North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Carlton Blues AFL Betting Tips - Roos to enjoy a Good Friday in Round 4
The upcoming AFL clash sees North Melbourne Kangaroos aiming to improve to a 3-1 season record as they face the struggling Carlton Blues in Round 4. North Melbourne is buoyed by their positive start, including an impressive win over Port Adelaide. Their strong clearance work and a solid goal-kicking lineup are key strengths. Meanwhile, Carlton seeks to bounce back after successive defeats and is grappling with defensive and midfield pace issues. A loss to Melbourne highlighted these weaknesses. Key players for each side could significantly impact the outcome.
- North Melbourne aims for a 3-1 start, boasting strong clearances and attacking prowess.
- Carlton Blues strive to rebound after their loss, hindered by defensive and pace issues.
- North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Carlton Blues Preview
- Head to Head
- North Melbourne Kangaroos 2-1 For Positive Start
- North Melbourne Kangaroos Team News
- Carlton Blues Suffer Disastrous Turnaround Loss
- Carlton Blues Team News
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Carlton Blues Preview
North Melbourne have had a positive start to the season and can make it 3-1 by defeating Carlton in AFL Round 4. The Blues will be low on confidence after giving up a 43-point lead last week and I'm taking the Roos with the 8.5 point start or for better value and the win.
- North Melbourne won by 11 points the last time the two sides met
- The Kangaroos are averaging 94 points per game in 2026, while the Blues are averaging 74.
- Harry Sheezel has had 30+ disposals in each of the five matches he has played against Carlton
- Paul Curtis has kicked 11 goals in his past four against the Blues, hitting the 2+ in each of those.
Head to Head
North Melbourne claimed the most recent meeting between the sides, winning by 11 points in Round 15 last season at the MCG. The Kangaroos led by 46 points at three-quarter time and, despite failing to score in the final term, held on for the win.
Carlton had won the five matches prior to that, including an 82-point victory in the Good Friday clash last season.
North Melbourne Kangaroos 2-1 For Positive Start
North Melbourne impressed with a 46-point win over Port Adelaide in Round 1 then were disappointing when surrendering a 30-point lead in their 17-point loss to West Coast.
That looks a bit better now with the Eagles proving that win was no fluke, and in Round 3, they controlled the game against Essendon, conceding late goals to win by 12.
Colby McKercher picked up a game-high 35 disposals, while Luke Davies-Uniacke, Luke Parker and Harry Sheezel all had 30+. The win was built on clearance dominance.
The Roos rank third for clearances in the early parts of the season and have improved their defence, conceding 82 points per game, an improvement on 2025 (103 points per game)
In attack, they are averaging 94 per game. Nick Larkey has booted 12 goals from his three matches, while Cooper Trembath, Cam Zurhaar and Paul Curtis have been an excellent support cast, combining for 14.
North Melbourne Kangaroos Team News
North Melbourne will be without their gun ruckman, Triston Xerri, after the big man had a bit of a brainfade when wiping blood on an opponent. He has been suspended for the indiscretion.
Jack Darling had a solid match in the VFL and is a chance to be recalled, while Matt Whitlock and Zac Fisher are among a number of others that will be considered.
Carlton Blues Suffer Disastrous Turnaround Loss
Carlton were blown off the park by Sydney in Round 1, conceding 18 goals in the second half to lose by 63.
Against Richmond, another fadeout nearly cost them when kicking just one goal to four in the second half, holding on by four. This trend continued in the loss to Melbourne last weekend.
The Blues seem to have no answer when the momentum swings against them and their lack of midfield pace, as well as their defensive structure, has been a concern.
Jagga Smith has provided Carlton fans with some hope. In his first three career matches he has averaged 28 disposals, while Sam Walsh has hit the 30+ in each game this season.
The Blues are struggling to find a focal point up forward with Mitch McGovern leading the goalkicking tally with just five goals, while Harry McKay has four. As a team, Carlton are averaging just 74 points per game this season.
Carlton Blues Team News
Harry Dean (hip) and Zac Williams (ribs) pulled up with issues out of the Melbourne match and will be assessed during the week.
Nic Newman shows some promise in the VFL after missing last year with injury but may need more conditioning. Adam Cerra should be ready to make his return.
Verdict
Kangas are the value play here with Sheezel and Curtis the major contributors.
Match Winner
North Melbourne Kangaroos
@13/10 - 1 Unit
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Harry Sheezel 30+
Player Disposals
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Paul Curtis
To Score 2+ goals
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