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Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz Betting Tips & Live Stream - De Minaur to Keep it Close at ATP Vienna

eddy-tora
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Last updated: Sun 01 Nov 2026 00:11
Alex de Minaur faces Carlos Alcaraz in the 2026 Vienna Open final, with over 21.5 games the main betting tip. Alcaraz has seen a tie break in eight of his last eleven matches, highlighting his tendency for close sets. De Minaur, fresh from a semi-final win over Alexander Zverev, remains winless in six meetings with Alcaraz, but his current form suggests he can keep the match competitive. The head-to-head history and recent match patterns support the expectation of a tight contest.
Eddy Tora 2 hours ago
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  • Alcaraz has seen a tie break in 8 of his last 11 matches
  • De Minaur took out Alexander Zverev in the semi-finals
  • I am backing the Aussie to keep the final close in Vienna
Alex de Minaur Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz has won all six matches against Alex de Minaur (Getty)
brand Alex De Minaur v Carlos Alcaraz Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Tennis > ATP Vienna. T&Cs apply. Watch and bet Geo-restrictions apply. You must have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Over 18s only. T&Cs apply.

Alex de Minaur got past Alexander Zverev in the semi-finals but has to overcome an 0-6 record against Carlos Alcaraz.

The Australian can keep it close in the final, but Alcaraz’s class should come to the fore in Vienna.


Alex de MinaurCarlos Alcaraz
Nationality Australia Spain
Age 27 (17 February 1999) 23 (5 May 2003)
Height 6'0" (1.83m) 6'0" (1.83m)
Plays Right-Handed Right-Handed
Ranking 10 3
Career High 5 (July 2024) 1 (September 2022)
ATP Tour Titles 11 27
2026 ATP Tour Titles 1 3
Grand Slam Titles 0 7
ATP Vienna Best Result Semi-Finals (2024, 2025) Semi-Finals (2021)

HTH


Carlos Alcaraz is 6-0 against Alex de Minaur, the first set going over 10.5 games on four occasions.

YearEventSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
2026 Australian Open Hard QF Alcaraz 7-5 6-2 6-1
2025 Tour Finals Hard RR Alcaraz 7-6 6-2
2025 Barcelona Clay QF Alcaraz 7-5 6-3
2025 Rotterdam Hard F Alcaraz 6-4 3-6 6-2
2023 Queen's Club Grass F Alcaraz 6-4 6-4
2022 Barcelona Clay SF Alcaraz 6-7 7-6 6-4

De Minaur Takes out Zverev


Alex de Minaur has been in the Top 10 for over a year. He has reached three finals in 2026, victorious in Rotterdam before going down in s Hertogenbosch and Beijing.

The Australian was last seen in Shanghai where he suffered a 6-4 6-4 quarter-final defeat to Alexander Zverev.

The 27-year-old is back in form in Vienna, getting past Tomas Machac 1-6 6-4 6-3 before wins over Learner Tien (6-4 6-2) and Matteo Berrettini (7-6 6-2).

De Minaur got some revenge over Zverev in the semi-finals, coming through to win 6-4 1-6 7-6 after saving 1/3 break points.

Tie Breaks Plentiful for Alcaraz


Carlos Alcaraz is getting back to his best after an injury layoff, going 15-2 including a title win in Tokyo. 

The Spaniard had a minor blip Shanghai where he suffered a shock 7-5 7-6 third round defeat to Zizou Bergs.

The 23-year-old hasn’t lost a set in Vienna, defeating Karen Khachanov 6-4 7-6, Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-1 7-6, Tommy Paul 6-4 7-6 and Daniil Medvedev 6-4 7-6.

How to Watch Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz Live


Event: 2026 Vienna Open
Round: Final
Date: Sunday 1 November

The Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz match in the 2026 Vienna Open final is available to stream live for registered users on Stake.

Stake is our top-recommended platform for watching tennis live online. They offer high-definition, low-latency streams alongside competitive in-play betting odds so you can follow every point in real time.

Steps to Stream the Match Live:

Create an Account: Visit Stake.com via our official link to open an account.
Fund Your Account: Make a minimum deposit using your preferred payment method.
Locate the Match: Go to the Tennis tab under Live Events and select Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz.
Start Streaming: Click the Live Stream icon on the match screen to open the video feed.*

*Geo-restrictions apply. Users must be 18+ and hold a funded account to view live streams. Please gamble responsibly.

ATP Vienna Final Live Stream

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Verdict

Carlos Alcaraz has seen a tie break in nine of his previous 11 matches. Alex de Minaur is capable of sticking around in Vienna, but his losing record against Alcaraz is set to continue.

Best Bet4: Over 12.5 Games Set 1 Total Games @4/1 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Carlos Alcaraz Win 2-1 Set Betting @33/10 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Over 10.5 Games Set 1 Total Games @12/5 at Star Sports - 2 Units
Best Bet1: Over 21.5 Games Total Games @17/20 at Hollywoodbets - 4 Units
Over 12.5 Games
Set 1 Total Games
@4/1 - 1 Unit

Bet at bet365
Carlos Alcaraz Win 2-1
Set Betting
@33/10 - 1 Unit

Bet at dabble
Over 10.5 Games
Set 1 Total Games
@12/5 - 2 Units

Bet at Star Sports
Over 21.5 Games
Total Games
@17/20 - 4 Units

Bet at Hollywoodbets
eddy-tora
Eddy Tora

Sports Editor • 15+ Years of Experience, Football & Tennis Betting Specialist

Eddy writes about a number of sports with a strong focus on European football and tennis.

  
You will find him covering big football matches from around Europe and beyond as well as ATP Tour tennis.

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