Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud Betting Tips & Live Stream - Value on Ruud at ATP Shanghai
The article previews the Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud quarter-final at the 2026 ATP Shanghai Masters, highlighting Jodar's pattern of dropping first sets and Ruud's impressive serving form. Ruud's serve has not been broken in Shanghai, and he enters the match with 39 wins in his last 40 completed matches. Despite Jodar being the pre-match favourite, the article recommends backing Casper Ruud to win, noting the value in his betting odds and predicting the match will go over 22.5 games. Step-by-step live streaming instructions are also provided.
- Jodar has lost the first set in his previous 4 matches
- Ruud’s serve is yet to be broken in Shanghai
- I am backing the Norwegian to upset the odds
Rafael Jodar v Casper Ruud Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Tennis > ATP Shanghai. T&Cs apply.
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Rafael Jodar has fallen behind in all three matches in Shanghai where he has saved 15/18 break points. I think his luck is going to run out against Casper Ruud who has caught fire in China.
| Rafael Jodar | Casper Ruud | |
|---|---|---|
| Nationality | Spain | Norway |
| Age | 20 (17 September 2006) | 27 (22 December 1998) |
| Height | 6'3" (1.91m) | 6'0" (1.83m) |
| Plays | Right-Handed | Right-Handed |
| Ranking | 13 | 24 |
| Career High | 11 (August 2026) | 2 (September 2022) |
| ATP Tour Titles | 1 | 14 |
| 2026 ATP Tour Titles | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam Titles | 0 | 0 |
| ATP Shanghai Best Result | First Appearance | Fourth Round (2023) |
HTH
This will be the first match between Rafael Jodar and Casper Ruud.
Jodar Running out of Steam?
Rafael Jodar has been a huge improver this year, rising from 165 into the Top 20. He won the title in Marrakech, reached the final in Washington and got to the semi-finals in Montreal.
The Spaniard has shown some signs of fatigue however, starting with an incomprehensible 6-2 6-1 6-1 first round defeat to Bu Yunchaokete at the US Open. He lost 6-1 6-3 to Adolfo Daniel Vallejo in his opening match in Tokyo.
The 20-year-old has fallen behind in all three matches in Shanghai but turned it around on each occasion. He got past Thiago Agustin Tirante 4-6 6-2 6-3, Jiri Lehecka 4-6 7-6 6-4 and Botic van de Zandschulp 6-7 6-4 6-2, saving 15/18 break points in China.
Ruud Finding Form in Shanghai
Casper Ruud went 17-6 on clay, reaching the final in Rome where he lost to Jannik Sinner. A fourth round defeat to Joao Fonseca in the French Open fourth round started a poor run of form.
The 27-year-old came to Shanghai after losing six of his previous 11 matches.
The Norwegian’s serve hasn’t been broken in Shanghai. He beat Bu Yunchaokete 6-1 7-6, Learner Tien 6-4 7-6 and was leading 5-2 when Felix Auger Aliassime retired.
How to Watch Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud Live
Event: 2026 Shanghai Masters
Round: Quarter-Finals
Date: Friday 16 October
The Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud match at the 2026 Shanghai Masters is available to stream live for registered users on Stake.
Stake is our top-recommended platform for watching tennis live online. They offer high-definition, low-latency streams alongside competitive in-play betting odds so you can follow every point in real time.
Steps to Stream the Match Live:
Create an Account: Visit Stake.com via our official link to open an account.
Fund Your Account: Make a minimum deposit using your preferred payment method.
Locate the Match: Go to the Tennis tab under Live Events and select Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud.
Start Streaming: Click the Live Stream icon on the match screen to open the video feed.*
*Geo-restrictions apply. Users must be 18+ and hold a funded account to view live streams. Please gamble responsibly.
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Verdict
Rafael Jodar is the favourite in Shanghai despite dropping the first set in all three matches. I don’t think the early odds are correct here so I am backing Casper Ruud.
Casper Ruud Win
Winner
@5/4 - 4 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS
Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code NEWBONUS can be used during registration but does not change the offer amount in any way. #ad
Casper Ruud Win 2-0
Set Betting
@14/5 - 1 Unit
Bet £10 Get £10
Promo Code: NEWBONUS
New customers only. Bet £10+ to receive £10 in Free Bets. 7-day free bet expiry. Stake not returned. Promotional Terms Apply. 18+. GambleAware.org
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