Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi Betting Tips & Live Stream - Alcaraz to Maintain Perfect Record at ATP Tokyo
Carlos Alcaraz heads into his ATP Tokyo second round match against Matteo Arnaldi as the clear favorite. Alcaraz, the defending Japan Open champion, boasts a 6-0 record at the event, while Arnaldi has a poor recent record, especially against Top 5 and Top 50 players. All signs point to Alcaraz dominating the encounter, with betting tips favoring under 19.5 games and a straight sets victory. The match will be available to stream on Stake for registered users, making it easy for fans to catch all the action live.
- Alcaraz is a perfect 6-0 at the Japan Open
- Arnaldi has a 2-10 record against Top 5 players
- I think Alcaraz will be too good in the 2nd round
Carlos Alcaraz v Matteo Arnaldi Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Tennis > ATP Tokyo. T&Cs apply.
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Carlos Alcaraz is expected to defend his title in Tokyo and Matteo Arnaldi has little chance of stopping him here. I am backing Carlos Alcaraz to get this one done in quick time.
| Name | Carlos Alcaraz | Matteo Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Nationality | Spain | Italy |
| Age | 23 (5 May 2003) | 25 (22 February 2001) |
| Height | 6'0" (1.83m) | 6'1" (1.85m) |
| Plays | Right-Handed | Right-Handed |
| Ranking | 3 | 37 |
| Career High | 1 (September 2022) | 30 (August 2024) |
| ATP Tour Titles | 26 | 0 |
| 2026 ATP Tour Titles | 2 | 0 |
| Grand Slam Titles | 7 | 0 |
| ATP Tokyo Best Result | Winner (2025) | First Round (2024) |
HTH
Carlos Alcaraz is 2-0 against Matteo Arnaldi, the last meeting coming in 2024.
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Indian Wells | Hard | R64 | Alcaraz | 6-7 6-0 6-1 |
| 2023 | US Open | Hard | R16 | Alcaraz | 6-3 6-3 6-4 |
Alcaraz Unbeaten in Tokyo.
Carlos Alcaraz recently spent four months recovering from a wrist injury, forcing him missing the French Open and Wimbledon as a result.
The Spaniard returned at the US Open, losing one set on his way to the quarter-finals where he went down in 5 sets to Ben Shelton.
The 23-year-old played once at the Laver Cup, beating Taylor Fritz 6-3 4-6 (13-11).
Alcaraz was pushed by Alex Michelsen in the first round in Tokyo, coming through 7-6 4-6 6-1 after winning 56% of his 2nd serves and saving 8/13 break points. He is now 6-0 at the event.
Arnaldi in Poor Form
Matteo Arnaldi dropped out of the Top 100 before going on a great run at the French Open. He won an epic match against Frances Tiafoe on his way to the semi-finals where he withdrew due to exhaustion.
The Italian lost seven of his previous nine matches before coming to Tokyo, beaten by players outside the Top 50 in three consecutive matches.
The 25-year-old came back to beat Rei Sakamoto 2-6 6-4 6-4 in the first round, saving 2/4 break points.
How to Watch Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi Live
- Event: 2026 Japan Open
- Round: Second Round
- Date: Saturday 3 October
The Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi match at the 2026 Japan Open is available to stream live for registered users on Stake.
Stake is our top-recommended platform for watching tennis live online. They offer high-definition, low-latency streams alongside competitive in-play betting odds so you can follow every point in real time.
Steps to Stream the Match Live:
Create an Account: Visit Stake.com via our official link to open an account.
Fund Your Account: Make a minimum deposit using your preferred payment method.
Locate the Match: Go to the Tennis tab under Live Events and select Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi.
Start Streaming: Click the Live Stream icon on the match screen to open the video feed.*
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ATP Tokyo Live Streams
- Time
- Sport
- Event
- Live
-
2026/10/03
02:00:00
AM Tennis Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo
ATP TokyoStream
-
2026/10/03
03:30:00
AM Tennis Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi
ATP TokyoStream
-
2026/10/03
07:00:00
AM Tennis Matteo Berrettini vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
ATP TokyoStream
-
2026/10/03
08:30:00
AM Tennis Ugo Humbert vs Jiri Lehecka
ATP TokyoStream
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Verdict
Matteo Arnaldi came to Tokyo in poor form and I don’t see how he has any chance of stopping a rejuvenated Carlos Alcaraz. The defending champion can get this one done in straight sets.
Under 19.5 Games
Total Games
@3/4 - 3 Units
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Under 8.5 Games
Set 2 Total Games
@13/10 - 2 Units
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