Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka Betting Tips & Live Stream – Osaka Holds Narrow Edge in Toronto
Naomi Osaka continues her impressive comeback at the Canadian Open after defeating Panna Udvardy and reaching the third round. She faces Elise Mertens, who staged a tough comeback win over Anna Bondar. Historically, Osaka leads their head-to-head 5-3, and her hard-court success, combined with the drive to defend last year’s runner-up points, makes her the favorite in this encounter. Mertens has shown resilience and consistency but has struggled to notch consecutive wins at big events. The prediction leans toward Osaka’s form and momentum carrying her through.
- Osaka leads Mertens 5-3 in head-to-head meetings
- Osaka shows strong form & aims to defend runner-up points
- Mertens resilient, but struggles with consistency at WTA 1000 events
Elise Mertens v Naomi Osaka Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Tennis > WTA Toronto. T&Cs apply.
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Elise Mertens has shown her trademark resilience this week, but Naomi Osaka's recent resurgence and motivation to defend last year's runner-up points give her the edge.
Osaka Chases Another Canadian Open Last-16 Spot
- Mertens has failed to register multiple wins in four of her six WTA 1000 events in 2026.
- She has a 4–8 record against Top 20 players in 2026.
- Osaka has a 2–1 record in third-round matches at the Canadian Open.
- She has a 24–4 record against players outside the Top 20 in 2026.
HTH - Naomi Osaka leads 5-3
| Year | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Bad Homburg WTA | R16 | Grass | Naomi Osaka | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 2024 | Toronto WTA | 2R | Hard | Elise Mertens | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 2024 | 's-Hertogenbosch | 1R | Grass | Naomi Osaka | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 2024 | Indian Wells | 3R | Hard | Elise Mertens | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 2021 | Miami | R16 | Hard | Naomi Osaka | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 2021 | Gippsland Trophy | SF | Hard | Elise Mertens | 6-7(5), 7-5, 6-0 |
| 2020 | Cincinnati (New York) | SF | Hard | Naomi Osaka | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 2019 | Osaka WTA | SF | Hard | Naomi Osaka | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 2017 | Wuhan | 1R | Hard | Elise Mertens | 6-4, 1-6, 6-4 |
Mertens Builds on Comeback Victory
Elise Mertens came from a set down to defeat Anna Bondar 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 and reach the third round in Toronto. The Belgian recovered from a break down twice before completing another impressive comeback.
In her previous seven appearances at the Canadian Open, Mertens has registered multiple main-draw wins only twice, reaching the quarterfinals in Montreal in 2018 and the third round in Toronto in 2024. She also defeated Naomi Osaka during her last appearance in Toronto and will be looking to repeat that result this week.
Mertens has played 13 tournaments this season and has cleared the opening-round hurdle in all of them. She has gone on to win multiple matches on four occasions, highlighted by a Wimbledon quarterfinal, fourth-round appearances at the Australian Open and Rome, and a third-round run in Dubai.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Belgium |
| Age | Born 17 November 1995 |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | No. 24 |
| Career High | No. 12 (26 November 2018) |
| Elo Ranking | No. 18 |
| Tour-Level Titles | 10 |
Osaka Builds on Her Strong Comeback
Naomi Osaka defeated Panna Udvardy 6-2, 6-4 to reach the third round in Toronto. The Japanese star fired 10 aces and won 83 percent of her first-serve points in an impressive opening performance.
Osaka struggled with injury issues earlier this season but has steadily rediscovered her form. Her standout results include a runner-up finish in Bad Homburg, a quarterfinal at Wimbledon, a semifinal in Washington, and several fourth-round appearances at major tournaments.
She has cleared the opening round eight times this season and has gone on to win her second-round match on every occasion, a trend she will be hoping to continue this week.
Last year, Osaka reached the final in Montreal before finishing runner-up to Victoria Mboko. She returns to Canada looking to defend those ranking points while carrying encouraging recent form.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Japan |
| Age | Born 16 October 1997 |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | No. 13 |
| Career High | No. 1 (28 January 2019) |
| Elo Ranking | No. 11 |
| Tour-Level Titles | 7 |
WTA Toronto Live Streams
- Time
- Sport
- Event
- Live
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2026/08/07
03:00:00
PM Tennis Iva Jovic vs Alina Korneeva
WTA TorontoStream
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2026/08/07
04:30:00
PM Tennis Ann Li vs Elena Rybakina
WTA TorontoStream
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2026/08/07
06:00:00
PM Tennis Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez
WTA TorontoStream
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2026/08/07
07:00:00
PM Tennis Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonova
WTA TorontoStream
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2026/08/07
09:00:00
PM Tennis Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka
WTA TorontoStream
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2026/08/07
10:30:00
PM Tennis Taylor Townsend vs Belinda Bencic
WTA TorontoStream
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2026/08/08
12:30:00
AM Tennis Catherine McNally vs Alexandra Eala
WTA TorontoStream
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Verdict
Naomi Osaka has the added motivation of defending her runner-up points from last year's Canadian Open and arrives with strong momentum after an encouraging run of results in recent weeks. Elise Mertens has the experience to make this a competitive contest, but Osaka's current form and hard-court pedigree give her the edge to progress.
Naomi Osaka
Match Winner
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Osaka 2-1
Correct Score
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