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West Coast Eagles vs Sydney Swans AFL Betting Tips - Swans to cover the line in Round 4

adam-cusworth
Adam Cusworth
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Last updated: Wed 01 Apr 2026 18:23
The upcoming AFL match between West Coast Eagles and Sydney Swans promises to be an exhilarating contest. Sydney, coming off key victories but facing recent injuries, holds a historical advantage, having won their last five encounters against the Eagles by large margins. West Coast aims to continue their resurgence, riding on their recent back-to-back victories. Key players like Callum Mills and Justin McInerney are expected to shine for Sydney, while the Eagles look to capitalize on momentum and their new form.
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Adam Cusworth 01 Apr 2026
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  • Sydney has won the last five meetings against West Coast by an average of 84 points.
  • West Coast aims for three consecutive wins, showcasing strong momentum.
  • Both teams face injury setbacks, with Sydney missing key players post-bye.
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Sydney Swans (Getty Images)

West Coast Eagles vs Sydney Swans Preview


West Coast Eagles have had a positive start to 2026 with a 2-1 record, but this is a tough ask against the slick Sydney Swans. Take Sydney to cover the line with Callum Mills setting up the Swans chains across half back. 

  • Sydney have won the past five between the two sides by an average margin of 84 points. 
  • Justin McInerney is averaging 26 disposals per game this season
  • Callum Mills has had 25+ dispsosals in four of his past five matches
  • Charlie Curnow has booted 27 goals in his past five matches against West Coast

Head to Head Stats


Sydney have dominated this matchup, winning the past five meetings by an average margin of 84 points. 

That run includes a 171-point victory at the SCG in 2023 - the fourth-largest winning margin in VFL/AFL history - and a 67-point win the last time the sides met in Round 24 last season at Optus Stadium.

The Swans have a perfect record at Optus Stadium against the Eagles, winning all three meetings at the venue by an average of 53 points.

West Coast Eagles Go Back-To-Back


West Coast have won two matches in succession for the first time since late in 2024. They went 1-23 last season and after just three matches in they have bettered their 2025 record. 

They will be out to win three in a row for the first time since 2021. 

In the two-point victory over the Power, Tim Kelly (23 disposals) and Harley Reid (21 and two goals) led the way in the middle, while Jake Waterman booted four goals. 

The two wins have been highlighted by momentum swings, coming back after being down by 28 in the second quarter against Port Adelaide and by 30 against North Melbourne in the 17-point Round 2 victory. 

West Coast Eagles Team News


Elliot Yeo will miss with a groin injury that was sustained in the win over Port Adelaide, joining the likes of Brandon Starcevich and Jack Hutchinson on the sidelines. Sandy Brock and Ryan Maric are among the possible inclusions. 

Sydney Swans Suffer A Setback With Injuries


Sydney burst out of the blocks in 2026 with a 63-point win over Carlton, followed by a 44-point victory over an undermanned Brisbane side - both at the SCG. 

They suffered key injuries in the Brisbane clash before travelling to the MCG, where they went down to Hawthorn by 17 points.

Justin McInerney has been a standout, averaging 26 disposals per game, while Callum Mills is close behind at 25. Joel Amartey has provided a strong forward presence with nine goals from three matches.

Charlie Curnow is working his way into form, kicking five goals across his first three games. He started brightly against Hawthorn with two early goals and looked dangerous before being shut out of the contest.

The margin against the Hawks could have been significantly larger, with Hawthorn recording 29 scoring shots to Sydney’s 17.

Sydney Swans Team News


Sydney come out of the bye, giving their star player, Isaac Heeney, time to recover from his hamstring issue. 

Errol Gulden remains on the sidelines. Harry Cunningham and Taylor Adams had plenty of the ball last week in the VFL and are pushing for a return to senior level.

Verdict

Swans to be too strong. Mills to set up plenty of rebound from half back, while Curnow delivers up forward.

Best Bet1: Sydney Swans -24.5 Handicap @9/10 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Charlie Curnow 3+ Anytime Goalscorers @7/10 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Justin McInerney To Have 25+ disposals @11/10 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Callum Mills To Have 25+ disposals @15/16 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
Sydney Swans -24.5
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