Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Betting Tips & Live Stream - Value on Hurkacz at ATP Beijing
At the 2026 ATP Beijing semi-final, Alex De Minaur faces Hubert Hurkacz in a highly anticipated clash. De Minaur has struggled with break points, giving up 28, compared to Hurkacz’s impressive serve consistency, who has only been broken twice recently. While De Minaur leads their head-to-head 3-1, all victories were on hard courts. Current form and statistics suggest a strong edge for Hurkacz. The recommendation is to back Hubert Hurkacz to win, likely in three sets. Live streaming is available on Stake for registered users.
- De Minaur has given up 28 break points in Beijing
- Hurkacz has allowed 11 in the same amount of matches
- I am backing Hurkacz to come through in 3 sets
Alex De Minaur v Hubert Hurkacz Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Tennis > ATP Beijing. T&Cs apply.
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Hubert Hurkacz has getting back to his best and is serving strong in Beijing. Alex de Minaur has lost the opening set in his last two matches, his luck to run out in the semi-finals.
| Alex de Minaur | Hubert Hurkacz | |
|---|---|---|
| Nationality | Australia | Poland |
| Age | 27 (17 February 1999) | 29 (11 February 1997) |
| Height | 6'0" (1.83m) | 6'5" (1.96m) |
| Plays | Right-Handed | Right-Handed |
| Ranking | 10 | 39 |
| Career High | 5 (July 2024) | 6 (August 2024) |
| ATP Tour Titles | 11 | 8 |
| 2026 ATP Tour Titles | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam Titles | 0 | 0 |
| ATP Beijing Best Result | Semi-Finals (2025) | First Appearance |
HTH
Alex de Minaur is 3-1 against Hubert Hurkacz, winning all three encounters on hard courts.
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | United Cup | Hard | QF | De Minaur | 6-4 4-6 6-4 |
| 2025 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | De Minaur | 6-4 6-0 |
| 2019 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Hurkacz | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2018 | Atlanta | Hard | R32 | De Minaur | 1-6 7-6 7-6 |
De Minaur Holding Onto Top 10 Spot
Alex de Minaur has been a Top 10 player for over a year. He won the title in Rotterdam and lost the s’Hertogenbosch final but was unable to get to another semi-final until now.
The Australian was well below his best on the North American hard court swing, ending with a straight sets defeat to Botic van de Zandschulp in the US Open second round.
The 27-year-old gained some confidence at the Laver Cup, coming back to beat Alexander Zverev 2-6 7-6 (11-9).
De Minaur has spent plenty of time on court in Beijing, beating Mariano Navone 7-6 6-2 and Quentin Halys 3-6 7-6 7-5. He came back to beat Andrey Rublev 1-6 6-2 6-3 in the quarters, saving 9/12 break points.
Hurkacz Climbing the Rankings
Hubert Hurkacz dropped out of the Top 100 in June but has now won 12 of his last 14 matches. He won the Cancun Challenger before a second round defeat to Ben Shelton at the US Open.
The 29 year-old went deep in Chengdu, reaching the final where he went down to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.
The Pole was pushed in his opening two wins in Beijing, getting past Learner Tien 5-7 6-3 6-4 and Arthur Gea 7-6 6-7 6-2. He was more efficient against Karen Khachanov, winning 7-6 6-2 after saving one break point.
How to Watch Alex De Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz Live
- Event: 2026 China Open
- Round: Semi-Finals
- Date: Monday 5 October
The Alex De Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz match at the 2026 China Open is available to stream live for registered users on Stake.
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Steps to Stream the Match Live:
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- Locate the Match: Go to the Tennis tab under Live Events and select Alex De Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz.
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ATP Beijing Live Streams
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2026/10/05
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Verdict
Alex De Minaur has allowed 28 break points in three matches and that could be a problem against Hubert Hurkacz. The Pole has been broken only two times and is well placed to reach the final.
in Beijing.
in Beijing.
3 Sets
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Hubert Hurkacz Win
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Hubert Hurkacz Win 2-1
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