Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff Betting Tips & Live Stream - Struff to Keep it Close at ATP Beijing
Daniil Medvedev faces Jan-Lennard Struff in the second round of the 2026 ATP Beijing China Open. Despite Medvedev’s strong streak and higher ranking, Struff’s recent win over him at Wimbledon and solid serving suggest a close contest. Betting experts recommend backing over 20.5 total games, expecting a tight match rather than a one-sided affair. The match can be watched live on Stake for registered users. Struff +3.5 games is also considered good value given his form and past success against Medvedev.
- Struff beat Medvedev in straight sets at Wimbledon
- Two of those sets went to a tie break
- I am backing Struff to keep it close in Beijing
Daniil Medvedev is playing with confidence but lost to Jan-Lennard Struff at Wimbledon. I think Struff’s serve can hold up in Beijing where over 20.5 games is my best bet.
| Daniil Medvedev | Jan-Lennard Struff | |
|---|---|---|
| Nationality | Russia | Germany |
| Age | 30 (11 February 1996) | 36 (25 April 1990) |
| Height | 6'6" (1.98m) | 6'4" (1.93m) |
| Plays | Right-Handed | Right-Handed |
| Ranking | 6 | 59 |
| Career High | 1 (February 2022) | 21 (June 2023) |
| ATP Tour Titles | 24 | 1 |
| 2026 ATP Tour Titles | 3 | 0 |
| Grand Slam Titles | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Beijing Best Result | Runner-Up (2023) | First Round (2017, 2023) |
HTH
Daniil Medvedev is 9-3 against Jan-Lennard Struff which includes a 6-1 record on hard courts.
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Wimbledon | Grass | R32 | Struff | 7-6 7-6 7-5 |
| 2025 | Dubai | Hard | R32 | Medvedev | 6-4 7-6 |
| 2025 | Marseille | Hard | QF | Medvedev | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024 | Wimbledon | Grass | R32 | Medvedev | 6-1 6-3 4-6 7-6 |
| 2021 | Davis Cup | Hard | RR | Medvedev | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2021 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Medvedev | 6-4 6-1 4-6 7-6 |
| 2021 | Halle | Grass | R32 | Struff | 7-6 6-3 |
| 2019 | Cincinnati | Hard | R16 | Medvedev | 6-2 6-1 |
| 2017 | Marseille | Hard | R16 | Medvedev | 6-3 3-6 7-6 |
| 2016 | Mons Challenger | Hard | SF | Struff | 7-6 7-6 |
| 2016 | Orleans Challenger | Hard | R32 | Medvedev | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2016 | Hamburg | Clay | R32 | Medvedev | 6-4 5-7 6-4 |
Medvedev Finding Form in Asia
Daniil Medvedev won titles in Brisbane, Dubai and lost the final in Indian Wells but couldn’t reach the same heights on clay and grass.
His return to hard courts failed to yield results, including a straight sets defeat to Frances Tiafoe in the US Open fourth round. He won the Hangzhou Open last week, defeating Andrey Rublev in the final.
The Russian made a winning start in Beijing, defeating Pablo Carreno Busta 6-4 6-2 after rattling down 12 aces.
Struff Struggling to go on Deep Runs
Jan-Lennard Struff went on a great run at Wimbledon where he beat Brandon Nakashima, Daniil Medvedev and Hubert Hurkacz. He ran into Jannik Sinner in the quarter-finals where he went down 7-5 7-6 6-3.
It was enough to get the German back into the Top 50. It didn’t last long after he failed to get past the second round in his next four events.
Struff breezed past Thiago Agustin Tirante 6-1 6-4 in the first round in Beijing, winning 64% of his 2nd serves and saving one break point.
How to Watch Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff Live
- Event: 2026 China Open
- Round: Second Round
- Date: Saturday 3 October
The Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff match at the 2026 China Open is available to stream live for registered users on Stake.
Stake is our top-recommended platform for watching tennis live online. They offer high-definition, low-latency streams alongside competitive in-play betting odds so you can follow every point in real time.
Steps to Stream the Match Live:
- Create an Account: Visit Stake.com via our official link to open an account.
- Fund Your Account: Make a minimum deposit using your preferred payment method.
- Locate the Match: Go to the Tennis tab under Live Events and select Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff.
- Start Streaming: Click the Live Stream icon on the match screen to open the video feed.*
*Geo-restrictions apply. Users must be 18+ and hold a funded account to view live streams. Please gamble responsibly.
Verdict
Jan-Lennard Struff is being given little chance here despite beating Daniil Medvedev at Wimbledon. The conditions are quicker in Beijing, but I don’t think that is enough reason to take the short odds on Medvedev.
Over 20.5 Games
Total Games
@4/5 - 3 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS
Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code NEWBONUS can be used during registration but does not change the offer amount in any way. #ad
Struff +3.5
Games Handicap
@17/11 - 2 Units
Bet £10 Get £10
Promo Code: NEWBONUS
New customers only. Bet £10+ to receive £10 in Free Bets. 7-day free bet expiry. Stake not returned. Promotional Terms Apply. 18+. GambleAware.org
Over 12.5 Games
Set 1 Total Games
@4/1 - 1 Unit
Bet £20 Get £10
Use promo code NEWBONUS
18+ New customers only. Bet £20 (or more) EVS (2.0) or greater Get 2 x £5 Free Bets. 1 x £5 Free Bet paid automatically & following £5 Free Bet after 24hrs. Min Free Bet odds 4/1 (5.0) on accumulators Trebles & upwards. Expires after 24hrs. Full T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org
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