Jasmine Paolini vs Sorana Cirstea Betting Tips & Live Stream – Cirstea's Form Gives Her the Edge at the US Open
Paolini enters the matchup with a 3-0 head-to-head advantage over Cirstea and a promising start in New York, suggesting initial confidence. However, those victories are from over two years ago and the landscape has shifted. Cirstea has shown significant improvements and is currently in better form, carrying more momentum into the match. As a result, Cirstea is now considered to have the edge, despite historical results.
- Paolini leads head-to-head 3-0, but last wins were over 2 years ago
- Cirstea has gained form and momentum recently
- Cirstea is now viewed as having the advantage
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Paolini's strong start and previous success against Cirstea give her confidence, but the Romanian's current form and momentum could make this a very different matchup.
Cirstea Looks To Build On Her Strong Run In New York
- Paolini has a 6–3 record in third-round matches at Grand Slam tournaments.
- She is currently on a six-match losing streak against Top 20 players.
- Cirstea has a 1–3 record in third-round matches at the US Open.
- She has a 31–3 record against players outside the Top 20 this year.
HTH - Jasmine Paolini leads 3-0
| Year | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Dubai | SF | Hard | Paolini | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 2023 | French Open | 1R | Clay | Paolini | 7-5, 2-6, 6-2 |
| 2021 | Portoroz | QF | Hard | Paolini | 6-4, 4-6, 6-1 |
Paolini Finds Her Rhythm After Injury Layoff
Jasmine Paolini moved into the third round of the US Open after defeating Lucrezia Stefanini in straight sets, 6-4, 6-1. She was initially a little shaky and trailed by a break, but gradually regained her rhythm as the match progressed and finished strongly.
This is her third consecutive third-round appearance at the US Open. She reached the fourth round in 2024 but was eliminated at this stage last year.
Paolini will be pleased with her results so far, having been sidelined for nearly two months due to a foot injury and arriving in New York without playing any warm-up events. However, her comfortable start this week, coupled with her recent quarterfinal run at Wimbledon, should give her plenty of confidence.
The Italian struggled earlier this year, registering multiple main-draw wins in only four of the 12 events she played before this week. She also lost significant ranking points, which recently pushed her outside the Top 20.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Italy |
| Age | Born 04 January 1996 |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | No. 21 |
| Career High | No. 4 (28 October 2024) |
| Elo Ranking | No. 44 |
| Tour-Level Titles | 4 |
Sorana Cirstea Looks to Improve Her Third-Round Record
Sorana Cirstea defeated last week's Monterrey champion Diane Parry in straight sets to move into the third round at the US Open, winning 6-2, 7-5. She lost her serve once and converted four of the 10 break-point opportunities she created during the match.
This is her fifth third-round appearance at the US Open. She has a 1-3 record at this stage, with her only success coming in 2023, when she went on to reach the quarterfinals.
The Romanian has enjoyed an impressive season, with her results helping her achieve a career-high ranking of No. 17. Her notable performances include reaching the quarterfinals at the French Open, the semifinals in Rome and winning the title in Cluj-Napoca.
However, she heads into this clash with a 6-15 record in third-round matches at Grand Slams. On hard courts, her record at this stage stands at 3-6, and she most recently lost in the third round to Linda Noskova at Wimbledon a few months ago.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Romania |
| Age | Born 07 April 1990 |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | No. 17 |
| Career High | No. 17 (13 July 2026) |
| Elo Ranking | No. 15 |
| Tour-Level Titles | 4 |
Verdict
Paolini's 3-0 head-to-head advantage and encouraging start in New York give her reasons for confidence, but those previous victories came more than two years ago. Cirstea has improved significantly since then and arrives with stronger form and momentum, giving the Romanian the edge in this matchup.
Cirstea + Over 18.5
Result + Total Games
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Cirstea -1.5
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He provides expert analysis, betting predictions and tournament guides as FreeTips' tennis editor. You will find him predicting the best games each day from the WTA Tour.
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