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North Queensland Cowboys vs Dolphins NRL Betting Tips - Dolphins to cover the line in Round 14

ryan-tucker
Ryan Tucker
Editor
Last updated: Thu 04 Jun 2026 20:24
The Dolphins are favored to continue their strong defensive run when they face the North Queensland Cowboys. The Dolphins have allowed only 14.8 points per game across their last five and have an excellent recent record against the Cowboys, winning the last three meetings. With North Queensland averaging below 24.5 points and facing a hungry Dolphins side fresh off a bye, taking the Cowboys under 24.5 team total is recommended. Player props such as Jamayne Isaako 12+ points and Jack Bostock scoring 2+ tries are also suggested.
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Ryan Tucker 04 Jun 2026
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  • Dolphins have allowed just 14.8 points per game in their last 5 matches
  • Cowboys have not scored over 24.5 points in their last 2 games vs Dolphins
  • Jamayne Isaako & Jack Bostock are key player prop options
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Dolphins and North Queensland Cowboys (Getty Images)

North Queensland Cowboys vs Dolphins Verdict


The Dolphins defence has been impressive this season and they can keep the North Queensland Cowboys to under 24.5 points having allowed only 14.8 points per game across their last five. They can cover the small line too.  

  • The Dolphins have allowed only 14.8 points per game across their last 5.
  • North Queensland have not cleared 24.5 points in their last 2 games against the Dolphins.
  • The Dolphins have won their last 3 games against the Cowboys.
  • Jamayne Isaako has scored 9 tries in his last 6 games against North Queensland.

Head to Head Stats


The Dolphins have won the last 3 games against the Cowboys, including a 58-4 win in Townsville last season and a 43-24 win later in 2025. 

The Cowboys can still create points at home, but recent head-to-head scoring points toward the Dolphins having the right matchup.

North Queensland Cowboys Form - Flat Loss Last Time Out


The Cowboys return home after a flat loss in Canberra and will be desperate to respond. They have scored 106 points across their last 3 home games, so the team total Under is not without risk.

The reason to take it is the opponent. North Queensland have averaged 23.6 points across their last 5 and now face a Dolphins team that has been restricting far better attacking sides to low numbers.

Reuben Cotter returning is a boost and Soni Luke is good to go after a knee issue. Tom Mikaele has also been named despite leaving the field with a knee injury last week, which keeps North Queensland closer to full strength through the middle.

Dolphins Form - Defensive Security


The Dolphins are fresh off the bye and riding a four-game winning streak. They have averaged 33.5 points during that run, but the more impressive number is what they have been doing without the ball.

Across their last 5 games they have allowed just 14.8 points per game, and that stretch included a tough run of attacking opponents. That defensive base makes the Cowboys Under 24.5 the best bet on the card.

Isaako is the obvious player-points look. He is named on the wing, he kicks goals, and he has scored 9 tries in his last 6 games against the Cowboys. If the Dolphins get near their 28.5 team total, Isaako has every chance to land 12+.

Verdict

Take North Queensland Under 24.5 Team Total and Dolphins -3.5. Jamayne Isaako 12+ points and a Same Game Multi of Dolphins outright and Jack Bostock 2+ tries are the player prop plays.
Best Bet1: Cowboys Under 24.5 Team Total @4/5 at bet365 - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Dolphins -3.5 Line @9/10 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Jamayne Isaako 12+ Player Points @15/16 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Jack Bostock 2+ Tries @13/4 at Ken Howells - 1 Unit
Cowboys Under 24.5
Team Total
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Dolphins -3.5
Line
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Bet at Ken Howells
ryan-tucker
Ryan Tucker

Sports Editor & Betting Analyst • Australian Sports Specialist & Betting Model Expert

Ryan's love for sport traverses many countries and cultures. From humble beginnings in Western Sydney growing up playing and refereeing Rugby League to running European wide Australian Rules Football tournaments there is a mountain of experience in between. 


Multiple trips to North America has also deepened the love for the four major US sports and a continuing dream to catch as much live action as possible.

Stats and data analysis has now outgrown the hobby tag and the countless models and simulations are now being put to good use writing previews and predictions for NRL.

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