Min Free Bet odds 4/1 (5.0) on accumulators Trebles & upwards. Expires after 24hrs. Full T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org

Bet at Star Sports
Tyson Frizell
Anytime Tryscorer
@6/1 - 1 Unit
up to £25 Cashback
50% back with code NEWBONUS

The Ken Howells promo code is NEWBONUS. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. begambleaware.org

Bet at Ken Howells
andrew-hendrie
Andrew Hendrie

Sports Editor • 20+ years betting experience

Andrew has been writing about sports for over a decade now after graduating with a double degree in 2013. In that time he has covered a wide range of sports, including NRL, AFL, Football (soccer), Tennis, NBA, NFL and more.


As a fan of Manchester City (since the 90s, he’s not a bandwagoner so they say), Canterbury Bulldogs and the Newcastle Jets, he’s experienced the highest of highs and the lowest of lows throughout the last few years.

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