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England vs Wales Betting Tips - Wales can push England all the way in Six Nations clash

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Ralph Staniforth
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Last updated: 09 Mar 2020
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Ralph Staniforth 09 Mar 2020
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Tight match expected at Twickenham 
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Wales vs England rugby 2019 six nations
Wales have won two of their last three matches against England (Getty Images)

England vs Wales Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips


England host Wales in the 2020 Six Nations at Twickenham with history showing we’re in for a tight encounter. The bookmakers have been kind with a 10 point handicap in my opinion so I’m going to back Wales to cover it.

England Form


England beat Ireland 24-12 at Twickenham to get their Six Nations campaign back on track. It is now two victories in a row for England after suffering an opening weekend defeat to France.

In order to claim the Six Nations crown England must simply win against Wales and hope Ireland can do them a favour on the last weekend. Defeat however to Wales and England’s hopes will be crushed.

Recent history suggests that England and Wales generally go down to the wire. This clash doesn’t often finish with huge margins between the sides so another close one can be expected. England are favourites at 1.22 but don’t be surprised if Wales pull this one through.

England News


Anthony Watson and Mark Wilson both make their first start of the season while Sam Underhill has been ruled out with injury. Watson replaces Jonathan Joseph in what are the only changes to the England side that beat Ireland.


Wales Form


Wales started the Six Nations with a massive victory over Italy but have since labored to a defeat against Ireland and suffered a 27-24 loss to France at the Principality Stadium last time out.

France has surprised many this season with their performances and Wales were actually quite effective for most of the match, some would even say unfortunate to lose. Wales have not been playing poorly their matches against England are generally pretty tight affairs.

Not since 2015 has Wales won at Twickenham but there is certainly value in the handicap market which is set at 10 points. An upset win could be on the cards considering the vulnerability England have shown at times this season.

Wales News


Star wing Josh Adams is has been ruled out of the Six Nations with Liam Williams coming in after a four-month lay-off. Fortunately Dan Biggar has been passed fit after suffering an injury last weekend against Saracens. Taulupe Faletau drops to the bench with Josh Navidi coming in.

England vs Wales Head to Head


Wales have won two of their last three matches against England with the latest victory coming in a Rugby World Cup warm-up clash at the Principality Stadium. Wales won 13-6. In five of the last seven matches between the two the points difference has been below 10 points.

England vs Wales Betting Odds


England are favourites at 1.22 to win with Wales offering odds of 5.00. A draw is priced at 34.00. The handicap market is set  at 10 points with England paying 1.83 and Wales 2.00.

England vs Wales Match Up


England will look do get the upper hand in the tight phases but this is a strength of the Welsh as well. Under Wayne Pivac Wales have played a bit more expansively but at Twickenham they will need to tighten up a bit more and focus on retaining possession.

Wales rugby
Wales tipped to cover handicap at Twickenham (Getty Images)

England vs Wales Stats


  • Wales have covered the +10 handicap in 7 of their last 9 matches against England.
  • Wales have won 2 of their last 3 matches against England.
  • Wales have covered the + 10 handicap in their last 3 Six Nations matches against England at Twickenham.

England vs Wales FAQ

Where can I watch England vs Wales live stream online?

You can check out our online streaming calendar for the England vs Wales live stream.

Where will England vs Wales be played?

England will play Wales at the Twickenham in London, England.

When will England vs Wales be played?

England vs Wales will be played on Saturday 7 March 2020 at 16:45 GMT.

What is England vs Wales Head to Head record?

Wales have beaten England in two of their last three meetings.

What is England's recent form?

England have beaten Scotland and Ireland after suffering defeat to France in the Six Nations opener.

What is Wales' recent form?

Wales have lost their last two matches to Ireland away and France at home.

What is England's starting line-up against Wales?

Elliot Daly; Anthony Watson, Manu Tuilagi, Owen Farrell, Jonny May; George Ford, Ben Youngs; Joe Marler, Jamie George, Kyle Sinckler; Maro Itoje, George Kruis; Courtney Lawes, Mark Wilson, Tom Curry.

What is Wales' starting line-up against England?

Halfpenny; North, Tompkins, Parkes, L Williams; Biggar, T Williams; R Evans, Owens, Lewis, Ball, AW Jones (capt), Moriarty, Navidi, Tipuric.

Verdict

England are favourites but Wales have won two of their last three matches against the hosts. Recent matches between the two have been really close so I'm backing Wales to cover the +10 handicap at even money.

Best Bet: Wales +10 Handicap Handicap Market @1/1 at bet365 - 5 Units
Value Bet: Wales Win Win Market @4/1 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Wales +10 Handicap
Handicap Market
@1/1 - 5 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

Bet at bet365
Wales Win
Win Market
@4/1 - 1 Unit
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

Bet at bet365

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Post bet analysis

England won 33-30 which secured a 4 unit win on the match.
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Ralph Staniforth
07 Mar 2020

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