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Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz Betting Tips & Live Stream - Games Markets in Play at ATP Paris

eddy-tora
Editor
Last updated: Thu 05 Nov 2026 10:01
Matteo Berrettini and Carlos Alcaraz meet in the third round of the 2026 Paris Masters, with over 21.5 games tipped as the main selection. Alcaraz has seen a tie break in 10 of his last 13 matches, while Berrettini has been involved in two tie breaks in Paris. Their head-to-head record shows none of their four previous meetings ended in straight sets, suggesting another close contest. Both players' strong serving and recent match trends support the expectation of a lengthy battle, making the games market a key focus.
Eddy Tora 1 hour ago
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  • Alcaraz has seen a tie break in 10 of his last 13 matches
  • Berrettini has been involved in 2 tie breaks in Paris
  • I am turning to the games markets in the third round
Matteo Berrettini Carlos Alcaraz melbourne
Matteo Berrettini beat Carlos Alcaraz at the 2022 Australian Open (Getty)
brand Matteo Berrettini v Carlos Alcaraz Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Tennis > ATP Paris. T&Cs apply. Watch and bet Geo-restrictions apply. You must have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Over 18s only. T&Cs apply.

Carlos Alcaraz has become a tie break machine and Matteo Berrettini could prove tough to break in Paris. I am continuing with the games markets in this one.


Matteo BerrettiniCarlos Alcaraz
Nationality Italy Spain
Age 30 (12 April 1996) 23 (5 May 2003)
Height 6'5" (1.96m) 6'0" (1.83m)
Plays Right-Handed Right-Handed
Ranking 43 3
Career High 6 (January 2022) 1 (September 2022)
ATP Tour Titles 10 28
2026 ATP Tour Titles 0 4
Grand Slam Titles 0 7
ATP Paris Best Result Second Round (2019, 2020) Quarter-Finals (2022)

HTH


Carlos Alcaraz is 3-1 against Matteo Berrettini, none of the encounters settled in straight sets.

YearEventSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
2023 Wimbledon Grass R16 Alcaraz 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-3
2022 Rio de Janeiro Clay QF Alcaraz 6-2 2-6 6-2
2022 Australian Open Hard R32 Berrettini 6-2 7-6 4-6 2-6 7-6
2021 Vienna Hard QF Alcaraz 6-1 6-7 7-6

Berrettini Back in the Top 50


Matteo Berrettini’s long road back to the Top 50 ended after a third round appearance at Wimbledon. 

The Italian is 8-7 on the hard court swing, reaching one quarter-final in Vienna last week. He met Alex de Minaur and went down 7-6 6-2 after winning 29% of his 2nd serves.

The 30-year-old was involved in an epic clash in the first round in Paris, saving two match points in a 6-4 3-6 7-6 victory over Brandon Nakashima. He then beat Ugo Humbert 7-6 7-5, saving 6/7 break points.

Alcaraz Chasing Eighth Title in 2026


Carlos Alcaraz is getting back to his best after an injury layoff, going 17-2 and winning two titles. He was victorious in Tokyo before suffering a surprise third round defeat to Zizou Bergs in Shanghai.

The Spaniard responded by winning the title in Vienna, getting it done without dropping a set. He got past Karen Khachanov, Nikoloz Basilashvili, Tommy Paul and Daniil Medvedev before taking out Alex de Minaur 6-1 6-4 in the final.

The 23-year-old was too good for Alex Michelsen in Paris, getting through 7-6 6-3 after winning 77% of his 2nd serves and saving 2/3 break points.

How to Watch Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz Live


Event: 2026 Paris Masters
Round: Third Round
Date: Thursday 5 November

The Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz match at the 2026 Paris Masters is available to stream live for registered users on Stake.

Stake is our top-recommended platform for watching tennis live online. They offer high-definition, low-latency streams alongside competitive in-play betting odds so you can follow every point in real time.

Steps to Stream the Match Live:

Create an Account: Visit Stake.com via our official link to open an account.
Fund Your Account: Make a minimum deposit using your preferred payment method.
Locate the Match: Go to the Tennis tab under Live Events and select Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz.
Start Streaming: Click the Live Stream icon on the match screen to open the video feed.*

*Geo-restrictions apply. Users must be 18+ and hold a funded account to view live streams. Please gamble responsibly.

ATP Paris Live Streams

Verdict

Matteo Berrettini has been broken once in both victories in Paris and knows how to beat Carlos Alcaraz. I am backing this one to go over 21.5 games.

Best Bet3: Over 12.5 Games Set 1 Total Games @7/2 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Over 10.5 Games Set 1 Total Games @12/5 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet1: Over 21.5 Games Total Games @10/11 at bet365 - 3 Units
Over 12.5 Games
Set 1 Total Games
@7/2 - 1 Unit

Bet at bet365
Over 10.5 Games
Set 1 Total Games
@12/5 - 1 Unit

Bet at Star Sports
Over 21.5 Games
Total Games
@10/11 - 3 Units

Bet at bet365
eddy-tora
Eddy Tora

Sports Editor • 15+ Years of Experience, Football & Tennis Betting Specialist

Eddy writes about a number of sports with a strong focus on European football and tennis.

  
You will find him covering big football matches from around Europe and beyond as well as ATP Tour tennis.

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